THE PRESIDENT'S DAILY BRIEF 3 DECEMBER 1974

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Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
0006007883
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RIPPUB
Original Classification: 
T
Document Page Count: 
13
Document Creation Date: 
August 14, 2016
Document Release Date: 
August 24, 2016
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Case Number: 
Publication Date: 
December 3, 1974
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Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/15 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012400010002-7 25X1 The President's Daily Brief December 3, 1974 5 7r14.6.L25X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/15 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012400010002-7 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/15 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012400010002-7 Exempt from general declassification uhedule of E.O. 11652 exemption category, 5B( I 1,12),13) declassified orgy on approval of the Director of Central Intelligence Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/15 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012400010002-7 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/15 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012400010002-7 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY December 3, 1974 Table of Contents Israel: President Katzir comments publicly on Is- rael's'nuclear Capability. (Page. 1) Egypt: USSR-Palestinians: (Page 2) Soviets win guarded concessions from Arafat. (Page 4) USSR: Soyuz-16 is first manned Soviet mission directly related to Apollo-Soyuz project. (Page 5) Ethiopia: Eritrean insurgents retaliate for in- creased military operations against them. (Page 6) Laos: (Page 7) Spain,: Publication of draft law allowing political parties in sharply limited form disappoints many Spaniards. (Page 8) Notes: Japan; Iraq-Kurds (Page 9) FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY 25X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/15 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012400010002-7 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/15 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012400010002-7 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY ISRAEL Israeli President Katzir is quoted as saying Sunday during a reception for international science writers that Is- rael has the potential to produce atomic weapons, and would do so if necessary. According to press accounts, Katzir was evasive when asked how long it would take for Israel to produce nuclear weapons and whether parts already existed for them. It is highly unusual for Israeli officials to comment on Israeli nuclear capabilities, and Katzir's remarks may well have been intended as a veiled threat to Israel's Arab neighbors. In a lecture at Bar-Ilan University in Tel Aviv last Thursday, former Israeli defense minister Dayan said that the possibility of the introduction of nuclear arms into the region could not be ruled out and that "one should not think that only the Arabs will have these weapons." FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/15 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012400010002-7 25X1 25X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/15 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012400010002-7 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY EGYPT (continued) 2 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/15 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012400010002-7 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/15 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012400010002-7 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/15 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012400010002-7 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/15 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012400010002-7 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY USSR-PALESTINIANS The Soviets apparently won some con- cessions from Palestine leader Arafat dur- ing his visit to Moscow last week, but made it clear that they are not yet ready to reciprocate with unqualified support for the Palestine Liberation Organization. In an end-of-visit communiqug, Arafat moved a step closer to Moscow's position and to a PLO commitment to accept a trun- cated Palestinian state and, indirectly, Israel's right to exist as a state. In a tortuously constructed passage, the com- munique states that the PLO should assume respon- sibility for any Palestinian territory "liberated by the withdrawal of Israeli forces from the seized Arab lands, as demanded by well-known UN decisions." By endorsing this reference to Israeli-occupied ter- ritory as opposed to Israel itself, Arafat has con- ceded--although indirectly--to the Soviet position that Israel proper must continue to exist. Although Arafat privately accepts this as reality, he prob- ably will withhold a more explicit acknowledgement of his position until offered major concessions from Tel Aviv in return. Arafat's approving reference to "well-known UN decisions," in the same breath as withdrawal, is also a first. It is obviously an allusion to Secu- rity Council Resolution 242, which calls for an Is- raeli withdrawal from territories occupied in 1967 and guarantees the "territorial inviolability" of all states in the area. This concession notwithstanding, the Soviets refrained from an explicit recognition of the PLO as "sole" representative of the Palestinians. They also went no further than before in recognizing the right of the Palestinian people to "statehood," without spelling out just what this means. Moscow evidently still takes a cool view of a Palestinian government in exile, and the communiaue makes no mention of it. The Soviets did announce that a PLO office will open in Moscow in the "nearest future." there is as yet no evidence to indicate that the office will be ac- credited to the Soviet government. FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/15 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012400010002-7 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/15 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012400010002-7 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY USSR Soyuz-16, the manned spacecraft launched early yesterday, is.the first manned Soviet mission directly related to the joint Apollo-Soyuz project sched- uled for next July. Tass has announced that the spacecraft is iden- tical to the one the Soviets will use for the joint . mission. The crew of the Soyuz-16 is one of the back-up teams for the joint project. The current mission will test new equipment, including a modi- fied docking adapter. The cosmonauts are also to carry out a scientific program that includes photo- graphing the earth; the mission will probably last three to six days. Because of the serious problems the Soviets have had with their manned space program, they are preparing carefully for the joint mission. Earlier this year they launched two unmanned Soyuz space- craft that had been modified with an eye toward the Apollo-Soyuz mission. Since the fatal Soyuz-11 accident in June 1971, the Soviets have flown a total of four manned and six, unmanned Soyuz missions, not counting the one . now in orbit. Two of the manned flights were made this year. The crew of Soyuz-14 occupied a Salyut space station for approximately three weeks in July; the flight of Soyuz-15 one month later, however, was? cut short after two unsuccessful attempts to dock with the space station. FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/15 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012400010002-7 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/15 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012400010002-7 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY ETHIOPIA The recent bombings Of government- controlled installations inAddis Ababa were apparently the work of the separa- tist Eritrean Liberation Front, in re- taliation for the military council's decision to step up. operations against the rebels. Reinforcements recently began arriving in Eritrea. Some 1,500 troops will join army units already there. The insurgents apparently decided to deal the first blow, opting for terrorist at- . tacks in the capital in order to demonstrate their, ability to strike anywhere in the country. The military council will:probably detain some .Eritreans who live in Addis Ababa. After the bombings, the council directed the residents of.. the capital to carry identification cards, and some have already been arrested for not doing so. The provisional military government, meanwhile, has shown renewed interest in consummating agree- ments for US military assistance. The Ethiopians held portions of a package offer in abeyance for several weeks while the late General Aman negoti- ated for a separate agreement for additional credits and grant aid. :The government now shows a strong desire to proceed. immediately with the credit arrangements and the cash purchase of military equipment pro- vided for in the US offer. This intention first surfaced on November 21--two days before the exe- cution of Aman--and was cOnfirmed in a meeting on November 29 between the vice minister of defense and the thief of the US military advisory group. FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/15 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012400010002-7 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/15 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012400010002-7 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY LAOS 7 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/15 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012400010002-7 25X1 25X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/15 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012400010002-7 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY SPAIN The publication yesterday of a long- awaited draft law allowing the formation of political parties in sharply limited form has disappointed those Spaniards favoring wider public participation in politics. The draft statute legalizes "political associations," but makes sure they have no clout by making them sub- servient to Franco's National Movement. The Movement is a collection of predominantly rightist groups that have supported Franco since the Civil War. The new law authorizes the Movement to recognize, suspend, or dissolve the "political asso- ciations." Prime Minister Arias wanted a bill that would permit associations independent of the Movement. Arias, however, defended the law in a nationwide speech yesterday by calling it "in agreement with Spanish reality" and a hopeful new step. 25X1 25X1 25X1 The new law is likely to add to tension that has been building up in Spain. Many will consider the proposed legislation a travesty, and will dem- onstrate their dissatisfaction by ?refusing to form "political associations." Last week, 14 centrist opposition leaders were arrested in Madrid at a meeting called to discuss the launching of a "Democratic Conference" composed of seven Christian Democratic and Socialist polit- ical groups. Those arrested were released the next day. Participation in the meeting by a former cabi- net minister and by the son of a former chief of the armed forces General Staff lent some respectability .to the aims of those present. FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/15 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012400010002-7 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/15 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012400010002-7 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY NOTES Japan: It is not clear whether the Liberal Democrats will accord prime minister 7 designate Takeo Miki a regular three-year term as party pres- ident or confine him to a caretaker role. The stay- ing power of a Miki administration is also uncertain at this point. His personal position will be rela- tively weak, because he is the first leader of a minor faction to head the Liberal Democrats and was selected abruptly amid a party crisis'. In addition, Miki assumes office. in the face of intractable eco- nomic problems and a burden of recovering public Confidence in time for important local elections next spring. Miki's main asset in the effort to . hold.on to office may be the party's continuing in-, Ability to break the political impasse between Ohira and Fukuda, the prime contenders for power. ? Iraq-Kurds: The US consul in the Iranian city of Tabriz, who spent several days last week in the border area of western Iran, reports that the Iraqi offensive against the Kurds has "sputtered and fi- nally gone out." Iranian supply lines to the Kurds remain open, Kurdish strongpoints are secure,. and Iraqi government forces have made few gains over the past several weeks. Winter weather, already present in that mountainous region, will further hamper Iraqi operations, and the Kurds will prob- ably be able to take back much of the ground they lost over recent months. Other information tends to bear out the consul's assessment. FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/15 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012400010002-7 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/15 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012400010002-7 Top Secret Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/15 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012400010002-7