THE PRESIDENT'S DAILY BRIEF 5 OCTOBER 1976

• Document Type: FOIA
• Collection: President's Daily Brief 1969-1977
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 0006466863
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 12
• Document Creation Date: August 14, 2016
• Document Release Date: August 24, 2016
• Publication Date: October 5, 1976

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The President's Daily Brief
i/
October 5, 1976
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Exempt from general
declassification scheduk of E 0 11652
exemption category 56(1).(2),(3)
declassified only on approval of
the Duector of Central Intelligence
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USSR:
FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
October 5, 1976
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Table of Contents
Lebanon: The lull in Christian and Syrian operations in the moun- 25X1
tains east of Beirut continues while efforts are under way
to work out some kind of agreement. (Page 2)
Notes: Ethiopia; Sweden; Spain (Pages 5 and 6)
FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
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USSR:
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--continued
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MEDITERRANEAN
SEA
Sido
BEI qurr
Tripoli
Chr4k1ian
&lIfroIIed
?syrian
L'ontrc.)11ed
Beirut
Internetion
Airport'
Palestinian/
Muslim Area
DAMASCUS
IA
Tyre
620500 10-76
IS RAE L
/0
0 KILOMETERS 20
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FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
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LEBANON: The Zull in
Christian and Syrian
operations in the moun-
tains east of Beirut
continues while efforts
are under way to work
out some kind of agree-
ment.
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The
Palestinians are unlikely to agree
to withdraw now that they have
blunted the Christian offensive.
2
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FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
Arab League mediator
Hasan Sabri al-KhuZi
has announced that talks
are under way to secure
Palestinian withdrawal
to the refugee camps,
their bases before the
war.
The Syrians may have had a number
of reasons for backing off from a
showdown in Alayh. They probably
knew that the engagement would be
bloody, and they have consistently
held back from taking heavy casual-
ties, which could stir up domestic
unrest. They may also have calcu-
lated that a slowdown at this junc-
ture would take the steam out of
Egyptian efforts to convene an Arab
summit that might feel forced to
condemn Syria's intervention.
Damascus could also have wanted to
head off possible Soviet or French
diplomatic pressure.
In the talks, which involve the
Christians, Syrians, and Palestin-
ians, the Christians seem to be
demanding that the Palestinians
not only return to their camps and
adhere to previous accords regulat-
ing their activity, but also agree
to hand over all their heavy
weapons--a demand that all Pales-
tinian leaders, including moderates
have rejected.
The Syrians may not be willing to
support the Christian demands in
all respects, but they are not
likely to agree to a settlement
that allows the Palestinians to
retain any significant autonomy
except under Syrian supervision.
There are mounting signs that a
key Syrian goal has become the
ouster of Yasir Arafat from the
Palestinian leadership.
Leftist leader Kamal Jumblatt,
who met with the French foreign
minister in Paris over the week-
end, made it clear that he wants
any meeting hosted by the French
to be restricted to Lebanese only.
Palestinian and Syrian representa-
tives would not be welcome.
--continued
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FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
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FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
Camille Shamun has already branded
Jumblatt's efforts in Paris as a
"waste of time," saying categori-
cally that "we are not prepared to
respond to any invitation if it is
made."
--continued
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FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
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FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
The ruling military
council in Ethiopia is
facing another outbreak
of dissidence among
government troops serv-
ing in Eritrea Province.
A compromise on the
nuclear energy issue
has cleared the way for
formation of a three-
party, nonsocialist
coalition government
in Sweden.
NOTES
I The troops' morale has
deteriorated recently as rebel
harassment actions have become in-
creasingly effective. A delegation
consisting of council members and
senior military officers reportedly
flew from Addis Ababa to Asmara to
discuss the troops' grievances.
In Addis Ababa the government has
announced the arrest of two persons
in connection with the assassina-
tion on Friday of an influential
civilian adviser to the council.
The killing probably was carried
out by the Ethiopian People's Rev-
olutionary Party, an underground
Marxist organization opposed to
continued military rule.
The compromise on this divisive
issue reportedly calls for delay-
ing the commissioning of two new
plants until 1978 and stopping con-
struction on the rest. A royal
commission will then review the
subject and report to the parlia-
ment in 1978. The parties have
agreed that a referendum may be
held at that time.
There have been hints of a shift
in emphasis in Sweden's foreign
policy under the new government.
According to a Swedish diplomat in
Stockholm, the foreign affairs
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FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
The assassination yes-
terday of a high Basque
official, who was also
a member of the Council
of the Realm in Spain,
may impede some of the
government's efforts to
be more forthcoming on
Basque grievances.
priorities, in descending impor-
tance, are: Sweden's Scandinavian
neighbors, its friends in Europe
and North America, and all other
countries--including the USSR and
Cuba. Under the previous govern-
ment, a list of priorities would
have included support for libera-
tion and antifascist movements
around the world.
The killing of Juan Maria de Ara-
luce, a supporter of the late Gen-
eral Franco, is unlikely to provoke
a nationwide rightist reaction
against the government's political
reform program. The victim's posi-
tion on the Council of the Realm,
the country's highest consultatl:ye
body, however, may give his death
a nationwide psychological impact
that will make further relaxation
of police restrictions difficult.
A government statement issued after
the emergency cabinet meeting last
night pledged strong action against
terrorists.
Araluce had received death threats
from a terrorist group, Basque Fa-
therland and Liberty. Although
recently the Basque terrorists an-
nounced that they would form a
political party to use legal chan-
nels to pursue complete indepen- ?
dence, the killing of Araluce seems
to be an indication that at least
one faction of the group has not
given up its terrorist inclinations.
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Top Secret
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