THE PRESIDENT'S DAILY BRIEF 21 MAY 1975

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0006014803
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RIPPUB
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T
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17
Document Creation Date: 
August 14, 2016
Document Release Date: 
August 24, 2016
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Publication Date: 
May 21, 1975
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Declassified in Part :Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/15 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012-600010040-3 The President's Daily Brief May 21, 1975 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/15 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012600010040-3 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/15 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012600010040-3 Exempt from general declassification schedule of E.O. 11652 exemption category 58(1 declassified only on approval of the Director of Central Intelligence of -a Declassified in Part -Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/15 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012600010040-3 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/15 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012600010040-3 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY May 21, 1975 Table of Contents ? Laos: Communist-inspired demonstrations against the US erupted in Vientiane again last night. Elsewhere, the Pathet Lao continue to move rapidly to establish control over non-communist areas. (Page 1) Arab States - Israel: Syria and Jordan have shifted some forces to improve their military posture at the southern end of the Golan Heights. (Page 5) Thailand-Vietnam: A North Vietnamese delegation arrives in Bangkok today for talks on normaliz- ing relations. (Page 7) Israel: 25X1 (Page 8) 25X1 Notes: Recession; Portugal; Chile; Peru-Chile (Pages 9 and 10) FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/15 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012600010040-3 Declassified in Peri- Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/15 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012600010040-3 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY LAOS Communist-inspired demonstrations against the US erupted in Vientiane again last night. About 200 demonstrators en- tered the main AID and defense attache compound before dawn today and sealed it off. As of mid-morning in Vientiane, the demonstra- tors had also broken into the commissary and the US community center; some looting had occurred and several vehicles were damaged. The demonstrators had not entered the main offices where three US personnel--two Marines and a civilian--were holed up. Units of the capital's joint police force-- consisting mostly of Pathet Lao--were outside the compound but made no effort to interfere. The demonstrators' demands include: --Abrogation of all "unequal" US-Lao agree- ments, particularly the 1951 aid agreement. --Dissolution of the USAID organization. --Departure of all American. USAID employees within three days. --Transfer of all USAID facilities and equip- ment-to the coalition government. Demonstrators also seized the USAID warehouse just outside the capital and some protesters sta- tioned themselves at the entrance to the nearby American housing area. Americans were being allowed to enter and leave the housing area but vehicles were being checked. Police units were present but were not interfering. So far, there have been no incidents at the US embassy. Senior Lao officials, in response to demarches by the US charge, made no promises to halt the dem- onstrations but did offer assurances for the safety of US personnel. Foreign Minister Lioumi Vongvichit and Minister of Economy Soth Phetrasy knew the demonstrations were planned but were caught off guard by their scope. (continued) 1 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/15 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012600010040-3 25X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/15 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012600010040-3 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY The Pathet Lao continue to move rapidly to es- tablish control over non-communist areas, despite their apparent willingness to maintain, at least for the time being, the trappings of a center-left coalition government in Vientiane. Communist combat troops have now occupied vir- tually every important former rightist stronghold in central and southern Laos. No resistance from non-communist forces has been reported. The North Vietnamese evidently will provide the Pathet Lao with whatever logistic support they need to consolidate military control. According to a message intercepted on May 19, the commander of Military Region 559--the senior North Vietnamese - headquarters responsible for the movement of per- sonnel and supplies to South Vietnam and Laos-- directed one of his principal subordinate units op- erating along the infiltration corridor to furnish "unrestricted" assistance in transporting "supplies, weapons, and personnel" to the Pathet Lao in order to enable them to "strike in a timely manner" and "gain the advantage." North Vietnamese helicopters made their first known flights to Saravane airfield in the southern Lao panhandle on May 19 and 20. The flights origi- nated in North Vietnam (Hanoi and Dong Hoi) and may have carried high-level logistic officers into Laos. A North Vietnamese infantry battalion has also been ordered to shift from the western highlands of South Vietnam into eastern Laos. There is no evi- dence that this or any other North Vietnamese com- bat force will be committed in support of the Lao communists. Indeed, the absence of any non-commu- nist resistance suggests that such support will not be required. At least 1,000 communist soldiers, accompanied by tanks and artillery, have reportedly moved into the city of Pakse. Farther north along the Mekong, an estimated three-to-four communist battalions yes- terday occupied Savannakhet. Activist students and other communist-inspired demonstrators marshaled a large crowd to cheer the Pathet Lao's "triumphant" entry. (continued) 2 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/15 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012600010040-3 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/15 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012600010040-3 I\ GULF OF TONIC] V EMARCATION LINE HA IE-TNAM I - Predominantly Comm nist-controlled area, L... February February 1973 ceasefire 0 MILES 1 100 557919 5-75 MBODIA ? ? Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/15 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012600010040-3 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/15 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012600010040-3 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY The fate of the two American USAID employees seized by Savannakhet demonstrators yesterday is un- known. The ten other Americans in the city are ap- parently safe but still under "voluntary" house arrest. Prime Minister Souvanna Phouma yesterday assured the US charge that neutralist Interior Min- ister Pheng Phongsavan and his communist deputy, Deuane Sonnarath, would definitely go to Savannakhet today, now that "our troops" have secured the city. In the charge's view, this slip of the tongue by Souvanna is the clearest evidence to date of his endorsement of recent communist actions. Pheng and Deuane's presence in Savannakhet should help appease the demonstrators and secure the release of all Americans. Elsewhere in the Savannakhet area, Pathet Lao battalions have reportedly moved into the towns of Seno, Keng Kok, and Dong Hene. Lao communist forces are also said to have occupied the city of Thakhek, some 60 miles north of Savannakhet. In northern Laos, communist and pro-communist neutralist forces are consolidating their control over virtually all key positions defended until re- cently by General yang Pao and his Meo tribesmen. Communist forces apparently have entered yang Pao's headquarters complex at Long Tieng, his enclave at Bouam Long northeast of the Plaine des Jarres, Sam Thong, and Phou Long Mat. On the political scene in Vientiane, Prime Minister Souvanna convened an emergency meeting of the coalition cabinet earlier this week to select replacements for recently ousted rightists? In a surprise announcement, Souvanna named neutralist Interior Minister Pheng Phongsavan to replace Sisouk na Champassak as minister of defense. This presum- ably means that "acting" communist Defense Minister Khammouane Boupha will return to his old number two spot at the ministry. Noncontroversial non-communists were also named to replace Pheng at interior and to fill the remain- ing vacancies at finance, foreign affairs, and pub- lic works. Souvanna has, in addition, selected his nephew and personal physician as a tentative replace- ment for the rightist health minister, who is in Geneva. (continued) 3 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/15 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012600010040-3 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/15 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012600010040-3 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Communist Deputy Prime Minister Phoumi Vong- vichit, whom Souvanna claims approved all of his selections, apparently made no effort to have Pathet Lao officials fill the vacant posts--all of which were allocated to the non-communists under the terms of the 1973 peace accords. This would appear to be another indication that the Pathet Lao are prepared, for now, to maintain the coalition facade. Souvanna also announced at the cabinet meeting that he had reached agreement with Phoumi to expand the membership of the coalition's Joint National Po- litical Council from 42 to 72 delegates and to con- vert that body into a legislative replacement for the recently dissolved, rightist-dominated National Assembly. The additional delegates, according to the Prime Minister, will be evenly divided between the non-communists, the communists, and the so- called "qualified neutralists." Transformation of the political council, which is chaired and dominated by communist leader Sou- phanouvong, into a legislative assembly has been a major goal of the Pathet Lao ever since they joined the coalition. With Souphanouvong riding herd over all delegates, the council will almost certainly become a rubber stamp Pathet Lao law-making body. 4 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/15 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012600010040-3 25X1 25X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/15 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012600010040-3 *Damascus ?AI Kiswah GOLAN HEIGHTS " ?Para Gulf of Aqaba 557917 5-75 SAUDI ARABIA 9 190 Nautical Miles Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/15 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012600010040-3 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/15 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012600010040-3 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY ARAB STATES ISRAEL Syria and Jordan have recently shifted some forces to improve their military posture at the southern end of the Golan Heights. Syria's 1st Armored Division may have been shifted from its reserve area just south of Damascus to positions closer to the border with Jordan. the Damascus-Dara road was closed to civilian traffic for at least 24 hours to permit the movement of troops southward. During an observation of the 1st Division's armor camps near Al Kiswah Syrian combat units present. The Jordanians also appear to have strengthened their position opposite Israel in the critical north- ern border area. no armored and in- fantry forces into the Jordan Valley area and new defensive positions An armored battalion has been added to each of the two Jordanian infantry divisions normally stationed along the occupied West Bank and along the northern sector of its border with Israel. Jordan had reoriented forces away from Syria, stationed armor in the Jordan Valley for the first time in five years, and dispersed re- serve units in the rear. Jordan's forces--like those of Egypt and Syria are now in a position to launch an offensive without any signifi- cant further movement of forces. Some Israeli reservists were recalled to active duty earlier this month, but this action may have been a precaution against possible terrorist actions during indepen- dence celebrations last week. (continued) 5 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/15 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012600010040-3 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 9)(1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/15 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012600010040-3 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Syria also may have taken steps to strengthen its forces facing Iraq. 25X1 200 Syrian tank transporters carrying 25X1 mostly tanks, but also some surface-to-air missile equipment on the Hims-Palmyra road 25X1 The equipment may have been from the Syr- 25X1 ian 3rd Armored Division normally stationed in the Damascus area. A shift of major elements of this unit to the north would significantly reduce Syria's only major armored reserve formation along the front with Israel. The Egyptians, meanwhile, are conducting a joint service exercise involving the air defense and air force, and probably army and commando units as well. The exercise began May 18 and should run through the 22nd. 25X1 25X1 The Egyptians last 25X1 held a major, service-wide communications exercise in late March and early April. 6 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/15 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012600010040-3 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/15 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012600010040-3 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY THAILAND-VIETNAM A North Vietnamese delegation, headed by Vice Minister for Foreign Affairs Pham Hien, arrives in Bangkok today to hold talks on normalizing re- lations. A South Vietnamese communist delegation left Bangkok empty-handed yesterday after three days of talks. Foreign Minister Chatchai apparently believes that the South Vietnamese were sent merely to assess the mood of the Thai government for the North Viet- namese. The North Vietnamese, anxious to exploit the recent strains in Thai-US relations, may arrive in Bangkok with unrealistically high expectations. Despite the Thai foreign ministry's strong desire to improve relations with North Vietnam, prospects for significant progress, ?such as the establishment of diplomatic relations, do not appear good now. Perhaps with an eye toward North Vietnamese pressure on the US troop presence, Prime Minister Khukrit said in a press conference yesterday that a speed-up in the withdrawal of US forces from Thailand would pose more problems for Thailand than, for the US. The Thai also expect that Hanoi will press hard for the return of all South Vietnamese aircraft and ships. Chatchai initially favored meeting this de- mand, but has been overruled by Prime Minister Khukrit and the senior military, leadership.. Another obstacle, to normalization of relations is that the Thai insist on repatriating Vietnamese refugees who have been living in northeast Thailand for some 30 years. An outbreak of anti-Vietnamese demonstrations in the northeast this past week was almost certainly inspired by government officials, who are determined to remind Hanoi of Bangkok's own conditions for improved relations. 7 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/15 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012600010040-3 25X1 Declassified in Part-- Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/15 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012600010040-3 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY ISRAEL 8 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/15 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012600010040-3 25X1 25X1 25X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/15 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012600010040-3 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY NOTES Although the worst of the recession is almost certainly over, we expect some further decline in production in the six major foreign economies. Japan, France, and West Germany appear to be closest to bottoming out. At the other extreme, the British economy threatens to get worse before it gets better. Canada is still suffering from spill- over effects of the US downturn. Italy's prospects are the most uncertain: we expect a further mod- erate decline, but a steep dip is possible. The Portuguese Armed Forces Movement--faced with mounting political problems?yesterday warned all parties, including the Communists, that they should align themselves with the Movement's policies. Emphasizing its disapproval of continuing dissen- sion between the Communists and the Socialists, the government yesterday closed down the Socialist paper which Communist printers had seized on Monday. Pend- ing a decision by a special press tribunal, the paper will not resume publication. The armed forces gen- eral assembly has attributed civil unrest in Portugal to both "the forces of reaction and groups of leftist provocateurs." The general assembly also approved a statement deploring the "divisionist and counterrevo- lutionary nature" of the outlawed Reorganizing Move- ment of the Proletariat Party. On Monday night, mem- bers of the Reorganizing Movement reportedly beat up two Marine guards assigned to the US embassy. Chile. (continued) 9 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/15 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012600010040-3 25X1 25X1 25X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/15 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012600010040-3 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/15 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012600010040-3 25X1 Declassified in Part-- Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/15 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012600010040-3 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Peru continues to build up its military forces near the Chilean border, continued construction of barracks, vehicle 'storage 'sheds,-and other military support structures close to the border. Earlier this Month, large numbers of trucks, armored personnel carriers, and Frendh-made AMX tanks were 18 nautical miles from Chilean territory. Also for the first time, Soviet-build T-55 tanks in southern Peru. Two T-55 tanks and the gun barrels of 18 others protruding from a storage shed were noted. There is no other indication, how- ever, that. Peru might be planning military action against Chile 'in the immediate future. Chile, too, has been gradually augmenting its own military forces near the Peruvian border; increased numbers of armored personnel carriers stationed at facilities in the area0 aircraft, tanks, and 10 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/15 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012600010040-3 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/15 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012600010040-3 Top Secret Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/15 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012600010040-3