THE PRESIDENT'S DAILY BRIEF 3 JULY 1974

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Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
0006004754
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RIPPUB
Original Classification: 
T
Document Page Count: 
15
Document Creation Date: 
August 14, 2016
Document Release Date: 
August 24, 2016
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Case Number: 
Publication Date: 
July 3, 1974
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Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/15 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012200010003-8 The President's Daily Brief 25X1 July 3, 1974 5 Th-S2 5X1 ecret Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/15 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012200010003-8 Declassified 41 Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/15 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012200010003-8 Exempt from general declassification uhedule of E.O. 11652 exemption category 5B( 11.(2),(3) daclassif.ied only on approval of the1Director of Central Intelligence V Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/15 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012200010003-8 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/15 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012200010003-8 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY THE PRESIDENT'S DAILY BRIEF July 3, 1974 PRINCIPAL DEVELOPMENTS space center Plesetsk missile and equipment that may be related to development of a land-mobile ICBM. (Page 1) The Soviets have begun to convert SS-9 silos at the Uzhur and Kartaly complexes for their new large ICBM, the SS-X-18. (Page 2) The USSR continues to make steady progress building the two Kiev-class aircraft carriers at Nikolayev, on the Black Sea. (Page 3) European Community officials are concerned that the Community may be discriminated against if alloca- tion of US uranium enrichment services becomes neces- sary. (Page 4) The price of gold dropped $6 to $137 an ounce yester- day, its lowest level in five months. (Page 5) Notes on France, Iran-USSR, and USSR-Algeria appear on Page 6. FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/15 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012200010003-8 25X1 25X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/15 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012200010003-8 25X1 ? Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/15 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012200010003-8 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/15 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012200010003-8 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY USSR of the Plesetsk missile and space center equipment that may be related to development of a land-mobile ICBM. A new missile, the solid-propellant SS-X-16, has been launched from Plesetsk four times in the past month. Whether or not it has been tested from a mobile launcher, however, cannot be determined from the evidence so far available. 25X1 25X1 25X1 five piecesof equipment in a clearing a half mile west 25X1 of a soft launch site associated in the late 1960s with the mobile $S-X-15. At least four of the pieces of equipment were 45 to 50 feet long, and may be trucks of a type associated in the past with short- range- ballistic missiles.. We do not believe, how- ever, that a vehicle for transporting and launching a missile was present. Two mobile vans used for troposcatter communi- cations at Plesetsk. A mo- bile strategic missile system would require a mobile communications system capable of performing well in a post-strike-nuclear environment. A troposcatter system, in which the signal is deflected by the troposphere over a distance of at least 75 miles, would fulfill this. requirement. At.another soft launch site which was used in the past for the mobile SS-X-15, This structure is about 160 feet long and has been in place since the spring of 1972, when flight-testing of the SS-X-16 ICBM began at Plesetsk. Although it has not been possible to determine a launch point for all 17 firings of the SS-X-16, there is evidence to suggest that a number of them have come from SS-13 silos. The SS-X-16, believed to be a follow-on to the older SS-13 ICBM, is de- ployed in 60 silos at the Yoshkar Ola ICBM complex. 1 25X1 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/15 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012200010003-8 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/15 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012200010003-8 SS-X-18 Silos at SS-9 Complexes - rfr& ??(:i r ' Moscow* e Kertely Dombaroyskiy 0 o Imeni Gesteflog Zhanoiztobe E UzhurEj CI SS-9 complex with SS-X-18 silos 0 SS-9 complex 9 f" Y 56126 6-74 CIA Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/15 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012200010003-8 25X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/15 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012200010003-8 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY USSR the Soviets have begun to convert SS-9 silos at the Uzhur and Kartaly complexes for their new large ICBM, the SS-X-18. At the Dombarovskiy complex, where conversion of one group of SS-9 silos has been under way for over a year, work has apparently begun on a second group. The Soviets started to build four new silos for the SS-X-18 at each of five SS-9 complexes in late 1970. In early 1973, they began to convert the group of six SS-9 silos near the four new silos at the Dombarovskiy complex. When completed later this year, the four new silos and the six converted ones at Dombarovskiy will form a single group of ten SS-X-18 silos. Because the Strategic Arms Limitation Agree- ment prohibits starting any new ICBM launchers, the second group of SS-9 silos now apparently being con- verted at Dombarovskiy probably will contain only six silos. The SS-9 silos now being converted at Kartaly and Uzhur are also located with the four new SS-X-18 silos at each complex. Ten silos for the SS-X-18 could be completed at each of these complexes by late 1975 or early 1976. The SS-X-18 has been undergoing flight-testing from Tyuratam since October 1972. Two versions of the missile are being tested. Development of an SS-X-18 with a single re-entry vehicle could be com- pleted by late 1974 or early 1975. Unless the test program for the MIRV version, which is equipped with at least six re-entry vehicles, is accelerated, at least another year of testing probably will be re- quired before it becomes operational. 2 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/15: CIA-RDP79T00936A012200010003-8 25X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/15 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012200010003-8 25X1 Declassified in Part'- Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/15: CIA-RDP79T00936A012200010003-8 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/15 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012200010003-8 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY USSR The Soviets are continuing to make steady prog- ress in building the two Kiev-class aircraft carriers at Nikolayev, on the Black Sea0 a surface-to-air missile launcher .has been installed on the carrier that the Soviets began .building -first. In addition, an electronics dome and_a fire-control radar were seen on its superstructure for the first time, Additional hull plating. has been added to the second carrier. This ship is now about 600 feet long; the first carrier Measures about 900 feet6 Kiev-class carriers will probably carry a mix of 30 to 40 helicopters and vertical and short take- off-and-landing aircraft. They will be armed with surface-to-air missile launchers, antisubmarine rocket launchers, and perhaps torpedoes. The first carrier will probably be operational by .1976. FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/15 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012200010003-8 25X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/15 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012200010003-8 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY EC-US-URANIUM European Community officials are concerned that the Community may be discriminated against if allocation of US uranium enrichment services becomes necessary. EC Commission Vice President Soames is particularly worried about the political significance of the US decision to supply enriched uranium to Egypt and Israel when there were out- standing requests from "long-standing satisfactory customers" in the EC. Some Community officials concede that EC cus- tomers were tardy in submitting contract requests to meet the deadline of June 30 for US services on reactors going into operation from 1978 to 1982. They nevertheless have implied that the US signed the provisional contracts with Egypt and Israel when it was refusing to sign contracts with EC customers. The Commission, which is the statutory middle- man in contracting for enrichment services for EC members, is clearly worried about meeting future Community energy needs and also presumably fears a new debate over the reliability of the US as a sup- plier. 4 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/15 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012200010003-8 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/15 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012200010003-8 Dollars per troy ounce 180 170 160 150 140 130 120 110 no London Free Market Gold Price* 1974 7 / 12 Jun 1 13 Jun 1) \ Daily& nd ? i *Based last trading on the afternoon d.4 in eaCkweek. fix n London on the II 1 1 11 1 1 "kold 1.1 was fixed at an $179.50 on April 3. 1 11 NH 1 11 all-time record / / 1 1 1 1 high o III III MI _11 I Jan 556118 7-74 Feb Mar Apr May Jun 11 1 39.20 21. 24 25 2E 112 , 1 2 Jun Ju11 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/15 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012200010003-8 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/15 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012200010003-8 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY GOLD The price of gold dropped $6 to $137 an ounce yesterday, its lowest level in five months. Gold dealers, who expected the present two-week-old trend to stabilize at $140 an ounce, now appear resigned to prices of $130 or less. They blame the decline on reduced demand. Soaring interest rates make holding gold very expensive; interest rates for short-term Eurocurren- cies exceeded 16 percent last month. Speculators who borrowed to buy gold at previously attractive prices are now selling the metal to avoid losses. South Africa has kept its gold sales at an even level this year. It could decide to slow its sales and thus maintain some minimum gold prices, but such action would be in the face of its rising needs for foreign exchange. 5 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/15 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012200010003-8 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/15 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012200010003-8 25X1 25X1 25X1 -;- Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/15 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012200010003-8 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/15 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012200010003-8 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY NOTES 25X1 France: Iran-USSR: Iran is threatening to double the price of the natural gas it exports to the Soviet Union Negotiations between the two have broken down; the Iranians supply nearly 350 billion cubic feet of gas to the USSR annually and are in a strong bargain- ing position. In addition, Tehran has notified the Soviets and West Germans that it will not take part in discussions on exports of gas from Iran to the USSR and from the USSR to West Germany. Trilateral talks on ways to increase these exports were to begin Monday. USSR-Al?eria: The USSR has recently reinstated arms deliveries to Algeria as part of an effort to improve its position among Arab states./ //Soviet Defense Minister Grechko visited Algiers in late May, but no new military agreement was announced. The USSR is Algeria's main arms sup- plier, however, and a $100-million military credit extended by Moscow in early 1971 has not been drawn on extensively.( 6 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/15 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012200010003-8 25X1 25X1 25X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/15 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012200010003-8 Top Secret Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/15 : CIA-RDP79T00936A012200010003-8