THE PRESIDENT'S DAILY BRIEF 13 AUGUST 1976

• Document Type: FOIA
• Collection: President's Daily Brief 1969-1977
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 0006466738
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 14
• Document Creation Date: August 14, 2016
• Document Release Date: August 24, 2016
• Publication Date: August 13, 1976

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The President's Daily Brief
August 13, 1976
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Exempt from general
declassification schedule of E 0 11652
exemption category 5B( 11,121.01
declassified only on approval of
the Director of Central Intelligence
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FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
August 13, 1976
Table of Contents
Lebanon: Christian forces overran Tall Zatar refugee camp yes-
terday. (Page 1)
Turkey-Greece: The UN Security Council will hear Turkish Foreign
Minister Caglajiangil today before considering the dispute
formally raised yesterday by Greek Foreign Minister Bitsios.
(Page 2)
Jordan - Saudi Arabia:
OPEC: Oil exports from OPEC countries are likely to rise by 1
million barrels per day this quarter--the same as during the
first two quarters of 1976. (Page 4)
South Africa: Rioting in three black townships near Cape Town
has resulted in at least 27 deaths--the highest toll since
the June riots. (Page 5)
Notes: USSR-Algeria; Egypt-Libya (Pages 7 and 8)
FOR THE P ESIDENT ONLY
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MEDITERRANEAN
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FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
LEBANON: Christian
forces overran Tall
Zatar refugee camp yes-
terday.
The fall of the camp
will place increased
strain on the leader-
ship of the Palestine
Liberation Organiza-
tion.
Only a few Palestinian fighters
continued to hold out against the
Christians. Several thousand ci-
vilians and combatants reportedly
fled Tall Zatar early yesterday
morning as Christian militiamen
stormed the camp. 50X1
Some Christian leaders recognize
that their handling of the camp's
surrender and their treatment of
prisoners will largely determine
the intensity of Palestinian re-
prisals.
Even if the Christians show re-
straint, the surrender of Tall
Zatar will be a serious psycho-
logical blow to the Palestinians
and their leftist allies, who
have taken heavy casualties in
defending the camp. They view
the Christian attack on Tall Zatar
not only as a challenge to the
Palestinian presence in Lebanon,
but also as a symbol of the Chris-
tians' determination not to yield
their predominant power in Lebanon.
Militants will accuse PLO chief
Yasir Arafat and those favoring
compromise with Syria of leaving
the Palestinians vulnerable to
such attacks and of failing to
muster sufficient outside help.
--continued
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*
TURKEY-GREECE: Greek
Foreign Minister
Bitsios, addressing the
UN Security Council
yesterday on Aegean
tensions, accused Tur-
key of committing "ar-
bitrary and provocative"
acts.
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*
*
Bitsios asked the Council to call
on the Turks to suspend their seis-
mic research in disputed portions
of the Aegean Sea. The Council
will hear Turkish Foreign Minister
Caglayangil this afternoon before
responding.
Bitsios would doubtless also like
a Council endorsement of Athens'
anplication to the International
Court of Justice earlier this week
for a ruling on the Greek-Turkish
dispute over Aegean seabed rights.
Greek Prime Minister Caramanlis
reportedly realizes, however, that
the Security Council is unlikely
to favor either party to the dis-
pute. He is said to hope that the
UN discussions will at least bring
international pressure to bear on
the Turks to renew bilateral talks
on Greek-Turkish differences and
ultimately persuade Ankara to ac-
cept third-party arbitration once
bilateral talks have resumed.
--continued
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FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
JORDAN - SAUDI ARABIA:
The Turks, loath to admit any
wrongdoing in carrying out re-
search in disputed areas of the
Aegean, are unlikely to be enthusi-
astic about any Security Council
resolution. They could probably
accept a document that cautioned
restraint on both sides, empha-
sized bilateral negotiations, and
hinted at some future opinion from
the International Court.
A draft resolution circulating
among Security Council members
yesterday would seem sufficiently
moderate to satisfy Turkey, but
Caramanlis' ability to sell such
a document to Greeks demanding a
sterner response would hinge on
future Turkish activities in the
Aegean. After a cabinet meeting
yesterday, Turkish Prime Minister
Demirel told reporters he hoped
the research ship Sismik I would
complete work in its present area
of operation by the weekend. He
said the ship would then begin the
third leg of its exploration.
There apparently has been no sig-
nificant change in the status of
Greek and Turkish forces since
Wednesday, although both are main-
taining a high state of military
readiness and could react immedi-
ately to an incident or military
attack.
* * *
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--continued
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OPEC: Oil exports from
members of the Organ-
ization of Petroleum
Exporting Countries are
likely to rise by 1
million barrels per
day this quarter--the
same as during the
first two quarters of
1976.
FOR THE P
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From October to December the in-
crease may be even greater, as
importers attempt to build stocks
in anticipation of another price
hike in December. Earnings from
oil for the year will probably
total $123 billion, almost $20
billion above the 1975 level.
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ANGOLA
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FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
SOUTH AFRICA: Rioting
in three black town-
ships near Cape Town
has resulted in at
least 27 deaths--the
highest toll since the
June riots.
OPEC's current-account surplus is
growing because of both higher oil
earnings and reduced import expen-
ditures.
For 1976 as a whole, we expect the
aggregate OPEC current-account
surplus to total about $41 bil-
lion, compared with $34 billion
for 1975. This surplus should in-
crease the foreign official assets
held by OPEC countries from $100
billion on January 1 to perhaps
$135 billion by the end of the
year. Their foreign reserves
would then be nearly half again as
large as the total reserves held
by the seven major developed coun-
tries--the United States, West
Germany, Japan, the United King-
dom, France, Italy, and Canada.
Violence began Wednesday after-
noon when police tried to disperse
students who were marching from
school to school, calling on others
to join in a boycott of classes.
Adults joined in skirmishes with
police, arson, and some looting.
Further clashes with police oc-
curred yesterday morning.
Prime Minister Vorster yesterday
called a meeting of all members
of the ruling National Party who
are members of Parliament. The
meeting is scheduled for Septem-
ber; the full Parliament will not
convene until January. Vorster
presumably feels compelled to
present some program for coping
with racial tensions.
--continued
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The Prime Minister's only public
comment on the second round of
student disorders--which began in
the Johannesburg area on August
4--was to the effect that the
government will neither tolerate
further violence nor make conces-
sions to dissidents.
Consultations between government
leaders and authorized spokesmen
for urban blacks have been sus-
pended. Vorster's apparent in-
tention is to show firmness until
he believes the militant students
have been suppressed and then re-
sume consideration of limited con-
cessions to urban blacks.
--continued
6
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The USSR reportedly de-
livered 19 MIG-21s to
Algeria earlier this
month, bringing the
number supplied this
year to 44 and Alge-
ria's total inventory
of MIG-21s to 88.
Egypt claims to have
evidence that Libya is
recruiting and train-
ing Egyptians for sab-
otage operations sim-
ilar to the bombing
last Sunday of a gov-
ernment building in
Cairo.
NOTES
The aircraft purchases fall under
an arms accord of 1975 valued at
$450 million to $500 million. Al-
geria sought the arms last fall
because of growing tensions in its
dispute with Morocco over Western
Sahara. Although tensions have
eased somewhat since then, Algiers
continues to support Polisario
Front guerrillas seeking independ-
ence for the territory.
The USSR has tried to straddle the
Western Sahara issue, but its mili-
tary deliveries to Algeria have
strained its relations with Mo-
rocco. Rabat has suspended nego-
tiations with the USSR for a 20-
year arrangement on phosphate
development.
* * *
The bombing was carried out by an
Egyptian who has confessed that he
was trained in Libya.
Cairo newspapers reported on Wednes-
day that three Egyptians who had
been trained in Libya for sabotage
operations recently turned them-
selves in to Egyptian security
authorities. Two of the defectors
alleged that 17 other Egyptians
were in the camp where they were
trained.
We have no reason to doubt the
basic Egyptian charge, although
Cairo could be embellishing evi-
dence of Libyan activity.
--continued
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Al Ahram, Cairo's leading daily
newspaper, yesterday quoted a
"responsible military source" as
saying that armor, infantry, para-
troop, and air defense units are
being sent to the Libyan border.
The source said the reinforcements
are intended to protect Egypt's
western border and prevent the
infiltration of saboteurs.
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