THE PRESIDENT'S DAILY BRIEF 4 OCTOBER 1975

• Document Type: FOIA
• Collection: President's Daily Brief 1969-1977
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 0006014919
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 17
• Document Creation Date: August 14, 2016
• Document Release Date: August 24, 2016
• Publication Date: October 4, 1975

Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/14 : CIA-RDP'79T00936A012800010030-2
The President's Daily Brief
October 4, 1975
5
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Exempt from general
declassification schedule of E.O. 11652
exemption category 5B( I
declassified only on approval of
the Director of Central Intelligence
V,
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FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
October 4, 1975
Table of Contents
Turkey-Greece-Cyprus: Reaction to the partial lift-
ing of the US arms embargo against Turkey has
been relatively subdued among both Greeks and
Turks. (Page 1)
Angola: With about six weeks to go before the
scheduled date for independence, there has
been a lull in the civil war among the terri-
tory's three rival liberation groups. (Page 3)
Notes: USSR; USSR; Syria-Israel; Lebanon; Poland;
Azores-Madeiras; USSR (Page 5, 6, and 7)
At Annex we discuss reported Moroccan plans to
launch military operations against Spanish
Sahara.
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FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
TURKEY-GREECE-CYPRUS
Reaction to the partial lifting of
the US arms embargo against Turkey has
been relatively subdued among both
Greeks and Turks. Turkish Foreign Min-
ister CagZayangiZ termed the action on
the embargo a positive development but
ruled out any immediate change in the
status of the deactivated US installa-
tions. Any such move will apparently
hinge on negotiations--as yet unsched-
uled--for a new US-Turkish defense co-
operation agreement.
The Turks undoubtedly still hope for a complete
lifting of the embargo. The Demirel government's
cautious reaction yesterday probably reflected not
only a desire to avoid overplaying its hand prior
to negotiations for a new defense agreement but
also its reading of the political mood as the sen-
atorial elections on October 12 draw near.
Demirel presumably hopes that even a partial
lifting of the embargo will be viewed as a foreign
policy success for his government. He apparently
remains wary, however, of appearing to kowtow to
the Americans. Speaking at a campaign rally, op-
position leader Ecevit severely criticized the US
action, especially the provision for consultation
on opium-poppy controls.
Reaction in Greece and Cyprus was also re-
strained. Significant anti-US demonstrations failed
to materialize in either Athens or Nicosia. Both
the Greek and Greek Cypriot media presented essen-
tially factual reports of the voting in the US Senate
and the bill. Greek and Greek Cypriot government
officials expressed regrets over the resumption of
arms shipments to Turkey, but said they understood
that those who supported the move believed it would
lead to progress toward a settlement of the Cyprus
issue.
(continued)
1
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Although action on the embargo removes a major
impediment to progress on the Cyprus problem, no
movement is likely until the Turks can assess the
results of their elections. Should Demirel's party
do well or hold its own as compared with its 1973
performance, chances for movement toward a Cyprus
settlement would improve. Even then, however, prog-
ress would probably be slow, given the difficulties
in getting meaningful negotiations under way and
Turkish problems of coordinating policy with Turkish
Cypriot leader Denktash. Should Demirel's party
falter in the elections, his capacity to promote a
Cyprus settlement would be severely limited.
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ATLANTIC
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MILES
SOU H-WEST AFRICA
(Intern tional Territory)
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FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
ANGOLA
With about six weeks to go before
the scheduled date for independence,
there has been a lull in the civil war
among the territory's three rival lib-
eration groups.
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/the National Front for the
Liberation of Angola/
Front forces in the north
have not moved forward significantly since mid-
September when they retook the important junction
town of Caxito, some 40 miles northeast of Luanda.
They are, however, probing outlying defenses of
the Popular Movement for the Liberation of Angola.
In central Angola, forces of the Popular
Movement reportedly are moving toward Nova Lisboa,
the headquarters of the National Union for the
Total Independence of Angola.
a combined force of the National
Front and the National Union has set out to meet
the advance, and some clashes reportedly have taken
place west of Nova Lisboa and in southern Angola
as well.
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The liberation groups have been waiting to
launch military operations in the Nova Lisboa area
until refugees in the city could be evacuated.
The airlift from Nova Lisboa ends today.
Portuguese evacuation efforts will now be con-
centrated in Luanda and several small ports along
the southern and central coast. Officials in Lis-
bon estimate that 140,000 whites have been air-
lifted from the territory since early August, and
that another 140,000 refugees are still waiting
to leave.
Lisbon apparently will soon accelerate the
withdrawal of its troops from Angola. The Portu-
guese high commissioner states that 20,000 troops
are still in the territory, although most of them
are support rather than combat forces. The Portu-
guese intend to have all troops out of Angola by
independence day, November 11.
(continued)
3
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The high commissioner professes to be opti-
mistic that the Popular Movement and the National
Union will come to a political accommodation, per-
haps by late October. So far, however, the Portu-
guese have been unsuccessful in their efforts to
promote such an arrangement. The Popular Movement
still holds the advantage both politically and
militarily and shows no willingness to make con-
cessions to anyone. Leaders of the Movement ex-
pect that on November 11 Lisbon will have no al-
ternative but to turn over sovereignty to them.
At this stage, probably only a major military
effort by the National Front and the National
Union that would subject the Popular Movement to
intense and sustained pressure could make the
Movement accept a coalition government. Current
military operations of the Front and Union do not
indicate the likelihood of such an effort.
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NOTES
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(continued)
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FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
The security situation in Lebanon improved fur-
ther yesterday, although minor clashes continued in
and around Beirut and in the Tripoli area. Four
unidentified men fired indiscriminately into the
main lobby of Beirut airport early this morning,
reportedly killing or wounding a number of people.
Beirut radio claims security forces have "contained
the operation."
The five-day Muslim holiday, which begins this
weekend, may help ease the security problem. Be-
cause of the holiday, the national reconciliation
committee will not meet again until October 9.
(continued)
6
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FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
Uncertainty over future price increases and
continuing shortages of consumer goods in Poland
are continuing to generate serious problems for the
Gierek regime.
An official of the planning commission recently
stated that food prices will be raised "considerably"
as of January 1, 1976. Stories about the price in-
creases and about strikes are rapidly spreading both
in the bureaucracy and among the people. The Gierek
regime is aware of the popular discontent and is
working hard to keep the situation within bounds,
but tensions are running high, both in the leader-
ship and among the people, and our embassy in Warsaw
believes "a spark in the right place" could have
serious consequences.
Independence movements remain active in both
the Azores and the Madeiras, but the replacement of
the pro-Communisjt Goncalves regime in Lisbon has
sapped much of their momentum.
Having gained some concessions from Lisbon,
Azoreans now appear to be turning their attention
to more traditional partisan political activity.
Public debate among political parties has increased,
and the press has given broad coverage to a dispute
among the three principal parties over proposals for
autonomy. In the Madeiras, most islanders seem to
prefer autonomy; independence sentiment has been ex-
aggerated by the mainland press. Madeirans would
apparently move for independence only if there should
be a resurgence of Communist influence in Portugal
or the denial of a satisfactory arrangement for
autonomy.
On Wednesday evening, Soviet TV viewers were
treated to a "prime-time" telecast of the Ali-
Frazier heavyweight match.
The fight was presented purely as a sporting
event, totally and refreshingly devoid of propaganda
content, reflecting a relaxed attitude toward a
Western "happening" that was rare just a few years
ago.
7
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CANARY ISLANDS
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