THE PRESIDENT'S DAILY BRIEF 24 SEPTEMBER 1976

• Document Type: FOIA
• Collection: President's Daily Brief 1969-1977
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 0006466854
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 18
• Document Creation Date: August 14, 2016
• Document Release Date: August 24, 2016
• Publication Date: September 24, 1976

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The President's Daily Brief
September 24, 1976
2
Tvi1
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Exempt from general
declassification scheduk of E 0 11652
580 WM31
declassified only on approval of
the Director of Central Intelligence
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FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
September 24, 1976
Table of Contents
Lebanon: President Ilyas Sarkis took the oath of office yester-
day in Syrian-occupied Shaturah with 66 of the 97 parlia-
mentary deputies present. Egyptian President Sadat appears
in no hurry to facilitate Saudi Arabia's mediation effort.
(Page 1)
Bahrain-US: Prime Minister Khalifa and the defense minister con-
tinue to hold out the possibility of an extension of the US
navy's stationing agreement in return for military assistance.
(Page 2)
Guinea-USSR: Two Soviet TU-95 aircraft landed yesterday in Con-
akry, Guinea, indicating that President Toure will continue
to allow the Soviet Union to use Conakry as a staging base
for naval reconnaissance flights. (Page 3)
Angola-Zambia: The two governments have agreed to exchange mis-
sions under an arrangement that apparently falls just short
of establishing diplomatic relations. (Page 4)
USSR
Notes: USSR (Soyuz 22); USSR (Mars Program) (Pages 6 and 7)
At Annex,
Soviet
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FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
LEBANON: President
Ilyas Sarkis took the
oath of office yester-
day in Syrian-occupied
Shaturah with 66 of
the 97 parliamentary
deputies present.
Saudi Arabia's effort
to arrange a limited
summit that would
strive for a reconcil-
iation between Egypt
and Syria as a step
toward dealing with
the Lebanese problem
has stalled. Recent
remarks by Egyptian
President Sadat suggest
that Cairo is in no
hurry to faciliate the
mediation effort.
Sarkis' inaugural address did not
set forth a detailed plan of ac-
tion, but called for an end to
the fighting and for communica-
tion among all involved in Leba-
non.
The initial reaction of Palestine
Liberation Organization chief Yasir
Arafat was positive. He announced
that, to help end the fighting,
he would order his forces to cease
firing and to avoid retaliatina
against provocations.
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In an interview published yester-
day in the Beirut newspaper An-
Nahar, Sadat continued his attacks
on Syria, blaming Damascus for
"selling out" the Palestinians
and obstructing other Arabs' ef-
forts to resolve the Lebanon
crisis.
Sadat said he welcomes an Arab
"mini-summit" with both Egyptian
and Syrian participation, but he
made clear that he regards it as
a forum in which to discuss Leb-
anon, not to settle his quarrel
with Syria.
Sadat indicated that the only
way to stop the fighting in Leb-
anon is "by force" with what he
called a deterrent force--pre-
sumably an expanded Arab security
contingent with an offensive role.
He offered Sarkis "tanks, rockets,
and artillery of all kinds" from
Egypt's inventory. He said, how-
ever, that Egypt would not supply
any troops.
1
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BAHRAIN
Iraq
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FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
BAHRAIN-US: Since June,
Prime Minister Khalifa
and his nephew Crown
Prince Hamad, who is
minister of defense and
commander of the defense
force, have been holding
out the possibility of
an extension of the US
navy's stationing agree-
ment in return for mil-
itary assistance.
It is unclear whether
the approaches made by
Khali-fa and the Crown
Prince are private and
exploratory or whether
they reflect an official
government overture un-
dertaken after approval
by the council of minis-
ters.
Cairo pressed for an enlargement
of both the role and armament of
the Arab security force during an
Arab League foreign ministers'
meeting in July, but the proposal
was voted down.
* * *
As of now, the US navy will have
to leave by June 30, 1977, as re-
quested by Bahrain in mid-1975.
The Prime Minister contends that
a military assistance deal would
enable his government to demon-
strate to its people that the US
presence generates tangible bene-
fits for Bahrain.
The Bahraini leaders have been
vague on the specifics of what
they might have in mind. Recently,
however, Crown Prince Hamad in-
formed the US embassy that he wants
to develop an air wing--with F-5s
and helicopters--and a sea force.
Hamad said the air wing should
grow to 14 or so jets over the next
five to seven years.
We incline to the former view, in
part because Foreign Minister Mu-
hammad--also a member of the ruling
family--has given no hint that he
is aware of any thought being given
to extending the stationing agree-
ment.]
The Prime Minister has justified
the apparent reversal of policy
on the Middle East Force's pres-
ence on the grounds that he no
longer must consider the views of
2
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GUINEA-USSR: Two Soviet
TU-95 aircraft landed
yesterday in Conakry,
Guinea, indicating that,
contrary to recent as-
surances given the US,
President Toure will
continue to allow the
Soviet Union to use
Conakry as a staging
base for naval recon-
naissance flights.
Since mid-1973, there
have been 16 other TU-
95 missions to Guinea.
the National Assembly--which the
ruling family dissolved in August
1975--and that he has personal as-
surances from the Saudis, Iranians,
and Kuwaitis that they would have
no objection to an extension of
the stationing agreement.
A Guinean spokesman told Ambassa-
dor Harrop in late July that after
August President Toure planned to
halt Soviet use of Guinea for re-
connaissance flights. At the same
time, Guinea requested a US "se-
curity guarantee" against the al-
leged threat posed to the Toure
regime by Guinean exiles in neigh-
boring Senegal and Ivory Coast.
A few weeks later, Guinean offi-
cials confirmed the decision to
halt the flights, but implied that
the ban could depend on a favor-
able US response to Guinea's re-
quest for security guarantee.
Guinea may justify the latest TU-
95 mission by citing the US fail-
ure to respond to its security
concerns. Toure may have concluded
that he cannot afford to antagonize
the Soviet Union, which has been
responsive in the past to his anx-
iety about Guinea's security. A
small Soviet naval patrol has op-
erated off Conakry at Guinea's re-
quest since 1970 when Portuguese-
backed exiles mounted a seaborne
attack.
Toure may also have used the TU-95
issue to bargain with the Soviets
on other issues. The US embassy
in Conakry recently reported that
Guinea and the USSR could have set-
tled their protracted dispute over
the price the Soviets will pay for
bauxite produced at a mine devel-
oped with Soviet assistance.
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ANGOLA-ZAMBIA: The
governments of Angola
and Zambia have agreed
to exchange "diplomatic
missions."
USSR
The agreement apparently falls
short of establishing diplomatic
relations, but the two states will
set up official missions in each
capital in order to develop closer
government-to-government and party-
to-party ties. They will also es-
tablish a permanent joint commis-
sion to resolve problems between
the two countries.
The Neto regime in Angola would
like to establish better relations
with Zambia as a way to achieve
closer cooperation among the front-
line states backing the black na-
tionalists in Rhodesia and Namibia.
It hopes to discourage Zambian sup-
port for National Union insurgents
operating in eastern Angola. The
insurgents are allowed to use Zam-
bian territory for refuge and stag-
ing purposes.
Zambian President Kaunda now will
begin to urge the Angolan regime
to establish a government in which
the National Union and the National
Front can participate. He will
probably also encourage the Ango-
lans to reduce the Cuban presence
in Angola.
* * *
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Soyuz 22, a Soviet
spacecraft with two
cosmonauts aboard, re-
turned to earth yester-
day after an eight-day
mission.
The Soviet Union's Mars
program, unlike that of
the US, has not been
notably successful.
NOTES
We believe the cosmonauts devoted
the bulk of their work schedule to
earth resources photography.
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Soyuz 22 was the first in a highly
publicized cooperative manned
space flight program involving the
nine countries of the communist
trading bloc. Photographic equip-
ment manufactured in East Germany
was the only bloc contribution to
the spacecraft. The USSR had an-
nounced that the program would in-
clude cosmonauts from each of the
other eight before it ended in
1983.
If the first such joint mission
takes place in 1978 as announced,
it would put the Soviets several
years ahead of the joint US-Euro-
pean program in flying multina-
tional crews. The US space shut-
tle is scheduled to orbit a Euro-
pean space lab with a European
crew in the 1980s.
* * *
Since 1960, when the program began,
the Soviets have made 15 launch at-
tempts aimed at Mars. Eight of
these attempts failed shortly after
launch, and only three were even
partially successful in getting
landing capsules to the surface of
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This spotty record, together with
Moscow's awareness of Viking's ob-
jectives and prospects for success,
may have caused the Soviets to re-
assess their program and pass up
the launch opportunity in 1975.
Soviet scientists have indicated
that they will try again in 1977,
the next opportunity.
* * *
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