THE PRESIDENT'S INTELLIGENCE REVIEW 1-4 FEBRUARY 1964

• Document Type: FOIA
• Collection: President's Daily Brief 1961-1969
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 0005996815
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 10
• Document Creation Date: September 16, 2015
• Document Release Date: September 16, 2015
• Publication Date: February 4, 1964

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THE PRESIDENT'S
INTELLIGENCE REVIEW
ISSUED BY THE
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
1 ? 4 FEBRUARY 1964
-TOrrYEGREI-
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4 February 1964
1. Cyprus: Just prior to the attack on the US
Embasgriii-Nicosia, British senior representative
Pickard passed Makarios' reply on the interallied
force proposal to Ambassador Wilkins.
In it, Makarios made these points:
--The principle that ?an international force
should be created and stationed in Cyprus is
accepted;
--Such force should be under the Security
Council (its composition should be agreed
? upon in advance);
--In such force there should be no partici-
pation of Greek or Turkish forces;
--The terns of reference of the force should
include the protection of the territorial
integrity of the republic and assist in re-
storing normal conditions.
-Pickard said he thought the problems Makarios
raises can be worked out through careful--and time-
consuming--negotiation in London if the situation
does ?not get out of hand on the island first.
The bombing of our Embassy may make this all
out of date. Makarios, by encouraging street demon-
strations Monday and today against our proposals,
may now find himself riding the tiger.
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2. South Vietnam: General Khanh is working hard
to build up a good public image. He spent much of
Sunday visiting troops and villagers outside of
Saigon, taking General Minh along in his new role
of "adviser."
He is retaining ex-Prime Minister Tho's cabi-
net on a caretaker basis and has told both General
Harkins and Ambassador Lodge that he hopes to keep
to a minimum the number of personnel changes. He
has asked our advice and recommendations for new ap-
pointments.
Khanh claims that, had he not moved when he did,
he would have been arrested the next day at a sched-
uled meeting of Corps commanders. He says Minh would
have been arrested, too, and General Kim would then
have gone on the air to proclaim a policy of neu-
tralism.
We are not convinced the situation was as dan-
gerous as Khanh claims.
Both Harkins and Lodge are coming around to the
view that perhaps General Khanh's advent was a bless-
ing in disguise.
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3. Communist China - USSR: The Chinese premier is
returning today to Peiping (via Karachi and Rangoon)
without having practiced his French on General
De Gaulle.
With his itinerary cut short by cancellations
in East Africa, he may have thought it best to re-
turn to Peiping in order to help call signals in the
recognition game.
His next scheduled stop is a state visit to
Pakistan on 17 February.
In his interview with Edgar Snow published in
Monday's New York Times, Chou acknowledged for the
first timTME-URERVITEe of border trouble with the
Soviets. He said agreement had been reached to
negotiate the problem.
4.
France-China: Paris and Peiping took a further
step last weekend when each named a charg4 to repre-
sent it in the other's capital.
In neither case was mention made of timing.
The arrival of a Chinese Communist charge in Paris
will have a further unsettling effect on Taipei,
which is uncertain how far it should go in trying
to outlast Peiping.
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5. Panama: President Chiari remains caught between
the nUEFIggrty for breaking the diplomatic deadlock
with the US and the demands of Panamanian popular
opinion. He can probably get an OAS meeting, but
this will accomplish little.
A break in the situation may come through former
President Arnulfo Arias, who is preparing to make a
bid for power.
His main hurdle is Panama's elite, who resent?
his appeal to the masses but see their interests
threatened by the way things are going. Some may
be willing to make a deal.
Arias would like to be voted into office in May's
elections and, at the moment, his chances look fairly
good./
(Contid).
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His broad popular appeal brought him into the
presidency twice before, but each time he was ousted
by the National Guard.
Leftist agitators also continue busy. A big
student-worker demonstration is slated for next Mon-
day in Panama City.
6. Maphilindo Meeting: Thai Foreign Minister
Thanat, who has been in charge of the arrangements,
says the foreign ministers of Malaysia, the Philip=
pines, and Indonesia will gather Wednesday in Bang-
kok for a brief welcoming ceremony. Their first
working session is scheduled for Thursday.
Thanat, like Macapagal, does not expect much
from these talks. The Philippines take the position
that Malaysia will have to grant Sukarno "face-sav-
ing" concessions.
For their part, the Indonesians seem happy with
what they consider the success so far of their enn-
frontation policy.
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7. Zanzibar - East Africa: Neither the new regime
nor the imported Tanganyikan police have yet suc-
ceeded in disarming the guntoting followers of "Mar-
shal" Okello.
The Tanganyikan police are spending most of
their time in their barracks, and the government
itself has shown little stomach for the task.
The only remaining US official on the island
says that it is getting more difficult to protect
American property. He reports that last week Okello's
thugs made off with a US Government car, and the
authorities have been unable to recover it.
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8.
Ghana: Something peculiar is going on in Accra,
A large body of army troops was drawn up briefly
around Nkrumah's residence last Friday night. ZinCe
that time, the army securityguard there has been
quadrupled. This has awakened rumors, conflicting
and unconfirmed, that Nkrumah is under some sort of
army constraint.
The Ghanaian Army is generally apolitical, but
we know its leaders are unhappy with Nkrumah's left-
ward course and his preparations to build up a palace
elite to serve as a counterweight.'
9. Thailand: There are signs that a palace coup
in Thailand, which we have been expecting virtually
since Sarit's death, may not be much longer coming.
The able, ambitious General Praphat, who has
been pretty much running things in Thanom's "care-
taker" government, is moving further to neutralize
his two main rivals, Generals Chitti and Krit.
We, would not expect a government turnover to
have any substantial effect on Thai-US relations.
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10, USSR-Cuba: The Soviet ship Sergei Kirov has
arrived in Cuba with military cargo.
11. Congo: The leftist-inspired uprising in Kwilu
Province ease of Leopoldville has now grown to the
point where it is interrupting mineral shipments (on
the Kasai River) out of Katanga. Government rein-
forcements have arrived but the trouble continues
to spread.
12. Ecuador: Clashes with students have continued
sporadically since last Thursday's demonstration,
?and military authorities have been forced to move
into and close Quito's university.
This is just what the agitators wanted. Uni-
versities are generally considered sacred ground in
Latin America. The boast is going about that no
Ecuadorean government has ever taken on the students
and survived.
The ruling junta is already divided within and
threatened by ex-President Arosemena's plotting from
without.
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13. Honduras:
a group of Liberal Party diehards now has everything
in readiness to overthrow the Lopez military regime.
They could make their move any day now.
They are not Castro-Communist backed, but the
far left would be likely eventually to benefit most
from this coup or from one also being plotted by a
disgruntled group within the military.
14. Egypt - Saudi Arabia: The Saudis and Egyptians
have moved nearer rapprochement. Jidda has announced
that it will restore diplomatic relations with Cairo
provided the two countries representatives meet with
Iraqi and Algerian mediators to settle "all their
outstanding problems."
15. Laos: Neutralist Premier Souvanna Phouma says
? the prfaut Lao offensive in central Laos has wrecked
his efforts to fUll the three government factions
together. As a:result he has suspended preparation
for further meetings in the Plaine des Jarres.
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