THE PRESIDENT'S DAILY BRIEF 15 JULY 1976
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Collection:
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST):
0006015164
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RIPPUB
Original Classification:
T
Document Page Count:
15
Document Creation Date:
August 14, 2016
Document Release Date:
August 24, 2016
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Publication Date:
July 15, 1976
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The President's Daily Brief
July 15, 1976
2
o
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Exempt from general
declassification scheduk of E.O. 11652
exemption categoty, 5B( 1),(2).0)
declassified only on approval of
the Director of Central Intelligence
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UK 11-1C rt(EJI1JE1V 1 U1V Li I
July 15, 1976
Table of Contents
Lebanon: Palestine Liberation Organization chairman Yasir Arafat
is going to Damascus tomorrow, and he may have concluded
that he has to sound out the possibilities of a cease-fire
with Syria. (Page 1)
Iraq-Syria: Baghdad has begun a counterinsurgency campaign in,
the northern part of the country against Kurdish rebels
based in Syria. (Page 3)
Greece-Turkey: Tensions are increasing again between Athens and
Ankara over the expected sailing of a Turkish research ship
into the Aegean. (Page 3)
West Germany: Chancellor Schmidt has indicated that he prefers
to discuss international issues during his visit to Washing-
ton. (Page 4)
Notes: Libya; South Africa - Zambia; Spain; Jordan (Pages 6, 7,
8)
FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
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Lebanon
A Palestinian Refugee Camp
Syrian Blockade
-- Syrian Line of Advance
o Christian Town
MEDITERRANEAN
SEA
BEIRUT
Nahr al-8arid4
Badda
Tripol
Chstian
oontrolled
fr, ?
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r. 4/
j
Dibayah , 4 1-
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? C., ??,.-??
Mar BE' xA Tall ,atar ';
Sabra ,5-4
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Barapna
Zahla
Arab League,
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iuvr
Security Force Gaol; -\\
_ 'as
Predotninw,tly
ti Lyn
P ul` ted
? Al
_
'Predomi9antly'ye-_1.
Muslim
Pop lated
f
Syrian
Controlled
DAMASCUS
eSitata,g4MU
Tyre. A.Attss C?0-1-911e
)h-ABori alSh mali
Rashidiyah,
I Khiyam
SY IA
MILES 20
820069 7-76
0 KILOMETERS 20
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LEBANON: Palestine
Liberation Organization
leader Yasir Arafat will
go to Damascus tomorrow.
Syria's limited pullback
from Sidon yesterday
would enable Arafat to
negotiate with Damascus
without seeming to be
submitting to Syrian
demands.
The Palestinians have shown sharp
disappointment with the inconclu-
sive results of this week's Arab
League meeting, and Arafat may have
decided that he has no alternative
but to explore the possibilities
of a cease-fire with Syria. Al-
though the Palestinians maintained
throughout the league meeting that
they could not go along with a
cease-fire unless Syrian forces
withdrew completely from Lebanon,
they apparently received little
support from the Arab foreign min-
isters, who concentrated on how t;.;vi
effect a reconciliation with Syrit:^1
Continued supply problems and indi-
cations of intensified disagreement 25X1
over strategy within Palestinian
and leftist ranks also suisest Ara
fat ma sue for seace.
The Syrians may in fact have antic-
ipated that a tactical concession
on their part would facilitate
Arafat's acquiescence in cease-fire
talks. Syrian forces have thus far
moved only to Jazzin--which is
within artillery range of Sidon--
and it is
unlikely
that they
will
move much
farther.
Sidon is
the
principal
delivery
point for
arms
--continued
FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
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PUK 1 tIL l'EL31DLIV 1 UAL I
In a &eparaie telephone
conversation with Husayn
yesterday, Asad said he
is becoming concerned
that foreign interven-
tion in Lebanon is grow-
ing and might even in-
clude Cubans.
shipments)
Although the conversation as re-
layed by Husayn indicates that
Asad does not believe Cubans are
in Lebanon now, he told the King
? that he expects Cuban involvement
on the side of the PLO and the
leftists.
25X1
2
--continued
FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
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e
? " ? \?
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?
- ,
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.4e t
Tehran,_ -
7ir
CASPIAN SEA
SYRIA
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LEBANON,
Beirut* ,!/
?Damascus
ISRAEL,????4
/
C??? *Amman
) el :JORDAN
V 71 ?
\
k
I
IRA
0 Miles 100
0 100
Kilometers
SAUDI ARABIA
NEUTRAL
ZONE
,
-\ss
3.\\
l?ERStAN
KUWAIT
*Kuwait
620075 746'
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IRAQ-SYRIA: Iraq has
launched a counterin-
surgency campaign in
the northern part of
the country against
Kurdish rebels based
in Syria, who recently
have become more active.
GREECE-TURKEY: Ten-
sions between the two
countries are on the
rise again following
Ankara's latest move in
the war of nerves over
the expected sailing of
the Turkish research
ship into the Aegean.
Kurdish attacks on border posts
and police stations and ambushes
of Iraqi military units have led
to the most serious skirmishing
between Kurds and government forces
since March 1975, when a major
Kurdish rebellion collapsed after
losing the support of Iran.
Damascus, which has supported a
group of Iraqi Kurds that took ref-
uge in Syria last year, probably
is behind the recent flurry of in-
cidents. The Syrians apparently
hope Baghdad will have to pull
some of its forces away from the
Syrian-Iraqi border for service
against the Kurds.
The Turkish National Security Coun-
cil recommended on Tuesday that
the government take steps to en-
sure the ship's safe conduct in
Turkey's territorial waters and on
the high seas. The Greek foreign
minister has expressed his "great
concern" to the US ambassador in
Athens.
The vessel's sailing date and
course remain unclear. The US con-
sulate in Istanbul reports that
the ship may be prepared to depart
for the Aegean today. Turkish of-
ficials are deliberately vague on
the ship's likely course but re-
ject any implication that they in-
tend to provoke the Greeks.
Ankara may want to make its point
against Athens' exclusionary
claims in the Aegean without going
to the brink. A similar desire
seems to exist in the Greek govern-
ment.
--continued
3
FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
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WEST GERMANY: Chancel-
lor Helmut Schmidt com-
mented publicly this
week that US - West Ger-
man relations are at a
"high-point" and prob-
lem-free, and implied
that he prefers to dis-
cuss international
rather than bilateral
issues during his visit
to Washington.
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Schmidt presumably will want to
exchange views with you on some of
the same issues he has discussed
recently with European leaders.
These are international terrorism--
including the UN debate on this
topic--the North-South dialogue,
the international economic situa-
tion, the general state of the EC,
and the situation in Italy.
The Chancellor said he hoped the
question of an offset agreement
would not come up. The last agree-
ment to offset the costs of sta-
tioning US forces in West Germany
expired in 1975. Schmidt has in-
dicated he is not interested in
negotiating a new agreement that
would be similar to previous ones.
He has suggested that he might be
willing to conclude some kind of
informal arrangement.
--continued
4
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.110/-? 11-IL F.K.L611>LAI 1 UlVi, I
In another display of
support for the demo-
cratic forces in Portu-
gal, West Germany has
given 14 more G-91
ground attack aircraft
to Lisbon as part of a
continuing West German
effort to help modern-
ize the Portuguese
air force and strengthen
Lisbon's military capa-
bility within NATO.
The transfer brings to 19 the num-
ber of G-91s the West Germans have
sent to Portugal this year.
The Portuguese air force views the
G-91 as only an interim addition
to its inventory until Lisbon can
obtain first-line aircraft from
the US or other NATO allies. Lis-
bon's efforts to modernize its air
force, however, probably will be
hampered by a shortage of foreign
exchange and by budgetary con-
straints.
A US - West German army survey
team is scheduled to visit Portu-
gal later,this month. A US air
force team visited Lisbon earlier
this summer, and a visit by a US
naval team is expected in the fall.
5
--continued
FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
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MO OCCO
0.0
WESTERN
SAN RA
MAURITANIA
SENEGAL
GAMB
GL/IN
BISSAU I
SIERRA,
LEONE IVORY
COAST
,
ALGERIA
MALI
UPPER
VOLTA
TOGO
is,A0-e? sea
NIGER
BENIN
NIGERIA
EROON
EO. GUINEA
GABON
?
Atlantic Ocean
lopo Miles
0 540 1000 Kilometers
LIBYA
Kufrah.
CHAD
N'Djamena
a
Ca ire*
EGYPT
SUDAN
CA
CENTRAL AFRICAN
REPUBLIC
CON
ETHIOPIA
som
UGANDA
KENYA
Kam alaik-`*
RWANDA
ZAIRE
ANGOLA
NAMIBIA
WALVIS BAY
Windhoek
ZAMBIA
lusaka*
BURUNDI
TANZANIA
MALAW
RHODESIA
TSWANA
Pretoria
SWAZILAND
SOUTH as
AFRICA
THO
MO AMBIOUE
A
6200717.76
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FOR FRESIDENI UNLY
Military activity in
Libya's southeastern
border area has in-
creased sharply over
the past ten days.
NOTES
Twenty-five C-130 flights have
been made to Kufrah since July 6,
compared to only five fnr the en
tire month of June.
25X1
We cannot determine whether the
troop movements are related to the
situation in Uganda, to strained
relations with Sudan, or to sup-
porting Libyan military activities
in neighboring Chad. Libya has oc-
cupied a small zone along the north-
ern border of Chad for several 25X1
years, and skirmishes reportedly
have occurred there recently.
6
--continued
FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
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FUR IHE FRE511JLIVi. UIVLY
South African army com-
mandos operating from
South African - con-
trolled Namibia report-
edly attacked a guer-
rilla camp of the South-
West African People's
Organization in Zambia
last Sunday.
The new Spanish govern-
ment passed its first
parliamentary test yes-
terday when the Cortes
approved penal code re-
visions needed to im-
plement legislation le-
galizing political par-
ties.
The South Africans have been con-
cerned over a recent rash of SWPPO
terrorist incidents in Namibia.
these incidents probably
were the work of guerrillas coming
from Angola
The Zambians have tried to prevent
the guerrillas from using Zambian
territory to stage operations into
Namibia. Lusaka recently
has denounced several other alleged
South African hostile actions
against Zambia
Removal of the restrictions on po-
litical activity will make it eas-
ier for the government to grant am-
nesty to political prisoners. Last
week there were widespread demon-
strations demanding amnesty for the
remaining political prisoners not
covered by the King's earlier am-
nesty decree.
The government's failure to obtain
an absolute majority in the vote
on the revisions suggests that it
may have difficulty getting right-
ist support for the rest of the re-
form program.
Controversy arose over the lack of
any specific reference to the Com-
munist Party in the revised code.
The formula approved, over rightist
objections, allows the government
some flexibility in deciding whether
to legalize the party. This will
aid the cabinet in getting the dem-
ocratic opposition parties, who want
all parties legalized, to partici-
pate in the planned referendum on
political reforms and in the subse-
quent elections.
7
--continued
FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
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14 UK 1 tit, YAL311JLIV 1 U1V L I
Jordan's King Husayn
and the Royal Court ap-
parently will assume re-
sponsibility for foreign
policy in the new cabi-
net, despite Prime Min-
ister Badran's appoint-
ment as foreign minis-
ter and defense minis-
ter.
The new head of the Royal Court,
Abd al-Hamid Sharaf, reportedly
will assist Husayn in dealing with
foreign policy matters. As Jor-
dan's ambassador to the US and
later its permanent representative
to the UN, Sharaf has lived in the
US for the past decade. He is gen-
erally pragmatic and pro-West but
is critical of the US on some Mid-
dle East issues.
Badran is likely to concentrate on
domestic matters.
25X1
Husayn was careful in his
shuffle of the cabinet and Royal
Court positions to replace retir-
ing East Bank ministers with
younger, qualified individuals
from the East Bank.
All evidence suggests that Husayn
is still on good terms with former
prime minister Rifai, and that Ri-
fai will remain an important in-
fluence on the King. Husayn may
calculate that Rifai's departure
will allow him to repair his
strained relations with Saudi Ara-
bia and Egypt without jeopardizing
his good standing with Syrian Pres-
ident Asad.
8
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Top Secret
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