THE PRESIDENT'S DAILY BRIEF 6 NOVEMBER 1976

• Document Type: FOIA
• Collection: President's Daily Brief 1969-1977
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 0006466891
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 14
• Document Creation Date: August 14, 2016
• Document Release Date: August 24, 2016
• Publication Date: November 6, 1976

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The President's Daily Brief
I
November 6, 1976
2
Top S cret 25X1
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Exempt from general
declassification schedule of E O. 11652
exemption category 5B( I
declassified only on approval of
the Director of Central Intelligence
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FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
November 6, 1976
Table of Contents
Rhodesia:
(Page 1) 25X1
Lebanon: The Christians, particularly the faction led by extrem-
ist Camille Shamun, and the Palestinians are still opposed
to the intended role and and the commander of the Arab Lean"a
security force. (Page 2) 25X1
China:
(Page 4)
USSR: Photography shows that the Soviets have completed convert-
ing all of the 120 SS-11 silos at the Derazhnya and Pervo-
maysk complexes to SS-19 silos. Recent analysis suggests
that the MIRV-equipped SS-19 ICBM is now installed in only
half of the silos. (Page 4)
Notes:
OPEC; China (Pages 6 and 7)
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FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
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FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
RHODESIA
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Press reports indicate that ZANU
military leader Josiah Tongogara
and nine other members of Mugabe's
delegation left last night for Mo-
zambique. Tongogara reportedly
asserted that Mugabe also would
be leaving. According to one
press report, Mugabe intends to
return to Geneva after consulta-
tions with ZANU military leaders
in the field.
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1
--continued
FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
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MEDITERRANEAN
SEA
BEIRUT
Sidon.
Tyre.
SYR IA
Bint Jultayl
? ?
/?????
\ /
ISRAEL ???"*"
I Go/an
I Heights
*DAMASCUS
SYRIA
0
MILES 20
0 KILOMETERS 20
620635 II 76
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LEBANON: Bickering
over the intended role
and the commander of
the Arab League secu-
rity force for Lebanon
continues.
^
25
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* * *
Phalanges Party leaders are pre-
pared to agree to the stationing
of League forces in east Beirut,
but the more extreme Christian
faction led by Camille Shamun is
apparently still refusing to con-
sider any but Christian forces to
patrol Christian areas. Shamun
is insisting that non-Christian
troops are needed only where fight-
ing is continuing. He contends
that Christian areas are quiet
and need no outside policing.
25X1
Much of 25X1
Shamun's resistance to deployment
of the League force in Christian
areas can probably be attributed
to his growing skepticism that con-
tinued reliance on the Syrians is
in Christian interests.
2
25X1
--continued
FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
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FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
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President Sarkis' ap-
pointment of a Lebanese
as commander of the
Arab League force has
drawn criticism.
The
Palestinians
have
ve-
25X1
hemently criticized the selection
and are no doubt disturbed that
the appointment of a Lebanese and
his two Lebanese deputies will
limit their ability to bring out-
side Arab pressure on the League
force to go easy on the Palestin-
ians.
Occasionally heavy shelling in
Beirut marred the cease-fire yes-
terday. There was a brief upsurge
of fighting in southern Lebanon
near the Israeli border. Chris-
tian forces reportedly shelled the
town of Bint Jubayl, where the Pal-
estinians have been under siege
for the last two weeks.
* * *
--continued
3
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r
Soviet ICBM Complex Conversion
.13erazhnya
Kozelsk.
?Pervornaysk
r-
f '
,---T-9
,
? ,- ?
'---; ,-,-,-i " '
*MOSCOW
.Tatishc.hevo
SS-11
Mod 2
RVs
1
Yield leach RV)
05-2.0 MT
Year operational
1973
620632 11-76 CIA
C:
C.)
USSR
-
Meters
25
20
15
SS-11
SS-19
SS-19
Mod 3
Mod 1
Mod 2
3 MRV
6 MIRV
1
10
04-1.0 MT
0.4-1 0 MT
2-7 MT
1973
1974-75
1977
SS-11 SS-19
25X1
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FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
CHINA:
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USSR: Photography
shows that the Soviets
have completed convert-
ing all of the 120 SS-
11 silos at the Dera-
zhnya and Pervomaysk
complexes to the new
SS-19 silos. Recent
analysis suggests, how-
ever, that the MIRV-
equipped SS-19 ICBM is
now installed in only
half of these silos;
some form of the older,
less capable SS-11 may
be installed in the
others.
* * *
All the SS-11 silos at Derazhnya and
Pervomaysk--12 groups of 10 silos--
apparently have been rebuilt in
the same way: the old SS-11 silo
was completely dismantled and the
SS-19 silo built in the resulting
excavation. Although the silos
are externally identical, there
are buried communications antennas
near each silo in six of the groups
and no antennas near the silos in
the other six groups.
The presence of the antennas sug-
gests that the Soviets may have in-
stalled the SS-19 missile at those
60 launch sites with antennas, and
4
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modifications of the SS-11 missile
at the 60 launch sites that lack
antennas.
During the Strategic Arms Limita-
tion Treaty negotiations, the So-
viets have stated that fewer than
half of the SS-19-type silos at
Derazhnya and Pervomaysk contain
missiles with MIRVs. They have
implied that these two are the
only ICBM complexes that do not
have the new generation of mis-
siles installed in all of the new-
type silos.
SS-11 silos at the Tatishchevo and
Kozelsk complexes are also being
converted to the SS-19 type. Com-
munications antennas are being
built near these silos, and the
SS-19 missile apparently will be
installed in all of them.
--continued
5
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Indian
Ocean
620632 II 76
0
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*
The current chairman
of the OPEC conference
has confirmed that the
meeting of OPEC oil
ministers in Doha, Qatar
has been changed from
December 15 to 20.
NOTES
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1
*
*
According to the chairman, the
change is intended to avoid a
scheduling conflict with the Con-
ference on International Economic
Cooperation ministerial meeting in
Paris, set to open on December 15.
The rescheduling will serve two
purposes for OPEC--it will temper
CIEC debate on the expected oil
price rise, and it will give OPEC
members a chance to assess conces-
sions by the industrialized coun-
tries of CIEC before making a fi-
nal decision on a new oil price
level.
--continued
6
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Tang-shan, China, deva-
stated by an earthquake
last summer, is rapidly
being reconstructed.
* * *
Despite the massive recovery ef-
fort, it will be at least mid-1977
before coal, electric power, steel,
and transport facilities in Tang-
shan are restored to full opera-
tion.
Reconstruction of the two heavily
damaged power plants in the area
apparently has priority, and a con-
siderable number of repairs have
been made at the iron and steel
plant. The Chinese also appear to
have repaired the petroleum pipe-
line connecting the Taching oil
fields with Peking.
7
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