THE PRESIDENT'S INTELLIGENCE REVIEW 14-17 MARCH 1964

• Document Type: FOIA
• Collection: President's Daily Brief 1961-1969
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 0005996897
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 7
• Document Creation Date: September 16, 2015
• Document Release Date: September 16, 2015
• Publication Date: March 17, 1964

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THE PRESIDENT'S
INTELLIGENCE REVIEW
ISSUED BY THE
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
14- 17 MARCH 1964 50X1
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17 March 1964
Cyprus: UN presence on the island is expanding
as CiraTaii troops continue to move in. Over 300 are
now there and all 1150 are due to be in place by
next Tuesday.
The main Irish, Swedish and Finnish contingents
will be coming next month, though advance parties
will be in Nicosia sooner.
The island has been relatively calm in recent
days. Skirmishes and other minor incidents have
continued, however, and are enough to keep Turkish
officials on edge.
The state of readiness of Turkish forces on the
mainland diminished over the Weekend although Ankara
has announced that its land, sea, and air forces in
the Iskenderun area are conducting new exercises.
ThiS.annOunCement follows moves in the political arena
intended to show that Turkey is as determined as ever
to intervene should there be further serious trouble
from Makarios and the Greek Cypriots.
In New York, terms of reference for the UN force
are still being hammered out. It is proving a diffi-
cult job. The main hurdle; as always, is the dif-
ference between the Greek Cypriot view that the UN
will merely assist them in keeping order and the
Turkish view that the force's mission, is to prevent
Greek Cypriot action, authorized or not, against the
Turkish minority.
Agreement on a,mediator is. 'also proving trouble-
some. A Swiss national seems to be the most likely
possibility.
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2. North Vietnam-South Vietnam:
This is the line
by the North Vietnamese
namely, the US will get sick of South Vietnam and
pull out, at which time Hanoi will show itself to
be quite "flexible."
3. Chile: Presidential candidate Duran has with-
drawn from the race following the dismal defeat
suffered by his center-right coalition in a local
by-election Sunday. His resignation has not yet
been accepted.
The election in question took place in a district
which in the past has generally returned center-
right candidates by comfortable margins. This time
victory went to the candidate of the Communist-Socialist
Popular Action Front, who polled almost 40% of the
vote in a three-cornered race.
(Cont'd)
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While local issues and personalities played a
big role, all three national parties chose to make
the election a test of strength. All spent large
sums and sent in big names from the national party
level.
The chief beneficiary of all this could well be
Senator Allende, the Popular Action Front's presi-
dential candidate. His election would raise a specter
of a Chilean government in which the Communists had
a large say.
4. Libya: Libyan leaders say they must have an
agreement torenegotiate the question of the bases.
tne
Libyan Parliament. That body has now unanimously
"authorized" the government to "start negotiations
to liquidate foreign base rights and achieve their
full evacuation." Failure to do so, says the reso-
lution, will cause the chamber to pass a law uni-
laterally abrogating the treaty and agreement.
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5. Somalia-Ethiopia: There are new clashes ?in
?Ogaden as Ethiopian troops begin to harass Somali
tribesmen in the new ten-mile wide "prohibited zone"
along the border.
It will be impossible to seal the entire 900-
? mile border, and we expect to see more trouble. The
Somali nomads have crossed the Ethiopian border to
? their traditional grazing areas for centuries and
we do not expect them to quietly fold their tents.
Soviet arms to
Somalia arrived at Mogadiscio
6. ? Cambodia: ? Sihanouk apparently has been rebuffed
by the?MUTE-Vietnamese in his effort to get a border
guarantee and neutrality treaty out of them.
Instead, says the capricious Prince, he will
resume talks with the South Vietnamese--a more pru-
dent project, it would seem/
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7. Maphilindo Talks: Sukarno and the electioneer-
ing Tunku Rahman are busy trading verbal blows across
the Strait of Malacca, issuing largely symbolic "mobi-
lization" decrees, and generally creating an unpropitious
atmosphere for renewed talks at any level.
Even so, efforts are currently under way to set
up a Maphilindo ambassadors' group in Bangkok under
Thai, aegis, the hope being that a way to renewed nego-
tiations can be prepared after Malaysia's elections
next month if not sooner.
8. Panama-US: The Panamanian press and radio have
dropped the restraint they have exercised in recent
weeks. They are starting again to agitate for meetings
and demonstrations, and there is talk again of taking
the problem to the UN.
9. 'USSR:
10. Uruguay: Uruguayan President Giannattasio does
not like the cumbersome nine-man collegial executive
system. He feels it "must go," and we have a report
he is trying to line up military support for a coup,
presumably before his term expires a year from now.
11.
Surinam - British Guiana: The self-governing
Dutch territory of Surinam has heretofore been rela-
tively quiet, but with help from Cheddi Jagan next
door, leftist agitation is on the increase. The
familiar issues of independence and Creole vs East
Indian are ready-made in Surinam, and Jagan seems in-
tent on making the same mess of things there he is
making at home.
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12. Cuba: Aerial photography shows that the Cubans
have increased somewhat their military strength
at camps near Guantanamo, They seem to feel the
February water crisis showed them to be under strength
in the area.
At the Ofelia camp 20 miles northwest of the base,
some 25 tanks, 20 cargo trucks and 10 artillery
pieces have gradually been added since the February
crisis. Similarly, at El Cristo, 35 miles west of
Guantanamo, 12 tanks, 20 trucks, some armored personnel
carriers, and additional artillery have appeared in
recent days.
13. Saudi Arabia: There are signs that King Saud
a d Prince Iavsal are at it again.
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