THE PRESIDENT'S DAILY BRIEF 18 JANUARY 1975

• Document Type: FOIA
• Collection: President's Daily Brief 1969-1977
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 0006007921
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 14
• Document Creation Date: August 14, 2016
• Document Release Date: August 24, 2016
• Publication Date: January 18, 1975

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The President's Daily Brief
Janucify 18, 1975
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declassification schedule of E.O. 11652
exemption category 5B( I
declassified only on approval of
the Director of Central Intelligence
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FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
LATE ITEM
Cyprus: Thousands of anti-British Cypriots
demonstrated violently in Nicosia this morning to
protest the evacuation of Turkish Cypriot refugees
from the British base at Akrotiri. About 2,000 of
them broke into the British consulate, threw its
contents into the street, and set the building afire.
Demonstrators also attacked the US embassy with
stones and later broke into the compound, setting a
vehicle on fire. At last word, the demonstrators
were attempting to enter the embassy building.
Another mob was reported heading for the of-
fices of the British Council, a semiofficial trade
and cultural group. police so far have appeared
powerless to control the mobs and have called for
help from the Cypriot National Guard.
Even while demonstrators were preparing for
action this morning, the first planeload of refugees
left Akrotiri for Turkey. For now, at least, the
British appear to be in control of the road from
Episkopi to the airfield and two more trips are
planned for the Turkish evacuation plane today.
As of 0530 EST this morning, the demonstrators
were reported out of the US embassy.
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January 18, 1975
Table of Contents
China: The long-awaited National People's Congress
may now be in session. (Page 1)
USSR: The USSR is developing at least one and pos-
sibly other new nuclear weapons test areas.
The first silos for the SS-X-18 Mod 1 and
SS-X-19 are now operational.
Cyprus: Greek Cypriots are protesting the evacua-
tion to Turkey of Turkish Cypriot refugees who
have been living on a British sovereign base.
(Page 5)
Portugal: The cabinet met yesterday to discuss
the Communist-sponsored unitary labor law
that has severely strained the three-party
coalition. (Page 6)
Notes: Israel-Lebanon; North Vietnam (Page 7)
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CHINA
The long-awaited National People's
Congress may now be in session.
The Chinese announced yesterday that the party
Central Committee had met the preceding week to deal
with issues connected with the congress, which is
the highest government "legislative" organ. The
delay of a week in reporting the plenum suggests
that the announcement it had taken place coincided
with the opening of the congress. High-ranking
officials who had been brought to Peking for the
plenum are still in the capital, and press reports
indicate that a large meeting took place last night
in the Great Hall of the People.
It is not yet clear how long the congress will
last, or whether Peking will release documents con-
nected with its work while the meeting is in ses-
sion. Chinese officials have restricted travel to
Peking, but not to other cities, until mid-February,
which suggests the meeting may be fairly lengthy.
The communique reporting on the Central Com-
mittee plenum indicated that a new state constitu-
tion had been approved. Controversy over this
document had been a factor in the many postpone-
ments of the congress; presumably these debates, in
particular the one over whether or not the post of
chief of state should be abolished, have now been
resolved. The communique also reported that the
plenum approved a list of state council appointments.
Some of these appointments, especially those in-
volving the military, were almost certainly also
controversial and were factors in previous post-
ponements of the congress.
Teng Hsiao-ping, a veteran civilian administra-
tor who had been a major victim of the Cultural
Revolution, but had been "rehabilitated" in April
1973 and named to the Politburo in December of that
year, was further elevated at the plenum to the
Politburo standing committee. He was also named
a vice chairman of the party. These appointments
vault Teng over Chiang Ching and Yao Wen-yuan, the
ranking active members of the full Politburo. As
members of the notorious Cultural Revolution Group,
these two had helped engineer Teng's purge in 1966.
The new appointments also elevate Teng above Li
Hsien-nien, with whom he has been sharing duties in
the day-to-day running of the government since the
illness of Premier Chou En-lai.
(continued)
FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
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FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
Teng's new titles cement his position as Chou's
de facto successor as head of government; it is
possible that the congress will further confirm this
position by formally naming him premier. In any
event, Teng's advancement strongly suggests that
policies adopted by the congress will not depart
markedly from those of the past several years and
will not be especially "radical" in flavor.
Mao Tse-tung remained in Changsha, in Hunan
Province, throughout the Central Committee plenum.
He still appears to be in southern China, and it
therefore seems likely that he will miss at least
the opening phases of the congress. Mao does not
hold a government post and he is not obligated to
attend a strictly governmental conclave such as
this. He did, however, attend the previous Na-
tional People's Congress ten years ago as a dele-
gate from Peking. The Chairman has remained out
of the capital since JuAK, about the tme that
central directives first, tndi'datea:that active
preparations for the congress were under way.
Mao's prolonged absence from Peking while
important events were transpiring there is not
easily explainable. He has met with a steady
stream of foreign visitors, which tends to indi-
cate that health is not a limiting factor on his
movements. Mao has obviously been kept informed
of developments in the capital, and an air shuttle
has operated between Peking and his residence in
Hunan.
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Derazhnya AYedrovo
15 MOSCOW.. _._Kostroma
Kozerskir
?
Pervomaysk
? ? ?
Tatishchevtr
? ?
Dombarovskiye Kertely
?
lmeni Gesteho.
oTyuratam
Zhapiztobe 0
? 6 ?
Uzhur
? ICBM complex .
A SS-X47 silos conversion
? SS-X-18 silos being prepared
P SS-X-19 silos complete or under construction
* SS-11 silos projected for conversion
557156 1-75 CIA
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FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
USSR
The USSR is developing at least one
and possibly other new test areas at the
Semipalatinsk Nuclear Weapons Proving
Ground, apparently in anticipation of
implementing the US-Soviet nuclear thres-
hold treaty in April 1976.
Once the treaty becomes effective, the Soviets
will be required to provide specific test informa-
tion, such as calibration yields and geologic data,
for those test areas used after the treaty enters
into force. Information provided on older areas,
where existing weapons were developed, would permit
the US to refine its estimates on the yields of
these weapons. Soviet concern over this prospect
probably is prompting the development of the new
test areas.
The first silos for two of the new
Soviet ICBMs, the SS-X-18 Mod 1 and
SS-X-19, probably are now operational.
Work is continuing on additional silos
for these missiles as well as a group for
the SS-X-17. The SS-X-19, which carries
six warheads, is the first Soviet strate-
gic missile with MIRVs to be installed at
an operational complex.
The first launch group of ten silos for the
SS-X-18 was completed at the Dombarovskiy ICBM com-
plex late last year.
in early December the Soviets were in
the process of installing a missile canister in one
of the silos. By now, missiles probably have been
installed and checked out in all ten silos in the
group.
The SS-X-18 Mod 1, which carries a large, sin-
gle warhead, is believed to be the missile system
being installed in the newly completed silos. The
Mod 2, the MIRV version of the SS-X-18, has been
_fired 14 times and probably will require additional
testing before it is ready for the field.
(continued)
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The Soviets may be testing several different
MIRV payload configurations on the Mod 2. Since
last summer, SS-X-18s have carried four re-entry
vehicles similar to those in previous MIRV tests
and four smaller ones with higher re-entry speeds.
A group of ten SS-11 silos has been
to the SS-X-19 silo configuration at the
ICBM complex.
that one missile in the group was being
fueled. A similar group at the Pervomaysk ICBM
complex may also be complete.
converted
Derazhnva
Developmental flight-testing of the SS-X-19
evidently has been completed, and series production
of the missile probably is under way. Crew train-
ing firings may also have started. For these rea-
sons, we believe that the recently converted silos
are equipped with SS-X-19 missiles.
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32?30'
33?
Mediterranean Sea
33?30'
340
34?30'
35030' ?
Territory controlled
controlled
by Turkish forces
Kyrenia
Famagusta
massol
32?30'
Akrotiri
UK Sovereign
base area
Mediterranean Sea
33?30' 340
110 20
Statute miles
35?-
55715' 1-75
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FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
CYPRUS
Tensions are high around the British
sovereign base of Akrotiri, in southern
Cyrpus, following a violent clash yester-
day between Greek Cypriot demonstrators
and British base personnel. More demon-
strations are planned this weekend. The
demonstrators are protesting British plans
to begin evacuating several thousand Turk-
ish Cypriot refugees to Turkey today.
British officials state that a group of about
500 demonstrators clashed with British forces at the
edge of the base yesterday, resulting in injuries on
both sides and the death of a Greek Cypriot youth.
The British are bracing for more violence, particu-
larly when the funeral for the youth is held, prob-
ably today or tomorrow. The principal British con-
cern is to keep open the main road separating the
Turkish Cypriot refugees in Paramali and Episkopi
from the evacuation airfield in the southern part of
the base. The two are separated by some ten miles
of open country and the refugees' movement to the air
base could be subjected to interference by Greek Cyp-
riots at many points.
The potential for trouble will increase if Greek
Cypriots prevent the airlift by blockading the Turk-
ish Cypriots or if intercommunal clashes occur out-
side the British base. In case of a blockade, which
the British would be unwilling to break, the Turkish
government might consider a sea-lift of the refugees.
Should Turkish Cypriots outside the base be threat-
ened, Ankara might well order its forces on the is-
land to move into the Greek Cypriot sector in a res-
cue operation.
Anti-British demonstrations in all major Greek
Cypriot towns yesterday and Thursday were generally
orderly, but two British properties in Limassol were
bombed and several vehicles burned. More protest
marches are planned for this weekend and, in view of
rising tensions, they are likely to be less orderly.
Greek Cypriots, many of whom are refugees driven
from their homes in the north, are particularly in-
censed that the Turkish Cypriot refugees will even-
tually be resettled on Greek Cypriot properties in
the Turkish-held sector of the island.
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FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
PORTUGAL
The Portuguese cabinet met yester-
day to discuss the Communist-sponsored
unitary labor law that has severely
strained the three-party coalition.
Results of the meeting are not yet
available.
The non-communist parties in the government
oppose the law because they believe it will facili-
tate the Communist Party's control of the country's
labor movement. The Communists already dominate
the nation's single labor confederation.
The Armed Forces Movement, which shares power
with the three political parties, has announced
its support for the law. Some of the Movement's
leaders may be having second thoughts, however, be-
cause of the heavy opposition the law has encoun-
tered.
The Lisbon press yesterday gave considerable
coverage to a Socialist Party rally at which the
monolithic labor concept was denounced and the need
to preserve workers' freedom emphasized. Justice
Minister Zenha told an enthusiastic audience at
the rally that "the working class is not the prop-
erty of any political party or of the state."
Failure of the cabinet to approve the law would
be the most serious defeat the Communists have sus-
tained since they entered the government. It could
reduce their influence among a group in which they
have been strong. Most of the other setbacks they
have suffered have been among groups in which they
were trying to establish or increase their influ-
ence.
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NOTES
Israeli and Lebanese forces exchanged artillery
fire again yesterday, but fighting in southern Leb-
anon generally slackened.
Israeli patrols and fedayeen guerrillas fired
across the border at each other Thursday night.
The Israelis have made no incursions into Lebanon
since Thursday, according to the Lebanese defense
ministry.
North Vietnam is maintaining a moderately
heavy flow of troops through the infiltration pipe-
line this dry season.
We estimate that some 30,000 troops have moved
south in the past two months. Total numbers are
still below those of previous years when heavy
fighting has taken place. Of the total, more than
16,000 are destined for southern South Vietnam,
about 8,000 for the central highlands, and approx-
imately 1,000 for the northern provinces of the
? country. The other 5,000 probably will be used to
strengthen combat and logistic units along the in-
? filtration system. Some of the troops apparently
? have already arrived in the provinces north of Sai-
? gon, and others in the pipeline probably will reach
? their destinations during the next few weeks. The
new troops should enable the communists to sustain
? their forces in moderate fighting for this dry sea-
son.
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