THE PRESIDENT'S DAILY BRIEF 15 JULY 1976

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0006015164
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RIPPUB
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T
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15
Document Creation Date: 
August 14, 2016
Document Release Date: 
August 24, 2016
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Publication Date: 
July 15, 1976
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Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013500010024-1 The President's Daily Brief July 15, 1976 2 o Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013500010024-1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013500010024-1 Exempt from general declassification scheduk of E.O. 11652 exemption categoty, 5B( 1),(2).0) declassified only on approval of the Director of Central Intelligence Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013500010024-1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013500010024-1 UK 11-1C rt(EJI1JE1V 1 U1V Li I July 15, 1976 Table of Contents Lebanon: Palestine Liberation Organization chairman Yasir Arafat is going to Damascus tomorrow, and he may have concluded that he has to sound out the possibilities of a cease-fire with Syria. (Page 1) Iraq-Syria: Baghdad has begun a counterinsurgency campaign in, the northern part of the country against Kurdish rebels based in Syria. (Page 3) Greece-Turkey: Tensions are increasing again between Athens and Ankara over the expected sailing of a Turkish research ship into the Aegean. (Page 3) West Germany: Chancellor Schmidt has indicated that he prefers to discuss international issues during his visit to Washing- ton. (Page 4) Notes: Libya; South Africa - Zambia; Spain; Jordan (Pages 6, 7, 8) FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013500010024-1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013500010024-1 Lebanon A Palestinian Refugee Camp Syrian Blockade -- Syrian Line of Advance o Christian Town MEDITERRANEAN SEA BEIRUT Nahr al-8arid4 Badda Tripol Chstian oontrolled fr, ? / r. 4/ j Dibayah , 4 1- ?:0 ? C., ??,.-?? Mar BE' xA Tall ,atar '; Sabra ,5-4 Shati a'z'614 jekisri,1143411ah fRiyaq Barapna Zahla Arab League, C 0 7' S TrA_ v v 7stE iuvr Security Force Gaol; -\\ _ 'as Predotninw,tly ti Lyn P ul` ted ? Al _ 'Predomi9antly'ye-_1. Muslim Pop lated f Syrian Controlled DAMASCUS eSitata,g4MU Tyre. A.Attss C?0-1-911e )h-ABori alSh mali Rashidiyah, I Khiyam SY IA MILES 20 820069 7-76 0 KILOMETERS 20 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19: CIA-RDP79T00936A013500010024-1 25X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved forR--ereS--e 20 16/07/19 7 aTA:kDP79T00936A013500010024-1 LEBANON: Palestine Liberation Organization leader Yasir Arafat will go to Damascus tomorrow. Syria's limited pullback from Sidon yesterday would enable Arafat to negotiate with Damascus without seeming to be submitting to Syrian demands. The Palestinians have shown sharp disappointment with the inconclu- sive results of this week's Arab League meeting, and Arafat may have decided that he has no alternative but to explore the possibilities of a cease-fire with Syria. Al- though the Palestinians maintained throughout the league meeting that they could not go along with a cease-fire unless Syrian forces withdrew completely from Lebanon, they apparently received little support from the Arab foreign min- isters, who concentrated on how t;.;vi effect a reconciliation with Syrit:^1 Continued supply problems and indi- cations of intensified disagreement 25X1 over strategy within Palestinian and leftist ranks also suisest Ara fat ma sue for seace. The Syrians may in fact have antic- ipated that a tactical concession on their part would facilitate Arafat's acquiescence in cease-fire talks. Syrian forces have thus far moved only to Jazzin--which is within artillery range of Sidon-- and it is unlikely that they will move much farther. Sidon is the principal delivery point for arms --continued FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013500010024-1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013500010024-1 PUK 1 tIL l'EL31DLIV 1 UAL I In a &eparaie telephone conversation with Husayn yesterday, Asad said he is becoming concerned that foreign interven- tion in Lebanon is grow- ing and might even in- clude Cubans. shipments) Although the conversation as re- layed by Husayn indicates that Asad does not believe Cubans are in Lebanon now, he told the King ? that he expects Cuban involvement on the side of the PLO and the leftists. 25X1 2 --continued FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013500010024-1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013500010024-1 ?:?:????:- e ? " ? \? ??,!. ? - , kN -A, "tr' .4e t Tehran,_ - 7ir CASPIAN SEA SYRIA IRAN LEBANON, Beirut* ,!/ ?Damascus ISRAEL,????4 / C??? *Amman ) el :JORDAN V 71 ? \ k I IRA 0 Miles 100 0 100 Kilometers SAUDI ARABIA NEUTRAL ZONE , -\ss 3.\\ l?ERStAN KUWAIT *Kuwait 620075 746' Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013500010024-1 _ Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/1-97 elA:1DP79T00936A013500010024-1 IRAQ-SYRIA: Iraq has launched a counterin- surgency campaign in the northern part of the country against Kurdish rebels based in Syria, who recently have become more active. GREECE-TURKEY: Ten- sions between the two countries are on the rise again following Ankara's latest move in the war of nerves over the expected sailing of the Turkish research ship into the Aegean. Kurdish attacks on border posts and police stations and ambushes of Iraqi military units have led to the most serious skirmishing between Kurds and government forces since March 1975, when a major Kurdish rebellion collapsed after losing the support of Iran. Damascus, which has supported a group of Iraqi Kurds that took ref- uge in Syria last year, probably is behind the recent flurry of in- cidents. The Syrians apparently hope Baghdad will have to pull some of its forces away from the Syrian-Iraqi border for service against the Kurds. The Turkish National Security Coun- cil recommended on Tuesday that the government take steps to en- sure the ship's safe conduct in Turkey's territorial waters and on the high seas. The Greek foreign minister has expressed his "great concern" to the US ambassador in Athens. The vessel's sailing date and course remain unclear. The US con- sulate in Istanbul reports that the ship may be prepared to depart for the Aegean today. Turkish of- ficials are deliberately vague on the ship's likely course but re- ject any implication that they in- tend to provoke the Greeks. Ankara may want to make its point against Athens' exclusionary claims in the Aegean without going to the brink. A similar desire seems to exist in the Greek govern- ment. --continued 3 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013500010024-1 25X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/T)/1-97 al-A:IDP79T00936A013500010024-1 WEST GERMANY: Chancel- lor Helmut Schmidt com- mented publicly this week that US - West Ger- man relations are at a "high-point" and prob- lem-free, and implied that he prefers to dis- cuss international rather than bilateral issues during his visit to Washington. 25X1 Schmidt presumably will want to exchange views with you on some of the same issues he has discussed recently with European leaders. These are international terrorism-- including the UN debate on this topic--the North-South dialogue, the international economic situa- tion, the general state of the EC, and the situation in Italy. The Chancellor said he hoped the question of an offset agreement would not come up. The last agree- ment to offset the costs of sta- tioning US forces in West Germany expired in 1975. Schmidt has in- dicated he is not interested in negotiating a new agreement that would be similar to previous ones. He has suggested that he might be willing to conclude some kind of informal arrangement. --continued 4 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013500010024-1 25X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 ? CIA-RDP79T00936A013500010024-1 .110/-? 11-IL F.K.L611>LAI 1 UlVi, I In another display of support for the demo- cratic forces in Portu- gal, West Germany has given 14 more G-91 ground attack aircraft to Lisbon as part of a continuing West German effort to help modern- ize the Portuguese air force and strengthen Lisbon's military capa- bility within NATO. The transfer brings to 19 the num- ber of G-91s the West Germans have sent to Portugal this year. The Portuguese air force views the G-91 as only an interim addition to its inventory until Lisbon can obtain first-line aircraft from the US or other NATO allies. Lis- bon's efforts to modernize its air force, however, probably will be hampered by a shortage of foreign exchange and by budgetary con- straints. A US - West German army survey team is scheduled to visit Portu- gal later,this month. A US air force team visited Lisbon earlier this summer, and a visit by a US naval team is expected in the fall. 5 --continued FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013500010024-1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013500010024-1 MO OCCO 0.0 WESTERN SAN RA MAURITANIA SENEGAL GAMB GL/IN BISSAU I SIERRA, LEONE IVORY COAST , ALGERIA MALI UPPER VOLTA TOGO is,A0-e? sea NIGER BENIN NIGERIA EROON EO. GUINEA GABON ? Atlantic Ocean lopo Miles 0 540 1000 Kilometers LIBYA Kufrah. CHAD N'Djamena a Ca ire* EGYPT SUDAN CA CENTRAL AFRICAN REPUBLIC CON ETHIOPIA som UGANDA KENYA Kam alaik-`* RWANDA ZAIRE ANGOLA NAMIBIA WALVIS BAY Windhoek ZAMBIA lusaka* BURUNDI TANZANIA MALAW RHODESIA TSWANA Pretoria SWAZILAND SOUTH as AFRICA THO MO AMBIOUE A 6200717.76 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013500010024-1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013500010024-1 FOR FRESIDENI UNLY Military activity in Libya's southeastern border area has in- creased sharply over the past ten days. NOTES Twenty-five C-130 flights have been made to Kufrah since July 6, compared to only five fnr the en tire month of June. 25X1 We cannot determine whether the troop movements are related to the situation in Uganda, to strained relations with Sudan, or to sup- porting Libyan military activities in neighboring Chad. Libya has oc- cupied a small zone along the north- ern border of Chad for several 25X1 years, and skirmishes reportedly have occurred there recently. 6 --continued FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013500010024-1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013500010024-1 FUR IHE FRE511JLIVi. UIVLY South African army com- mandos operating from South African - con- trolled Namibia report- edly attacked a guer- rilla camp of the South- West African People's Organization in Zambia last Sunday. The new Spanish govern- ment passed its first parliamentary test yes- terday when the Cortes approved penal code re- visions needed to im- plement legislation le- galizing political par- ties. The South Africans have been con- cerned over a recent rash of SWPPO terrorist incidents in Namibia. these incidents probably were the work of guerrillas coming from Angola The Zambians have tried to prevent the guerrillas from using Zambian territory to stage operations into Namibia. Lusaka recently has denounced several other alleged South African hostile actions against Zambia Removal of the restrictions on po- litical activity will make it eas- ier for the government to grant am- nesty to political prisoners. Last week there were widespread demon- strations demanding amnesty for the remaining political prisoners not covered by the King's earlier am- nesty decree. The government's failure to obtain an absolute majority in the vote on the revisions suggests that it may have difficulty getting right- ist support for the rest of the re- form program. Controversy arose over the lack of any specific reference to the Com- munist Party in the revised code. The formula approved, over rightist objections, allows the government some flexibility in deciding whether to legalize the party. This will aid the cabinet in getting the dem- ocratic opposition parties, who want all parties legalized, to partici- pate in the planned referendum on political reforms and in the subse- quent elections. 7 --continued FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013500010024-1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013500010024-1 14 UK 1 tit, YAL311JLIV 1 U1V L I Jordan's King Husayn and the Royal Court ap- parently will assume re- sponsibility for foreign policy in the new cabi- net, despite Prime Min- ister Badran's appoint- ment as foreign minis- ter and defense minis- ter. The new head of the Royal Court, Abd al-Hamid Sharaf, reportedly will assist Husayn in dealing with foreign policy matters. As Jor- dan's ambassador to the US and later its permanent representative to the UN, Sharaf has lived in the US for the past decade. He is gen- erally pragmatic and pro-West but is critical of the US on some Mid- dle East issues. Badran is likely to concentrate on domestic matters. 25X1 Husayn was careful in his shuffle of the cabinet and Royal Court positions to replace retir- ing East Bank ministers with younger, qualified individuals from the East Bank. All evidence suggests that Husayn is still on good terms with former prime minister Rifai, and that Ri- fai will remain an important in- fluence on the King. Husayn may calculate that Rifai's departure will allow him to repair his strained relations with Saudi Ara- bia and Egypt without jeopardizing his good standing with Syrian Pres- ident Asad. 8 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013500010024-1 25X1 25X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013500010024-1 Top Secret Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013500010024-1