THE PRESIDENT'S INTELLIGENCE CHECKLIST 15 JANUARY 1964
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Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST):
0005996774
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RIPPUB
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T
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9
Document Creation Date:
September 16, 2015
Document Release Date:
September 16, 2015
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Publication Date:
January 15, 1964
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THE PRESIDENT'S
INTELLIGENCE CHECKLIST
ISSUED BY THE
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
15 JANUARY 1964
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1. USSR
a. Pravda on Monday published
data implying thatthere was an in-
crease in 1963 over 1962 of only three
percent in "national income"--the
principal Soviet measurement of
economic performance. This growth
rate is the lowest since World War
c. In another commentary, Mos-
cow claimed that its 1963 agricul-
tural output was 50 percent above
the 1952 level. This claim is, in
fact, an admission that 1963 was
the worst year for agriculture since
1957.
d. It also means that total
agricultural production in 1963 fell
about nine percent below the 1962
level.
e. The Soviet press has dis-
played more than usual sensitivity
in ridiculing the US estimates.
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2. France-USSR a. France is considering
credit concessions to the USSR.
3. Bolivia
b. A Finance Ministry spokes-
man told an embassy officer that
Paris is "giving much attention" to
extending credits for more than five
years to the USSR in preparation for
Finance Minister Giscard d'Estaing's
visit to Moscow late this month.
c. He argued somewhat disingen-
uously that if the British extend
seven-year credits France may be
forced to do the same.
d. We have also had hints of
a change in French credit policy
from Pompidou and other French of-
ficials.
a. Bolivia may be in for
another period of instability fol-
lowing the convention of the ruling
Nationalist Revolutionary Movement
(MNR) party, which opens Friday,
b. Ambassador Henderson has
raised the possibility that Lechin
may attempt an early overthrow of
the government if he is denied the
presidential or vice-presidential
nomination.
(Cont'd)
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4. Yemen
c. Short of a coup attempt,
there is still likely to be consider-
able unrest. An attempt by Presi-
dent Paz to restore his authority
over the mining areas could also
touch off disturbances.
d.
some Bolivian Labor Confederation
leaders who support Lechin are pres-
sing for a street demonstration in
support of Panama which would lead
to attacks on the US Embassy and the
destruction of American property.
e. The Confederation has
scheduled a demonstration for to-
morrow to protest government policies,
and these leaders may attempt to
turn it into an anti-US demonstration.
a. Last week's reorganization
of the republican regime ?is a step
backward.
b. It strengthens Egyptian
control and narrows the base of
government; important tribal
leaders were not given a role in
government affairs.
(Cont 'd)
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5. Cuba-USSR
c. The three top Egyptian mil-
itary officers in Yemen are included
on the National Security Council, which is
charged with controlling military and
security affairs.
d. Their presence on the
council will increase Yemeni fears
of being ruled as an Egyptian colony.
e. Meanwhile, Saudi Prince
Faysal's decision not to attend
Nasir's Arab Conference dashes hopes
that the meeting would provide an
opportunity for a frank discussion
between the two leaders on a settle-
ment in Yemen.
a. Castro's quick trip to Mos-
cow is disturbing. Ambassador Kohler
has suggested that the Panama riot-
ing triggered it.
b. If so,then Castro is un-
doubtedly asking Khrushchev for sup-
port in keeping the ball rolling in
Panama and exploiting the situation
elsewhere.
c. The Soviets, for their part,
may be trying to persuade Castro to
cool off,
(Cont 'd)
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d. Peiping, as might be ex-
pected, is wasting no time making
its stand clear. It is organizing
the largest mass demonstrations in
Peiping since the Cuban crisis to
support Panama's claims*
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A.
NOTES
Peru
Communist-front organization in Peru is calling a
rally to protest the events in Panama.
militant Communist elements will try
to direct the crowd against American installations
and property.
B. Syria
impending military coup. Damascus political obser-
vers generally concede that Baathist President Hafiz'
days are numbered,but the timing of a coup and the
identity of the plotters are not clear.
D. India The lull in Hindu-Moslem violence in Calcutta
may be only temporary. A 24-hour general strike has
been called by Hindu extremists for today.
E.
Honduras:
Several senior military officers are
plotting to over-
throw the Lopez regime.
F. Communist China New food shortages have developed
in South China as the result of serious drought in
most southern provinces in 1963.
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(Cont'd)
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G. North Korea - South Korea The shoot-down of a
South Korean fighter yesterday over North Korean
territory
H. Caribbean "Summit" The meeting, which got under way
Monday in Kingston, may prove to be a dud. Trinidad's
Williams has not done his homework. He plans to
take no initiative, even on the regional economic
scheme which we had earlier thought he would try to
press on Cheddi Jagan.
LATE NOTE
Yemen The press reports King Saud has met with
RTgla7 and Yemeni President Sallal and quotes informed
sources as saying as a result of his meeting "the
problems in Yemen are virtually over." These sources
seem unduly optimistic. Even if Saud is in a mood
to settle the problem of Yemen with Nasir he still
has to square it with Faysal who is actually running
the country.
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DOCUMENT OF INTEREST
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