THE PRESIDENT'S DAILY BRIEF 9 MAY 1974

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Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
0006007952
Release Decision: 
RIPPUB
Original Classification: 
T
Document Page Count: 
13
Document Creation Date: 
August 14, 2016
Document Release Date: 
August 24, 2016
Sequence Number: 
Case Number: 
Publication Date: 
May 9, 1974
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' Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012100010009-3 The President's Daily Brief May 9, 1974 4 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012100010009-3 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012100010009-3 Exempt from general declassification schedule of E.O. 11652 exemption category 513(11,(2).13) declassified only on approval of the Director of Central Intelligence Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012100010009-3 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012100010009-3 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY THE PRESIDENT'S DAILY gRIEF May 9, 1974 PRINCIPAL DEVELOPMENTS The Soviets (Page 1) Prime Minister Trudeau's minority government was toppled when his New Democratic allies abandoned him in the belief' that his economic policies were be- coming an electoral liability. A hard-hitting cam- paign is expected to precede elections in early July. (Page 2) The military situation in Cambodia is discussed on Page 3. The Pluton surface-to-surface missile ?is now opera- tional with one French artillery regiment. (Page 4) Notes on the USSR, Israel-Syria, Guyana, China, and Iceland begin on Page 5. 25X1 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012100010009-3 25X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012100010009-3 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY USSR 1 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012100010009-3 25X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012100010009-3 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY CANADA Prime Minister Trudeau's minority government was toppled last night when his New Democratic allies joined the Progressive Conservatives to reject the government's budget message. Trudeau is expected today to ask Governor-General Leger to dissolve par- liament and set elections for early July. The Liberal- New Democratic Party alliance had been showing signs of strain for several months. In face of increasingly effective criticism of.govern- ment economic policies by the Conservatives, the New Democrats reassessed their position and decided to dump the Prime Minister. Many New Democrats believed that continued association with his economic policies was becoming an electoral liability. The tone of the budget debate suggests .a hard- hitting election campaign. The dominant issue will be inflation; cost-of-living rose 9..1 percent in 1973 and is running at about 10 percent this year. It seems unlikely.that,either the Liberals or the Tories will be able to win a majority of the parliamentary seats in July, but .much will depend on how the elec- torate reacts to Trudeau's performance during the campaign. In 1968, his colorful style caught the voters' imagination and he led the Liberals to an overwhelming victory. In 1972, however, he chose to run a more subdued campaign and his aloofness con- tributed significantly to heavy Liberal losses. The course of Canadian-US relations should re- main unaffected by the results of the election. All parties favor, to one degree or. another, Ottawa's present policy of trying to achieve greater independ- ence from the US. FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19: CIA-RDP79T00936A012100010009-3 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012100010009-3 Ba ambang Kompong Thom cks imminent Lovek PHNO PENH pang Speu \r't e -ak,[ rs? RA TE DE ? OMPONG SUM Neak Luang SO H VIET 4M 55582', 5-74 CIA Air o ReaRAilibase ? FieUin'Traval base \ MILES 25 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012100010009-3 25X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012100010009-3 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY CAMBODIA Combat continues on widely separated fronts as the Khmer Communists press their campaign against government holdings in the countryside. In the far southwest, the communists have at- tacked government positions along a 20-mile stretch of Route 4 east of the port city of Kompong Som. Government casualties have been relatively light, but four 105-mm0 howitzers were lost when the insur- gents occupied the small towns of Veal:Renh and 0 Chamnar Communist strength in this area is not great, and there is no immediate threat to the nearby naval and air bases at Ream, The governMent nonethe- less is reinforcing Ream with units from KamPot. Closer to Phnom Penh, the base at Lovek remains the target of sporadic artillery and mortar fire. Communist ground pressure has slackened, however, and Lovek's defenders are making cautious efforts to ex- pand their defensive perimeter. East of Phnom Penh, fighting at the provincial capital of Prey Veng has now settled into a familiar pattern of ground probes and shellings. Kompong Thom, 75 miles north of Phnom Penh, may be the nextprovincial capital to come under heavy pressure. A recent intercept showed Communist plans to attack the city's outlying defenses within the next few days. The Communists have been preparing for a push against Kompong Thom since early march and may have as many as 3,000 troops in the area. The gOvernment garrison of 3i500 men is braced for the attacks. FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012100010009-3 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012100010009-3 French Pluton Missile on Launcher Vehicle ' 555829 5-74 CIA Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936412100010009-3 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012100010009-3 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY FRANCE The Pluton surface-to-surface missile is now operational with one French artillery regiment, ac- cording to an armed forces announcement. Five ad- ditional regiments are each scheduled to receive six launchers. The Pluton will provide nuclear fire support to French ground forces. Mounted on a mod- ified AMX-30 tank chassis( The West Germans have been concerned that the French might use the Pluton against hostile forces on West German territory without their permission. The missile does not have the range to reach beyond West Germany without being moved into it, and Paris has never negotiated the arrangements for doing so with Bonn. 4 25X1 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19: CIA-RDP79T00936A012100010009-3 25X1 25X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012100010009-3 25X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012100010009-3 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012100010009-3 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY NOTES USSR: Israel-Syria: Fighting on the Syrian front was light for the second consecutive day. Only sporadic tank and artillery fire occurred along the front. Israeli air activity was also light, with flights restricted to reconnaissance missions and defensive patrols. Israeli aircraft continued to conduct re- connaissance flights near Mount Hermon, presumably to monitor Syrian road-building activity there. Guyana: .Prime Minister Burnham will soon begin na- tionalization procedures against Reynolds Guyana Mines, a US-owned bauxite producer. The Reynolds operation, covered by-$14.3 million in OPIC insur- ance, is the only privately owned bauxite facility still functioning in Guyana; a much larger one owned by Alcan was nationalized in July 1971. The govern- ment is likely to compensate Reynolds, at least partially. China: Prospects for this year's early grain harvest, which provides China with almost two thirds of its total, are generally unfavorable. Last fall the planting of winter crops was hampered by bad weather, and the winter and spring were the coldest and driest in recent years. Lingering cold has in the past sometimes been a harbinger of more serious trouble--north China has been deluged by torrential monsoon rains, while the normally wet south has been stricken by drought. (continued) 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012100010009-3 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012100010009-3 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Iceland: Prime Minister Johannesson dissolved parliament early this morning and called elections for June 30. His government collapsed over anti- inflation measures he called for without Consulting his coalition partners, .the Liberal Left Organization and the Communists. The election will probably re- turn to power the Social Democratic and Independent parties. Such a. coalition is expected to be more inclined to negotiate a base agreement that will enable the US to maintain a sizable force at Keflavik. 6 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012100010009-3 Declassified in Part- Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012100010009-3 , Top Secret Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012100010009-3