THE PRESIDENT'S DAILY BRIEF 7 AUGUST 1975

• Document Type: FOIA
• Collection: President's Daily Brief 1969-1977
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 0006014869
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 10
• Document Creation Date: August 14, 2016
• Document Release Date: August 24, 2016
• Publication Date: August 7, 1975

Declassified in -Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/14 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012700010049-3
The President's Daily Brief
August 7, 1975
5
To cret25X1
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/14 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012700010049-3
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/14 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012700010049-3
Exempt from general
declassification schedule of ED. 11652
exemption category, 5B(I ),(2),(3)
declassified ontsi on approval of
the Director of Central Intelligence
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/14 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012700010049-3
f
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/14 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012700010049-3
FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
August 7, 1975
Table of Contents
Portugal: The military leadership, now in its
fourth week without a government, is trying to
quell anti-Communist violence in the north.
(Page 1)
Oil: The Communist countries play a small role in
meeting the oil and gas needs of the West.
(Page 3)
Notes: Angola; Israel-Chile (Page 5)
FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/14 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012700010049-3
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/14 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012700010049-3
FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
PORTUGAL
The Portuguese military leadership
has turned its attention to quelling anti-
Communist violence in the north.
The government has reportedly assigned marines--
considered to be among the most radical units in the
internal security forces--to the northern military
region to augment troops there. It is unlikely that
the marines--only 140 men--can curtail the attacks
against the Communists unless they fire into the
crowds.
More demonstrations are scheduled during the
next few days. The Communists are planning a rally
in Oporto to support Prime Minister Goncalves and
to protest anti-Communist activity. The Church has
scheduled rallies this weekend in two other northern
towns.
Anti-Communist sentiment is also being expressed
in the Azores where the desire for autonomy contin-
ues to grow. The offices of the Communist-dominated
Portuguese Democratic Movement were burned on Tues-
day, and island residents have recently prevented
distribution of mainland newspapers.
Socialist leader Soares met leaders of social
democratic governments and parties from 12 European
countries and Israel last weekend in Stockholm to
request economic assistance for Lisbon.
The Socialist leaders made no commitment to
provide aid for Portugal. Prime Minister Wilson,
reaffirming the position taken by the EC Nine at
their mid-July summit, explained that EC reluctance
will continue "as long as Portugal fails to give
evidence of a quick return to pluralistic democracy."
(continued)
25X1
25X1
FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/14 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012700010049-3
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/14 : CIA-RDP79T609364012700010049-3
FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
Reporting is contradictorv on offers to give
prompt financial assistance to the Portuguese
Socialist Party. Although several Socialist leaders
in Europe favor such action, it is unlikely that they
made any definite promises. The 13 leaders did unan-
imously accept a proposal advanced by West German
leader Brandt to create a "Committee for Solidarity
and Friendship with Portugal." The committee will
be chaired by Swedish Prime Minister Palme and is to
develop an "action program" to support Soares' party.
FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/14 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012700010049-3
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/14 : CIA-RDP79T009364012700010049-3
FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
OIL
The Communist countries play only a
small role in meeting the oil and gas
needs of Western nations. Although oil
exports to the West are likely to edge up-
ward in the future, the Communist states
will remain only a marginal source of sup-
ply.
Net Soviet exports of oil and natural gas to
the West last year comprised less than 2 percent
and 1 percent respectively of consumption in the
West. China's supply of oil to Japan--Peking's
principal market for oil among the industrialized
nations--accounts for 3 percent of total Japanese
consumption.
The Soviet Union--now the world's largest oil
producer at 9.6 million barrels per day--is expected
to boost output by 7 percent this year. Since do-
mestic Soviet and East European consumption will
also rise, net Soviet exports to the West are likely
to increase only slightly, if at all. Although So-
viet output has grown steadily in recent years, it
is actually falling below the planned level of pro-
duction because of lagging discovery and exploita-
tion of new reserves and rapid depletion of older
fields.
Soviet gas production, which amounts to about
half that of the US, has increased this year, but
it will fall below the 1975 target by about 10 per-
cent. The enormous Soviet gas reserves--an esti-
mated 700 trillion cubic feet--are located in re-
mote areas, largely in the permafrost zone. Tech-
nical problems in exploiting the deposits and build-
ing pipelines have slowed development.
Eastern Europe is a net importer of both oil
and gas. Most oil imports are from the Soviet
Union. Crude production in Eastern Europe has re-
mained fairly constant over the past several years
and is chiefly in Romania.
(continued)
3
FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/14 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012700010049-3
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/14 : CIA-RDP79-160936i012700010049-3
FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
In contrast to the tight petroleum situation
in the USSR and Eastern Europe, China is rapidly
boosting oil production and increasing exports to
the West. Crude oil output last year was up 20 per-
cent from 1973. So far in 1975, crude production
has averaged 1.6 million barrels per day with ex-
ports running 200,000 barrels per day. Although
China is rapidly increasing its own oil consumption--
substituting oil for coal in some instances--produc-
tion has risen even faster.
Communist oil exports to the West should reach
1.3 million barrels per day in 1980, compared with
1 million barrels per day in 1975. Growing produc-
tion problems in the USSR, combined with rising So-
viet and East European consumption, will gradually
reduce oil exports from this area. Chinese exports,
however, probably will more than offset the drop in
net Soviet shipments. Chinese exports in 1980 could
total 1 million barrels per day, five times the an-
ticipated level for 1973.
4
FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/14 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012700010049-3
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/14 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012700010049-3
Cameroon
Central African Republic
Sudan Ethiopia
Equa
Gui ea
Kenya
Gabon
CABIND
Kinshasa
Luanda*
558304 8-75
Angola
(Port.)
Lake;
Nyasa
Ma wi
Zambia
MILES 400
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/14 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012700010049-3
Declassified in Pa-17-1 - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/14 : CIA-RDP79T00936A-012700010049-3
FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
NOTES
Fighting broke out yesterday between the Pop-
ular Movement for the Liberation of Angola and the
National Front for the Liberation of Angola along
the border between Zaire and Cabinda, the oil-
producing Angolan exclave.
The National Front, which apparently initiated
the fighting, did not score any significant gains
against the Popular novement that dominates the
exclave. The attack may also have been intended
to intimidate a fledgling Cabindan liberation move-
ment. This group declared the exclave's indepen-
dence from both Portugal and Angola at the recent
meeting of the Organization of African Unity.
?
Israel
Chile
5
FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/14 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012700010049-3
25X1
25X1
25X1
25X1
25X1
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/14 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012700010049-3
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/14 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012700010049-3