THE PRESIDENT'S DAILY BRIEF 9 JUNE 1976

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Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
0006015131
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RIPPUB
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T
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15
Document Creation Date: 
August 14, 2016
Document Release Date: 
August 24, 2016
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Publication Date: 
June 9, 1976
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Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013400010024-2 The President's Daily Brief June 9, 1976 2 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013400010024-2 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013400010024-2 Exempt from general declassification schedule of E.O. 11652 exemption category 515(12,12),(3) declassified only on approval of the Director of Central Intelligence Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013400010024-2 f TT'Ii Ti nrryr TIT) 77 CI Tr % clATT Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013400010024-2 June 9, 1976 Table of Contents Lebanon: The Arab League foreign ministers adopted a resolution late last night calling for an immediate cease-fire in Leba- non. Late press reports from Beirut say Syrian President Asad has accepted, but we have no confirmation from Damas- cus. (Page 1) Syrian forces in Lebanon met stiffer resistance than they had expected yesterday. (Page 2) President Asad is under increased domestic pressure as a r.- sult of Syria's military escalation in Lebanon. (Page 2) 25X1 Jordan-USSR: (Page 3) 25X1 USSR: The Soviets are stressing their interest in the early con- clusion of a new strategic arms limitation agreeme-+ 25X1 25X1 (Page 4) West Germany - Italy: Rhodesia: (Page 5) 25X1 (Page 6) Notes: Cuba; Angola; Greece; North Yemen - USSR (Pages FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY 25X1 7 and 8) 25X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013400010024-2 T7/"1 7-1 FT, T T 7-7 n n 7-7 C T r IT' 7 Tfr cl T IT Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013400010024-2 LEBANON: The Arab League foreign minis- ters, who gathered in Cairo late last night to consider the Leba- nese crisis, adopted a resolution calling for an immediate cease-fire and the replacement of Syrian troops in Leba- non with an Arab secu- rity force. Late press reports from Beirut say Syrian President Asad has accepted the reso- lution. The resolution appears to be a compromise between advocates of a Palestinian call for an immediate, unconditional withdrawal of Syrian forces and those hoping to avoid a direct challenge to Damascus. The resolution describes the joint Arab force as a "token" security force and gives no timetable for the replacement of Syrian troops. The resolution also authorizes a committee composed of the Arab League Secretary General and rep- resentatives of Algeria, Libya, and Bahrain to go immediately to Beirut to "cooperate" with "all concerned parties" in arranging the cease-fire. Although the resolution expresses support for the Palestinian revo- lution and determination to pro- tect it from "all dangers," it carefully avoids direct criticism of Syria's actions in Lebanon and any suggestion that the Arab League is dictating to Damascus. The speedy action by the foreign ministers clearly caught Damascus off guard. According to reporting early yesterday, Syrian Foreign Minister Khaddam was planning to arrive in Cairo today to counter Palestinian charges. Syria's rep- resentative at the session yester- day warned that Syria would not accept any resolution until Khaddam "had been heard." We have no confirmation from Da- mascus that President Asad has, in fact, accepted all provisions of the resolution--as the Beirut press alleges. We would expect any Syrian endorsement to be qual- ified to reflect Syria's adamant opposition to the introduction of other Arab troops in Lebanon. --continued 1 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013400010024-2 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013400010024-2 MEDITERRANEAN SEA 59880 6-76 0 KILOMETERS 20 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013400010024-2 rc n '777-T nn TT% r'7\ TrT' /-17\Ti 17 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013400010024-2 Late yesterday, elements of the Syrian armored division on the Beirut to Damascus highway re- portedly had moved to within a few miles of the leftist stronghold of Alayh, Kamal Jum- Hatt's home town. Syria's military esca- lation in Lebanon has thrown into even sharper relief President Asad's high personal stake in achieving a solution to the Lebanese crisis. Asad, however, may have accepted the League's call for a truce in order to avoid total defiance of a joint Arab decision. The Syr- ians, moreover, have run into un- expected, stiff opposition in Leb- anon and may even welcome a respite. Other Syrian forces were unsuccess- ful in their attempt to enter the southern port city of Sidon. Heavy shelling was still going on there late last night, and the Palestin- ians fear a renewed Syrian assault today. Fighting elsewhere was at a low level. In the north, Syrian-con- trolled Saiqa forces in Tripoli suffered a sharp setback--as they have in other major Lebanese cities Syrian regulars, however, expanded their control in the surrounding countryside. Syrian and Israeli aircraft flew reconnaissance missions over Leba- non again yesterday, but there were no incidents. It is still not clear whether any Syrian air- craft have been used in combat mis- sions against leftist and Palestin- ian targets. The domestic returns from Asad's military moves are not yet in, but there are rumors of sharp divisions within the regime. There are no indications that Asad faces an im- minent coup. The urgency in Asad's present sit- uation apparently was brought on by a miscalculation of Palestinian willingness to resist increased Syrian intervention. Thus far, Syr- ian regulars have not fared as well as Asad expected against the Pales- tinians. --continued 2 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013400010024-2 - 7-71-1 n rrTT77 n n 77CITTIE'XI71 clATT Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013400010024-2 JORDAN-USSR: 25X1 Given the outside Arab pressures that are building on Asad, it seems unlikely that he will be willing to sustain military action against the Palestinians much longer. On the other hand, it would be diffi- cult for him to respond to Pales- tinian pressures for a substantial withdrawal of Syrian forces. The latest US embassy assessment ?sees Asad as continuing in firm control. The absence of an Israeli response to the heightened Syrian intervention in Lebanon may have substantially reduced the criticism of Asad from within the all-impor- tant military. 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 --continued 3 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013400010024-2 1", !I T1 fr TT n C1 T.' 7t T?71 c 1J T T Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013400010024-2 USSR: The Soviet lead- ership and media have re-emphasized interest in the early conclusion of a new strategic arms limitations agreement since the signing last month of the US-Soviet treaty on peaceful nu- clear explosions. 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 The USSR has played up the symbolic significance of the new agreement for US-Soviet relations in general and for SALT in partiCular. Fol- lowing General Secretary Brezhnev's affirmation of Moscow's intention to seek a new strategic arms pact at the signing ceremony on May 28, various Soviet spokemen have as- serted that the peaceful nuclear explosions treaty provides a stim- ulus to agreements on "other dis- armament question." An article carried by Pravda last week exhorted the US to move "as soon as possible" toward a new SALT agreement. The USSR's increased public atten- tion to SALT apparently derives from its hopeful readings of developments in the US rather than from any sub- stantial change in the Soviet nego- tiating position. The Soviets have been encouraged by your success in recent presidential primaries in the face of attacks on US policy toward the USSR. They were also pleased by your reaffirmation last month of a continuing commitment to SALT, and reported your Los Angeles statement in the central press. --continued 4 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013400010024-2 ^ /-1 n ti n T T1 T'7' /1 T T Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013400010024-2 Moscow probably still remains skeptical of the chances for achiev- ing a new SALT agree- ment this year. WEST GERMANY - ITALY: 25X1 There has been no indication that the Soviets are willing to modify their negotiating stance. Pravda and other sources continue to crit- icize the US along familiar lines, 25X1 specifically attacking the 6-1, Trident, and long-range cruise mis- sile programs. 25X1 25X1 25X1 5 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013400010024-2 25X1 25X1 25X1 T7 11 '77 TT T) C T T1 77 7 PT' Z-1 7 T T Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013400010024-2 RHODESIA: 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 6 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY 25X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013400010024-2 25X1 T71-1 T1 fr, 711:' 1171 17 T 7Th 1-7 Trr / -17\1 T Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013400010024-2 The Cuban convoy in the Caribbean has changed course and is scheduled to arrive in Mariel, Cuba's main military port, later today. All Angolan troops in Luanda were ordered con- fined to barracks yester- day for two days. Staff headquarters explained that a pending reorgani- zation of the armed forces and preparations for Armed Forces Day were behind the move. The Greek government has declared that it will continue to allow port visits by ships of the US Sixth Fleet despite recent demonstrations and parliamentary criti- cism directed against them. NOTES It may be bringing home the first sizable contingent of Cuban troops withdrawn from Angola. If so, its arrival would give Prime Minister Castro an opportunity to reiterate his pledge to withdraw. Since Armed Forces Day is almost two months away, the order is more likely related to the factional dispute within the Popular Move- ment and may be part of a power play by the military against the political wing of the Popular Move- ment. Last month the general staff surfaced a plan to reorgan- ize the military that President Neto rescinded the following day, stating that it had been issued without his sanction. Neto may actually have been thwarting an attempt by the military leadership to increase its influence. 25X1 Greek security police clashed last month with leftist demonstrators 25X1 on both Rhodes and Mykonos, which caused the government to ask that US ships depart in order to avoid more serious violence. A limited schedule of port visits by US ships has been resumed, in- cluding one to a port near Athens last week that was carried out without incident. --continued 7 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013400010024-2 7-7 TI 7-, T1 T1 V' C TT 7? T TT !I TI Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013400010024-2 North Yemen Soviet 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 8 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013400010024-2 25X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized ZO-p-i Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013400010024-2 LEBANON --continued Al 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013400010024-2 r" Z1 7Th r7" TI T' 11 T1 T rt 77 7. T rT' ,ITTT IJ Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013400010024-2 A2 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013400010024-2 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013400010024-2 Top Secret Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013400010024-2