THE PRESIDENT'S INTELLIGENCE REVIEW 25--28 JANUARY 1964

• Document Type: FOIA
• Collection: President's Daily Brief 1961-1969
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 0005996801
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 7
• Document Creation Date: September 16, 2015
• Document Release Date: September 16, 2015
• Publication Date: January 28, 1964

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THE PRESIDENT'S
INTELLIGENCE REVIEW
ISSUED BY THE
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
25 - 28 JANUARY 1964
TOP SECRET
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28 January 1964
1. Cyprus: The situation continues downhill.
Both Greek and Turkish Cypriots are adding
to their stocks of weapons and preparing for the
outburst they fear will follow the failure of the
London talks,
The talks themselves are grinding on to a
dead-end. The British played their trump card
last Friday when they tabled a compromise formula
which took something from each party involved but
avoided the more scratchy issues.
Neither Greek nor Turkish Cypriots, however,
are in a mood to compromise. The talks could
break up at any time. Today (Tuesday) the Turks
were talking about pulling out.
There are many rumors that Turkish or Greek
forces are moving. None of these can be substan-
tiated
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2, East Africa: With his government on the verge
of collapse, Nyerere was forced last Saturday to
call British troops in. Deployment was swiftly
executed against little resistance and order was
quickly restored.
British intervention has thus temporarily
stemmed the tide of lawlessness that swept from
Zanzibar into Tanganyika, Uganda, andKenya.
The very presence of British troops, however,
will provide fuel to such fiery nationalists as
Tanganyika's Kambona and Kenya's Oginga Odinga,
who it seems have been in close touch all along.
Nyerere will find the British presence, how-
ever necessary, a political liability as he tries
to rebuild his government, army, police force, and
political power base.
He has a long row to hoe and very little time.
We are not at all confident he can make it.
He has now called for an emergency meeting in
Dar-es-Salaam of the defense and foreign ministers
of the Organization of Africa States, which includes
almost all of them. He may have trouble rounding
up a quorum, however, before the regular ministerial
meeting scheduled for Feb. 17 in Nigeria.
3, China Recognition: De Gaulle's maneuver may
have struck a snag. Faced with the Nationalists,'
decision to hold fast at least temporarily, Paris
and Peiping have openly disagreed on the terms of
their agreement.
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So far there has been no great rush to get on
the De Gaulle bandwagon, and, we suspect, most
nations will now want to see how the present Paris-
Peiping round comes out before taking action them-
selves.
4. Communist China - Africa: Peiping Premier
Chou swing through eastern Africa now in
progress may be cut short by the troubles there.
He has "postponed" his visit to Tanganyika, and
dates for Kenya, Uganda,and Zanzibar are highly
uncertain.
One possibility, if these stops are lopped
off, is that he will take up his option on a Swiss
chalet and wait for a call from Paris.
5. Indonesia-Malaysia: Sukarno is apparently
going to observe the Borneo cease-fire as he agreed
in Tokyo./
However, it seems fairly certain that this is
the only aspect of Indonesian confrontation that
is going to be affected./
(Contid)
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Arrangements for the Bangkok talks are still
not complete, but the conference should get under
way early next month./
6. Libya: For the first time in Libya's brief
history, the monarchy is in deep trouble.
Scattered rioting and violence started a
fortnight ago. In the past five days a threat-
ening situation has built up in Tripoli, where dem-
onstrations have begun to take a definite politi-
cal character--against the King's government and
for ex-Premier Fikini.
Some 600 arrests have been made so far, and
the police, who do not shy away from strong-arm
measures, will probably be able to keep the riot-
ing under control.
In the longer run this developing opposition
could coalesce around Fikini, who is popular, and
the Egyptians might be tempted to take a hand despite
their present efforts to project an image of sweet-
ness and light.
Wheelus Air Base is taking special precautionary
measures. Several Americans have suffered minor cuts
and bruises from stoning incidents.
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7. Congo: The guerrilla bands of ex-Gizenga aide
Pierre-Mil-Tele now pose the most serious challenge to
the central government since the Katanga revolt.
These bands, numbering about 2,000, have overrun
parts of Kwilu Province southeast of Leopoldville.
Belgium has asked for additional US aircraft
to help evacuate white missionaries who have been
attacked by these gangs.
The government's reaction has been sluggish.
Adoula has now scheduled the move of units of
Congolese Army commandoes into the area. The
Congolese Army has never distinguished itself in
this sort of action and is as likely to join the
enemy as to fight.
Anti-Adoula forces are active elsewhere. There
were leftist demonstrations in Gizenga's old strong-
hold at Stanleyville yesterday. , Left-wing groups
operating out of Brazzaville are Pressing their ef-
forts to subvert Adoula's troops and-are sending
arms to partisans operating upriver from Leopold-
ville.
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9. Latin America: The military junta in Ecuador
could come up against its worst crisis tomorrow.
It has banned the big student demonstration which
was due in Guayaquil then, but the students are,
apparently, determined to go ahead anyway.
The situation in Bolivia remains charged.
The convention of the FEITE7Fparty has now picked
Federico Fortun, long time supporter of Paz for
his Vice Presidential running mate.
The extreme leftwing may now hold its own
convention in order to nominate Lechin for Presi-
dent.
? Leftwingers in Panama are thinking of ordering
the students back into the streets this week, and they
can be expected to make further moves against
American property.
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