THE PRESIDENT'S DAILY BRIEF 10 APRIL 1976

• Document Type: FOIA
• Collection: President's Daily Brief 1969-1977
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 0006015079
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 10
• Document Creation Date: August 14, 2016
• Document Release Date: August 24, 2016
• Publication Date: April 10, 1976

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The President's Daily Brief
April 10, 1976
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Exempt from general
declassification schedule of E.O. 11652
exemption category, 5B(l ).(2).(3)
declassified ?Mai on approval of
the Director of Central Intelligence
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Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A013300010010-8
April 10, 1976
Table of Contents
Lebanon:
South Africa - An sola:
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USSR-Somalia: Policy differences between the USSR and Somalia
over the French Territory of the Afars and Issas are con-
tinuing. (Page 3)
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Notes: USSR; West Germany; Panama-Venezuela-Cuba (Pages 4 and 5)
FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
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MEDITERRANEAN
SEA
rian Forces
. 559591 4-76
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J. A. L.J. ? A.-a
LEBANON:
The Syrian move so far
has worked to stall
rather than speed polit-
ical progress in Beirut.
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Early this morning,
large convoy of transporters
loaded with armored personnel car-
riers moving along the Damascus-
Beirut road. The convoy included
a few tanks and miscellaneous ve-
hicles carrying ammunition, water,
and fuel.
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these forces 25X1
are from the Syrian 3rd Armored
Division, normally stationed jus5xl
north of Damascus.
If a sizable portion of the Syrian
3rd Armored Division has in fact
entered Lebanon, Israeli forces
are virtually certain to go on
high alert, reinforce the northern
border area, and mobilize some re-
serves.
The Israelis may consider the pres-
ence of Syrian troops near Rash-
ayya, and the size and composition
of the Syrian force generally, to
be a threat to their security.
Tel Aviv's reaction will depend
largely on how big the force is
revealed to be today, how much ar-
mor it possesses, and whether it
moves still farther south.
The Israelis may conclude that
they must make limited incursions
of their own into far southeastern
Lebanon to take up good defensive
positions.
We believe the Israelis are not
likely--on the basis of the extent
--continued
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SOUTH AFRICA - ANGOLA:
of Syrian intervention identified
thus far--to resort immediately to
more drastic measures such as the
occupation of southern Lebanon or
a preemptive strike an the Golan
front.
Leftist leader Kamal Jumblatt, who
earlier this week had offered cau-
tious approval of Damascus' ef-
forts, last night condemned Syria
for "resorting to escalation at a
time of truce without any justifi-
cation."
Jumblatt has not indicated that he
will boycott the meeting of parlia-
ment today, but he almost cer-
tainly will be in no mood to com-
promise with Damascus on the ques-
tion of who should replace Presi-
dent Franjiyah.
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_
USSR-SOMALIA: Policy
differences between the
USSR and Somalia over
the French Territory of
the Afars and Issas are
continuing.
In recent conversations with US
embassy officials in Mogadiscio,
Soviet Ambassador Samsonov said
the Soviets favor self-determina-
tion for the territory and oppose
any outside interference, includ-
ing that of Somalia, in FTAI af-
fairs.
The Soviets reportedly have cau-
tioned Mogadiscio to limit its ac-
tivities in the territory to in-
surgency and political subversion.
In return for Somalia's restraint,
Moscow has promised to work behind
the scenes with Addis Ababa and
Paris to try to fashion a politi-
cal settlement that would satisfy
both Somali and Ethiopian inter-
ests in the territory.
Somali President Siad apparently
used his recent month-long visit
to Moscow to try to drum up Soviet
diplomatic and military support
for a more aggressive Somali po-
licy. The absence of a joint com-
munique at the close of his visit
suggests that he received consid-
erably less than he had hoped for.
According to one unconfirmed re-
port, the Soviets tried to put
pressure on Siad to seek an accom-
modation with the French on the
future of the FTAI, but the Somali
leader flatly refused.
FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
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A VA\ A AA A A VA-11.../ A A-, AJ A ? A VI. V A
The rate of Soviet Jew-
ish emigration for the
first three months of
1976 is approximately
18 percent ahead of
that for the same pe-
riod last year.
The West German cabinet
has decided to go ahead
with production of the
muZtirole combat air-
craft.
NOTES
Through March, 3,641 Soviet Jews
were granted permission to go to
Israel. In contrast to the first
quarter of 1975, in which succes-
sive monthly totals declined, the
trend this year has been one of
rising figures.
This year's rise in emigration
does not necessarily indicate a
shift in Soviet policy; similar
brief upswings have occurred in
the recent past. In this instance
Soviet authorities may have opened
the emigration tap a bit to reduce
chances of embarrassing incidents
during the 25th Party Congress.
West Germany is the last of the
three participating countries to
give the go-ahead to the aircraft.
The UK announced its favorable de-
cision in late March. Although
there has been no formal announce-
ment from Rome, Bonn is already
paying the relatively small Ital-
ian share of the program's devel-
opment costs, and the German deci-
sion may speak for the Italians.
A successful debut by the aircraft
in 1979 could be an important
stimulus to the growth of collab-
orative weapons projects and to
the principle of West European
common procurement and standardi-
zation. Co-production is viewed
as the only way for European com-
panies to remain competitive with
the US in advanced weapons devel-
opment and sales in the 1980s.
--continued
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,
Top Secret
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