THE PRESIDENT'S DAILY BRIEF 29 MARCH 1974

• Document Type: FOIA
• Collection: President's Daily Brief 1969-1977
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 0006007710
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 12
• Document Creation Date: August 14, 2016
• Document Release Date: August 24, 2016
• Publication Date: March 29, 1974

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The President's Daily. Brief
March 29 1974
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Exempt from general
declassification schedule of E.O. I 1652
exemption category 513( I
declassified only on approval of
the Director of Central Intelligence
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THE PRESIDENT'S DAILY BRIEF
March 29, 1974
PRINCIPAL DEVELOPMENTS
Israeli Defense Minister Dayan may be bringing to
Washington a detailed proposal for disengagement on
the Golan Heights, but he expects no early break-
through. (Page 1)
The Communists are moving large quantities of sup-
plies, about half of it ordnance, southward through
South Vietnam's Quang Tri Province. (Page 2)
West German
(Page 3)
Yugoslav
(Page 4)
The border dispute between Chile and Peru could in-
volve the President of the United States under terms
of a 1929 treaty. (Page 5)
A note on the equipping of all but one Soviet army
with mobile surface-to-air missiles appears on Page 6.
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FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
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ISRAEL-SYRIA
The Israeli press claims that Defense Minister
Dayan is bringing a detailed proposal for disengage-
ment of Israeli and Syrian forces to his talks with
Secretary Kissinger.
According to the influential Israeli daily
Haaretz, Tel Aviv's proposal would include withdrawal
by Israel within the salient occupied during the Oc-
tober war to a distance of about 15 kilometers. Ten
kilometers would be returned to Syria, and UN forces
would occupy a five-kilometer area between the Syr-
ians and the Israelis. The Israelis would retain
a five-kilometer area within the salient.
Under this plan, forces within the salient and
to an additional depth of 20 kilometers on each side
would be thinned out. South of this salient, where
the 1967 cease-fire line still divides the adver-
saries, a narrow no man's land would be created with
forces thinned out on either side. According to
Haaretz, POWs would have to be exchanged before any
withdrawal takes place.
The Israelis are aware that their proposal
would be unacceptable to the Syrians, who have in-
sisted on immediate Israeli withdrawal from all the
territory occupied in 1973 as well as from the town
of Al-Qunaytirah, captured by the Israelis in 1967
but briefly held by the Syrians in October. The
Syrians have also publicly insisted that Israeli
agreement to withdraw from all occupied territories
is a precondition for a disengagement agreement.
Israeli commentators say that Dayan does not
expect any concrete results from the Washington
meeting and that Israel is apparently prepared to
see negotiations with Syria drag out for several
months.
The current fighting along the Golan front, now
in its third week, has been primarily the result of
a Syrian effort--imitating Egypt--to bring pressure
for a settlement. The Israeli response has varied
widely. On several days the Israelis chose not to
return the Syrian fire, but it was Israeli artillery
that opened the heavy exchanges that lasted some
14 hours on March 27. It is unlikely that this ac-
tion signifies an Israeli intent to expand the fight-
ing or to begin any offensive against the Syrian
forces.
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FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
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Communist Logistic Activity
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INDOCHINA
The Communists a
supplies through nort
of communications int
beginning of the year
unit in northern Qua
sibly as much as 65,
of this is ordn
moving supplie
into Laos, and
re mr.ving large quantities of
her South Vietnam. Analysis
e igence shows that since the
a North Vietnamese logistic
Tri Province has handled pos-
00 tons of cargo. About half
e unit is responsible for
along Route 9 from Dong Ha
ard along Communist Route 14.
eastwa
Most of the supplies probably go to units in
South Vietnam, although small quantities may also
be sent to Laos and Cambodia. The amount of ord-
nance handled during the past few months would allow
the Communists in South Vietnam to continue fighting
for several years at the current level and for more
than a year at increased levels. These supplies
supplement the sizable quantity of materiel which
the Communists already had in South Vietnam.
The North Vietnamese have normally attempted
to maintain large stockpiles of ordnance in South
Vietnam, regardless of the level of fighting there.
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WEST GERMANY
West German Defense Minister Leber, discouraged
over the continuing drift in Atlantic relations, is
more than ever convinced that close defense ties with
the US are vital for Germany's security. Leber has
taken a strong stand, and apparently has helped in-
fluence the West German cabinet to espouse the idea
of "effective consultations" with the US.
Leber has persuaded the current Eurogroup chairman,
Norwegian Defense Minister Fostervoll, to call a
meeting in early May for "stocktaking and planning."
Leber apparently plans to press at that time for
further steps toward defense coordination and coop-
eration
FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
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YUGOSLAVIA
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Belgrade's decision to publicize some of its
moves, notably the dispatch of tanks into Zone B
and inspection trips there by navy and air force
commanders, suggests the Yugoslays are using the
dispute to make it clear to all their neighbors that
they intend to defend their country's territorial
integrity.
on
Monday. They said that increased Yugoslav military
activity should be viewed.in the context of a "de-
fense,against any and all powers" that might threaten,
Yugoslavia's sovereignty--presumably including the
USSR. The generals claimed that their country is
acting correctly in "signaling" its displeasure with
the Italians, but they stressed that Belgrade's
moves should not be read as a threat to Italy.
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CHILE-PERU
The territorial dispute between Chile and Peru
could involve the US under terms of a 1929 treaty
that formalized the results of the 19th Century War
of the Pacific. The treaty provides for the settle-
ment of interpretational disputes "by the President
of the United States."
Peru suspects that Chile plans to make conces-
sions to landlocked Bolivia that would involve Arica,
a port that once belonged to Peru. Chile is not
planning to cede Arica to Bolivia, which would vio-
late the treaty, but may convert the city into an in-
ternational free port. By such a move, Chile would
hope to deter Peruvian revanchism, but any signifi-
cant change in the city's status without prior con-
sultation is likely to be denounced by Peru as a
treaty violation. The US might then be drawn ?into
the controversy.
The US is not a signatory to the treaty but the
Harding, Coolidge, and Hoover administrations medi-
ated between the parties, and the treaty's preamble
notes that the accord was concluded "in conformity
with the principles which the President of the United
States of America, in performance of the good offices
requested by the Parties...proposed."
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Another Soviet Army Receives SA-4 Missiles
? >
Statute Miles
---./7-')
V
110
200
Trans-Baikal
/ Military District
Far East
Military District
.A nastasyevka
Khabarovsk r,
50
CHINA
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NOTE
USSR: 25X1
the Soviets have almost completely equipped 25X1
their armies with the SA-4 surface-to-air missile
system. Only one Soviet army--located at Chita
in the Trans-Baikal Military District--is not yet
equipped with the system. Once this army is equipped,
the Soviets may provide the missile to their Warsaw
Pact allies. The SA-4 is a mobile system, designed
to provide defense for ground forces against aircraft
flying at medium to high altitudes.
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Top Secret
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