THE PRESIDENT'S DAILY BRIEF 31 JULY 1976

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0006015178
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RIPPUB
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T
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18
Document Creation Date: 
August 14, 2016
Document Release Date: 
August 24, 2016
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Publication Date: 
July 31, 1976
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Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013500010038-6 The President's Daily Brief July 3 1 , 1976 2 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013500010038-6 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013500010038-6 Exempt from general declassification schedule of E.O. 11652 exemption category, 5B( I declassified only on approval or the Director of Central Intelligence Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013500010038-6 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013500010038-6 July 31, 1976 Table of Contents Lebanon: Christian and leftist leaders have given tentative ap- proval to the Syrian-Palestinian accord, but the Syrians and Palestinians are quarreling over the accord's preamble. Cairo last night scored the agreement. (Page 1) Libya-Lebanon: There are indications that the Libyans may have increased their efforts to help the Palestinians and Leba- nese leftists. (Page 3) Libya-Tunisia: Libyan President Qadhafi has invited a Tunisian representative to visit Libya this weekend to discuss the chances of normalizing relations. (Page 4) Italy: 25X1 25X1 25X1 Angola: There does not appear to have been any sharp increase in guerrilla activity. (Page 6) Notes: Kenya-Uganda; Greece-Turkey; USSR (Ustinov); USSR (Brezh- nev); Yugoslavia; Spain (Pages 8, 9, 10, 11, and 12) FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013500010038-6 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19: CIA-RDP79T00936A013500010038-6 LEBANON: Christian and leftist leaders have tentatively approved the Syrian-Palestinian accord signed in Damas- cus on Thursday. The Syrians and Pales- tinians themselves are quarreling over a pre- amble to the agreement, apparently drafted solely by the Syrians. The two most likely spoilers of the agreement--Camille Shamun and leftist leader Kamal Jumblatt-- issued statements yesterday ex- pressing hope that a cease-fire will be implemented. Neither, however, could be drawn out on other provisions of the agreement. Phalanges Party leader Jumayyil also endorsed the agreement, but issued a blunt warning that the Christians are not satisfied with the accord's reaffirmation of the 1969 Cairo agreement as the basis for regulating Palestinian activ- ity in Lebanon. He implied that the Christians will demand even stricter regulations. Jumayyil's remarks probably were intended to let the Palestinians know that the Christians are united on this issue and do not feel bound by an agreement they did not negotiate. Despite re- peated assurances from Damascus, the Christians may be worried that Syria and the Palestinians have struck a private bargain. The preamble blamed the war in Lebanon on Egypt's conclusion of the second Sinai agreement. The quarrel has led to widespread con- fusion even among the Palestinians over the status of the entire ac- cord. Palestine Liberation Organization chairman Yasir Arafat sent a mes- sage to Egyptian President Sadat --continued FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013500010038-6 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013500010038-6 JL *-of A A 1 A .1 AJ,.? J. V A. Cairo last night scored the agreement, according to press reports. The quarrel over the statement and the con- fusion it has created will, at the very least, delay Arafat's plans to go to Damascus. on Thursday denouncing the Syrian statement. The message, in effect, apologized for the prefatory state- ment, but did not refer to the agreement itself. Arafat appar- ently then issued a second message to all Fatah and PLO representa- tives reaffirming his approval of the agreement. Despite Arafat's evident effort to distinguish be- tween the preamble and the accord, a Palestinian spokesman told re- porters yesterday that an agree- ment with Syria had not been reached. The Egyptians apparently were pro- voked by the reference in the ac- cord to the Second Sinai agreement. The Cairo statement described the accord as part of a scheme arranged by Damascus and the Lebanese right- ists to annihilate Palestinian and leftist forces. Although Arafat clearly wants to settle with the Syrians and prob- ably is willing to minimize the incident, he cannot afford to jeop- ardize the material and political support he is now getting from the Egyptians. Moreover, Arafat must answer to some of his more militant colleagues who have opposed dealing with Damascus and may seize on the Syrians' duplicity as a pretext for backing out of the accord. For their part, the Syrians have little confidence that the Pales- tinians will adhere to the agree- ment and probably will not go out --continued 2 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013500010038-6 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19: CIA-RDP79T00936A013500010038-6 of their way to preserve it. The Syrians are particularly worried about the outside help the Pales- tinians are receiving and report- edly believe it is only a matter of time before their adversaries, rearmed and resupplied, break the truce. 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 LIBYA-LEBANON: Press reports t.izat, a large contingent of Libyan troops and military equipment landed at 25X1 25X1 25X1 Although the contingent apparently was sent to reinforce the Arab League security forces, Libyan Sidon yesterday forces under the league's auspices have often acted on the Palestin- ians' behalf. Moreover, Libya has 25X1 been carrying on a separate 25X1 resupply effort via Sidon 3 --continued FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013500010038-6 25X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013500010038-6 Mediterranean Sea SAUDI ARABIA 620197 7-76 0 400 Kilometers Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19: CIA-RDP79T00936A013500010038-6 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013500010038-6 A IL A A A LI A. A A-I A I. ? A .I. ? LI LIBYA-TUNISIA: Tunisian Interior Minister Bel- khodja is expected to visit Libya this week- end at President Qad- hafi's invitation to discuss the possibility of normalizing relations between the two coun- tries. 25X1 25X1 25X1 Relations between Tunisia and Libya have been particularly bad Qad- hafi remains fundamentally opposed to Bourguiba, and we see little prospect for any real reconcilia- tion. Tunis, meanwhile, probably believes that it has nothing to lose by responding to the Libyan initiative. 4 --continued FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013500010038-6 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013500010038-6 ITALY: 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 X1 25X1 25X1 5 --continued FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013500010038-6 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013500010038-6 ATLANTIC OCEAN 0 Kilometers SOU -WEST AFRICA MIBIA) Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19: CIA-RDP79T00936A013500010038-6 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013500010038-6 Both government and Na- tional Front forces in the northwest operations are hampered by supply shortages, particularly of ammunition and food. the Front has infiltrated a number of small guerrilla units into northwestern Angola in the past few weeks. These units have been skirmishing with government forces around four small towns in that area, and evidently have cap- tured two of them. Several groups apparently are also scattered along the coast between Ambrizete and Ambriz. A large part of the insur- gent activity reflected in the mes- sages relates to the planting of landmines and small-scale ambushes in which casualties have been slight. 25X1 25X1 units to dis- perse as widely as possible through- out northwestern Angola and to be ready to launch a series of attacks against government forces on Au- gust 1, Angolan Armed Forces Day. 25X1 25X1 Given its supply problems, it seems unlikely that the National Front can dramatically raise the level of its activities any time soon. Government forces nonetheless will have difficulty suppressing guer- rilla operations, even with the assistance of Cuban troops. North- western Angola is densely forested and affords excellent protection from counterinsurgency operations. --continued 6 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013500010038-6 Declassified in Part - SanitizedCopy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013500010038-6 _ 25X1 In eastern Angola, the government has been carrying out numerous op- erations around Luso. ( --continued FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013500010038-6 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013500010038-6 _ De- spite his optimistic comments to the press last night, Eteki will be hard-pressed to bridge differences be- tween the two sides. NOTES 25X1 25X1 Uganda's President Amin yesterday praised Kenyan President Kenyatta and told Eteki Kampala would ac- cept a Kenyan proposal to send a delegation to Nairobi for talks. Amin's attitudes are subject to abrupt shifts, and the Kenyans ap- parently are viewing his latest conciliatory words with consider- able caution. Nairobi appears to be seeking sup- port from neighboring Ethiopia. On Thursday Kenya's foreign minis- ter was in Addis Ababa to begin a round of periodic consultations, normally held to resolve bilateral problems. Nairobi and Addis Ababa have a mu- tual defense pact, but Ethiopia is too preoccupied with its own in- ternal problems to come to Kenya's aid. Although Nairobi probably recognizes it has little chance of getting Ethiopian help, it appar- ently pushed to have the meeting now to give Uganda the impression it has Addis Ababa's backing. --continued 8 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013500010038-6 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized CopyApproved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013500010038-6 _ The Turkish announce- ment giving the course the seismic exploration ship Sismik I will fol- low in the Aegean Sea through August 20 has relieved some of the Greek-Turkish tension associated with the voyage. A senior Greek Foreign Ministry official told the US ambassador on Thursday that he saw "no problem" with the itinerary, apparently be- cause it avoids areas actively con- tested by Athens. A high-ranking official in the Turkish Foreign Ministry, meanwhile, told the US ambassador in Ankara that the ship would not enter Greek territorial waters or conduct controversial operations. He did admit that it would spend a short time in con- tested international waters. Despite these assurances, each side is taking measures that could provoke a clash. The Sismik is accompanied by a small Turkish na- val escort and the Greeks have in- dicated that they intend to watch the ship "closely." Earlier this week Prime Minister Caramanlis told the US ambassador that he was having renewed troubles with the Greek military who believe he is not acting with sufficient force on this matter. 9 --continued FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013500010038-6 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CI-A-RDP79T00936A013500010038-6 The promotion, announced yesterday, of Soviet Minister of Defense Dmitry Ustinov from Army General to the rank of Marshal of the Soviet Union brings him level in rank with other top military offi- cers who are his imme- diate subordinates. It also makes him the equal in military rank of General Secretary Brezhnev. In an interview in Pravda on the eve of the first anniversary of the Helsinki agree- ment, Soviet party chief Brezhnev dwelled on alleged Western in- terference in Italian politics. Ustinov was promoted to Army Gen- eral at the end of April when he was named minister of defense. He had previously held an inactive rank as Colonel General of Engi- neering Troops. Brezhnev--identi- fied as army general in 1975--was promoted to Marshal of the Soviet Union a week after Ustinov's pro- motion was announced. The full implications of Ustinov's and Brezhnev's military promotions this spring are still not entirely clear, and the speed with which Ustinov has received this second promotion is surprising. Following the Soviet propaganda line that has been prominent for several weeks, Brezhnev charged that Western statements regarding the imposition of economic sanc- tions if the Italian Communists participate in the government are a clear violation of the Helsinki agreement. Last year, the Soviets attacked Western statements on Portugal along the same line. Brezhnev's latest comments are in large part an effort to take the offensive on Helsinki. 10 --continued FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013500010038-6 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA:RDP79T00936A013500010038-6 _ _ Yugoslavia 25X1 25X1 25X1 2 25X1 25X1 25X1 5X1 25X1 11 --continued FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013500010038-6 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013500010038-6 The amnesty decree is- sued yesterday, which will free a number of Spain's remaining po- litical prisoners and restore civil rights to the Republicans who fought against Franco in the Civil War, is a move toward national reconciliation. The government probably hopes that the amnesty will boost its efforts to enlist support of the previously illegal democratic opposition par- ties in its political reform pro- gram. The amnesty covers all po- litical crimes such as involvement in previously illegal political meetings and issuance of propa- ganda, but excludes persons con- victed of crimes of terrorism caus. - ing death or injury. The minister- of justice said about one third of Spain's estimated 600 political prisoners will be released. According to a government official, inclusion of the military in the amnesty was a particularly deli- cate matter. The nine officers convicted earlier this year of sub- version will be released, and armed forces members who fought against Franco in the Civil War will become eligible for pensions. No military officer benefiting from this amnesty would be per- mitted to return to military serv- ice, however. 12 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013500010038-6 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013500010038-6 Top Secret Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013500010038-6