THE PRESIDENT'S DAILY BRIEF 28 JULY 1976

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0006015175
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T
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15
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August 14, 2016
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August 24, 2016
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Publication Date: 
July 28, 1976
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Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013500010035-9 The President's Daily Brief 1 July 28, 1976 2 To cret 25X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013500010035-9 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013500010035-9 Exempt from general declassification schedule of E.O. 11652 exemption category, 58( I declassified ?MY on approval of the Director of Central Intelligence i.e.? Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013500010035-9 L. _ - Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013500010035-9 1' L./ V _I 11 Li L L L- v v A July 28, 1976 Table of Contents Italy: The Christian Democrats have authorized the creation of a temporary minority government that would depend for its survival on Communist abstention in parliamentary confidence votes. (Page 1) USSR - Middle East: The Soviets' first authoritative Pravda edi- torial in many weeks on the Middle East situation puts the blame for developments in Lebanon and elsewhere in the area directly on the US. (Page 2) Lebanon: PLO representative Qaddumi returned to Beirut yesterday from Damascus to confer about terms of a draft agreement worked out with the Syrians. (Page 3) Egypt-Libya-Tunisia: Egypt continues to bolster its military strength on the Libyan border, as Tunisia prepares for a possible Libyan attack. (Page 4) Kenya-Uganda-UK: Kenya's foreign minister stated yesterday that Nairobi is prepared to receive missions from both the UN and the OAU to investigate the dispute with Uganda. The UK will announce today its decision to break relations with Uganda. (Page 5) Rhodesia: Fighting, reported as heavy, occurred in northwestern Mozambique last week when Rhodesian troops with air support crossed the border. (Page 5) Japanj Poland-Italy: Dissident Polish intellectuals last week induced the Italian Communist Party to intercede on behalf of Polish workers convicted for participation in the June riots in Poland. (Page 7) Note: USSR-US (Page 9) FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013500010035-9 25X1 I Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013500010035-9 .1.11_i I AVA-41...1.1.1-.0 Li V A V -I. V A ITALY: Italy's Chris- tian Democrats yester- day authorized prime minister - designate Andreotti to form a tem- porary minority govern- ment, the survival of which would depend on Communist abstention in parliamentary confidence votes. The Communists have not held such a pivotal role since their ejection from the gov- ernment in 1947, and have always voted against the government in confidence votes. Given the absence of realistic alternatives, Christian Democratic leader Zaccagnini sought yesterday to paper over differences in his party with a formulation that meets the Communists halfway. Andreotti needs Communist absten- tion because of his failure during consultations on a new government to win parliamentary support from the Christian Democrats' three traditional government partners. The Socialists, Social Democrats, and Republicans have all told An- dreotti that the most he can ex- pect from them is abstention in a confidence vote. Given the in- creased Communist strength in the new parliament, the Christian Dem- ocrats could not command the req- uisite majority of those voting un- less the Communists also abstained. While giving Andreotti the go- ahead, however, the Christian Dem- ocratic leadership stopped just short of issuing the explicit ap- peal for Communist assistance that the Communists had demanded as a condition for their abstention. What the Communists want, in effect, is a formal admission by the Chris- tian Democrats that Italy cannot be governed without Communist co- operation. Influential right-wing Christian Democrats opposed such an appeal to the Communists on the grounds that it would blur the dis- tinction between the opposition and the government. Rather than appealing to the Commu- nists alone, he called on all par- ties consulted by Andreotti to "perform a service" by abstaining in a vote of confidence. The Com- munists will now have to decide whether Zaccagnini has gone far enough toward meeting their de- mand. They will probably be per- suaded to go along by the increased 1 --continued FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013500010035-9 __- Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013500010035-9 1.11:i 1 .1k LI LI ! LJLi1 V .1 VL USSR - MIDDLE EAST: The Soviets yesterday published in Pravda their first authorita- tive editorial on the Middle East situation in many weeks. influence they would acquire and by the Christian Democrats' recent willingness to yield major parlia- mentary posts to them. Andreotti is drawing up a cabinet and will reportedly by ready to face a confidence vote next week. According to an embassy summary, the editorial reflected continued Soviet frustration over develop- ments in Lebanon and elsewhere in the Middle East and put the blame for them squarely on the US. Is- rael, as well as the US, was sharply criticized for pursuing "divide-and conquer" tactics de- signed to set Arabs against one another and to "artifically delay" an overall Middle East settlement. In contrast to other recent Soviet propaganda statements, Pravda did not explicitly criticize Syria for its intervention in Lebanon. It lacked any new ideas for resolving the Lebanese crisis or for rescu- ing the beleaguered Palestinians. Pravda repeated the standard So- viet call to reconvene the Geneva conference to resolve the Middle East impasse, but the appeal was cast in restrained and moderate terms. For example, the editorial omitted the formulation that the PLO should participate at Geneva "from the very beginning." It also included Soviet endorsement of the "inviolability of borders" of all states in the Middle East. Izvestia also attempted to blame the US for Soviet troubles in the Middle East in a lengthy article published on Monday. The article portrays Washington's step-by-step diplomacy as designed to isolate 2 --continued FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19: CIA-RDP79T00936A013500010035-9 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013500010035-9 r (J I\ .1 11 L FIX LJIL/Ld V .1 / 1V 1_J LEBANON: Palestine Liberation Organization representative Qaddumi returned to Beirut yes- terday from Damascus to confer with other PLO officials and Lebanese leftist leaders about terms of a draft agree- ment worked out with the Syrians. More volunteers, based in Libya, will appar- ently soon be heading for Lebanon to fight with Lebanese leftist and Palestinian forces. and, ultimately, to destroy the Palestinian resistance movement-- the only "cement" that holds to- gether the Arabs' "anti-imperialist unity." The leftists predictably have crit- icized the accord for failing to include a provision for the with- drawal of Syrian forces from Leba- non. PLO leaders appear split over whether to accept the terms, which clearly favor Syria. The Christians 25X1 25X1 have yet to25X1 indicate whether they would accept the agreement. 25X1 25X1 We have previously had reports of groups of about 100 transiting Egypt en route to Lebanon. Fatah is said to be handling the recruits, who have just completed training at a camp in Libya. The volunteers are primarily Palestin- ians; a small number are Lebanese. The Palestinian and leftist forces are apparently still experiencing 3 --continued FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013500010035-9 25X1 25X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013500010035-9 ` ALBANIA C,I\GREECE\ ::.--, C).)-.? , ?.72 leu\ ' cZA TrIKEY P ------J-7 ...1CRETE ,fl BULGARIA Black Sea Mediterranean Sea LIBYA Matruh; JORDAN [.."-' --,.......... Alexanda N i \ i \ I ? i Red Se CY"-? LEBANO/N BEIRUT/ ISRAEL EGYPT 0 Miles 400 0 400 Kilometers SYRIA IRAQ SAUDI ARABIA 620174 7-76. Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013500010035-9 LD- Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013500010035-9 run inr, E IX E. / 12.1v .1 1./ / EGYPT-LIBYA-TUNISIA: Egypt continues to bol- ster its military strength on the Libyan border. severe shortages despite the ship- ment of food and arms to them by Egypt and Libya. \ \that large convoys of troops, without armor, were headed west on the Cairo-Alexandria road on Sunday and Monday. We are still uncertain about the extent of the Egyptian buildup. In addition to the latest deploy- ments, Cairo has sent two surface- to-air missile brigades, one MIG- 21 squadron, and at least one bat- talion-size ground force unit to the border area over the past two weeks. Additional ground forces apparently have been moved to the area, but we are unable to confirm their presence. that a newly formed armored division is taking up posi- tions in the Matruh area. Tunisia, meanwhile, has taken pre- cautions against any Libyan mili- tary moves in its direction. Tunisian army units have increased their readiness and that some units along the main coastal highway from Trip- oli to Tunis have been reinforced. 4 --continued FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013500010035-9 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013500010035-9 Southwest Africa INa mi Zambia Victoria Falls Botswana Road Railroad 0 200 MILES 0 200 KILOMETERS \fc Lilougw .'1111111410b d:th Ndr Lusaka Rhodoersi r c Mat WI ALISBUFK : Channo Rho Mozambi ue 41?zambique 7.117 South fri:414C\ ca ( 620125 7.76 CIA ?...t?????-"t...is??????? Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19: CIA-RDP79T00936A013500010035-9 25X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013500010035-9 POR 1 ILE l'EL311JLIV 1 VIVL KENYA-UGANDA-UK: Ken- ya's foreign minister announced yesterday that Nairobi is pre- pared to receive a UN fact-finding mission on the Kenyan-Ugandan dispute and has invited the secretary general of the Organization of African Unity to inves- tigate as well. The UK will announce today its decision to break relations with Uganda. RHODESIA: Fighting, reported as heavy, oc- curred in northwestern Mozambique last week when Rhodesian troops with air support crossed the border. The Kenyan foreign minister also said he would welcome a meeting be- tween Kenyan and Ugandan officials. Ugandan President Amin last week called for UN and OAU investiga- tions of the dispute. The Kenyan foreign minister spelled out to a meeting of foreign diplo- mats in Nairobi measures that Amin must take if he wants to relieve tension between the two countries: withdraw troops from the border, withdraw claims to Kenyan terri- tory, and guarantee the safety of Kenyans living in Uganda. The Callaghan government, which has been under pressure to take some form of action, has postponed the break for two weeks out of con- cern for some 500 British citizens remaining in Uganda. About half of these nationals have now left the country; the others apparently intend to stay. The French embassy in Kampala will represent UK interests in Uganda after the break. Increasing military manpower re- quirements have prompted the Smith regime to introduce legislation that for the first time would per- mit drafting blacks into the security forces. Blacks subject to the draft will not necessarily be used to fight the guerrillas but may be assigned to clerical and other non-combat duties in order to release more whites for combat. 5 --continued FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013500010035-9 - Z. A Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013500010035-9 CIA 1 fl1 IIKEL311J.GIV I VI VL JAPAN: Rapidly rising military costs have compelled the government to take strict measures to ease the grow- ing economic burden of the guer- rilla war. According to the Rho- desian finance minister, funds will be diverted to the military from government services affecting transportation, housing, and local government. In an effort to stop the growing exodus of whites from Rhodesia and to preserve foreign currency re- serves, the government has reduced by almost 80 percent the amount of money emigrants can take out of the country.' 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 6 --continued FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013500010035-9 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013500010035-9 CIA .1 I1E 1-1(E0111.CIV .1 11.1V L. 1 POLAND-ITALY: Dissi- dent Polish intellec- tuals last week induced the Italian Communist Party and trade union movement to intercede on behalf of 13 Polish workers convicted for participation in the June riots in Poland. 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 An open letter to Italian Commu- nist Party leader Berlinguer given to foreign journalists in Poland stimulated the Italian response. The letter criticized the closed trials of the Polish workers and asked the Italian party to protest the "harsh and unjust treatment" accorded convicted strikers. 7 --continued FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013500010035-9 25X1, 1.1=7--) -1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013500010035-9 UK 11E 1-1(ELI1IJEIV 1 CJIV L. I The Italian Communist daily re- ported last week that the party secretariat had expressed to the Polish party Italian "concern" over the trials, particularly be- cause of the paucity of informa- tion about them and the refusal to allow foreign journalists to at- tend. The Italian party urged the Poles to exercise "moderation and even clemency" in dealing with the con- victed. Italy's major trade union federation followed with a "decla- ration of protest" expressing "pro- found concern" over numerous ar- rests and trials. There has been no public reaction from Polish officials. Contacts of the US embassy in Warsaw indi- cate that there is a "very strong" division of opinion within the Po- lish leadership over how best to handle the matter. --continued 8 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013500010035-9 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013500010035-9 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONL Y Several leading offi- cials of the Soviet In- stitute of the USA and Canada will visit the US this summer. They have been separately invited by various or- ganizations. NOTE The institute is now preparing a "profile" of Governor Carter and presumably will do a forecast of the election results and the pos- sible effects on US policy. Among those officials who are com- ing to the US are Institute Direc- tor Georgy Arbatov; Valentin Be- rezhkov, chief editor of the insti- tute's journal; and Georgy Svyatov, chief of the institute's military- technical policy section. 9 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013500010035-9 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013500010035-9 Top Secret Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013500010035-9