THE PRESIDENT'S INTELLIGENCE CHECKLIST 5 DECEMBER 1963

Document Type: 
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
0005996703
Release Decision: 
RIPPUB
Original Classification: 
T
Document Page Count: 
12
Document Creation Date: 
September 16, 2015
Document Release Date: 
September 16, 2015
Sequence Number: 
Case Number: 
Publication Date: 
December 5, 1963
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1=1 =3 1= 1= MIS =3 =3 =3 EEE Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A002100110001-1 THE PRESIDENT'S INTELLIGENCE CHECKLIST ISSUED BYTHE CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY 5 DECEMBER 1963 ?1-012-5-EC7RET-- Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A002100110001-1 r=l I 1 1=1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A002100110001-1 1. South Vietnam 2. USSR a. Viet Cong military activity slackened somewhat during the last week of November, but it is still well above the level which prevailed before the 1 November coup in Saigon. b. The Communists have generally been more effective, too, in that they have inflicted heavier losses in personnel and weapons at no ap- parent increase in cost to themselves. c. It has netted them, for example, a gain of nearly 1,000 weap- ons, possibly more, during the month--enough to equip three regular battalions. d. November's activity drama- tizes the unfavorable statistical trends in the conflict which set in last July. e. Several charts are included at the back of the book. a. The Soviet Party Presidium-- the main policy making organ--is in oberous need of new faces and may get them at the end of the Central Committee plenum which convenes next Monday. (Cont'd) "rL_ _ *2 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A002100110001-1 ii Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A002100110001-1 PRESIDIUM OF THE COMMUNIST PARTY OF THE SOVIET UNION Full Members Age Positions Probable Areas of Responsibility (Not Necessarily Complete) Khrushchev 69 Party First Secretary Party and government head Premier Chairman, RSFSR Party Bureau Brezhnev 57 Party Secretary Party second-in-command Titular head of state Voronov 52 RSFSR Premier Government affairs of the Russian Republic Kirilenko 57 First Deputy Chairman, RSFSR Party Bureau RSFSR party-industrial affairs Kozlov 55 Party Second Secretary Incapacitated Kosygin 59 First Deputy Premier Domestic economic affairs Kuusinen 82 Party Secretary CPSU relations with foreign Communist parties Mikoyan 68 First Deputy Premier Senior adviser to Khrushchev, particularly in fields of ? foreign affairs and foreign trade Podgorny 60 Party Secretary CPSU relations with foreign Communist parties (?) Polyansky 45 Deputy Premier Government agricultural affairs Sus I ov 61 Party Secretary CPSU relations with foreign Communist parties Coordination of world Communist movement Shvernik 75 Chairman, Party Commission Heads trial board concerned with infractions of party discipline Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-R6P79T00936A002100110001-1 1-1 1=1 1-1 L=,-1 r--71 1=1 r--1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A002100110001-1 f. Personnel actions by the Central Committee plenum may also provide clues to the lineup of Khru- shchev's possible successors. g. While Brezhnev is generally top seeded, we have been watching party secretary Podgorny's star rise. He is probably closer to Khrushchev both personally and in terms of ability and style than any of his sidekicks. Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A002100110001-1 1-- 1 50X6 17-1 cznr fT r E 1 L-- =i=1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A002100110001-1 3. Ghana-USSR-US a. Moscow has offered military assist- ance to Ghana ?Nkrumah has had some set backs recently (e.g., no mediating role in the Algerian-Moroccan dispute) in attempts to promote pan-Africanism and himself with it. There are also frustrations over failure of the cocoa conference. (Cont'd) r_.r% ? I 0... Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A002100110001-1 50X1 I 50X1 50X1 50X1 501 50X1 50X1 50X1 50X1 1=3 IMM3 r"--1 gag Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A002100110001-1 4. Laos f. In short, he is in a frus- trated, potentially dangerous mood, according to Ambassador Mahoney. ? g. It is reflected in his re- cent cancellation of US aid to the medical school project, in the most violent anti-US tone in the past 20 months on the Ghana radio, and, now, in the acceptance of Soviet military aid. h. Even so, London and Ambas- sador Mahoney have reserved judgment and are not prepared to predict that Nkrumah intends to reduce drastically his Western contacts. a. The murder last night of neutralist intelligence chief Colonel Leuang will aggravate distrust among the factions and could well lead to reprisals by pro-Communists who will try to pin the deed on Phoumi's fac- tion. b. Leuang, a rigid neutralist, was strongly opposed to the current trend of increased cooperation between the neutralists and rightists and was, in turn, strongly opposed by the rightists. (Cont'd) c__ -rL_ Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A002100110001-1 ==:1 L f_i I 1 1 1 r i1 Itri r_ Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A002100110001-1 5. Italy c. They may have done it (they were talking of it at one time),? al- though as is usual in Laos, the pos- sibility of a provocation is ever present. a. Moro has finally managed to get a cabinet together, but to do it, he had to go back on earlier commitments and give one of the ?three top economic posts (Budget) to a Socialist. b. The 24-man cabinet thus has five Socialists plus Vice Pre- mier Nenni. c. The right wing of the Christian Democrats does not like the setup, and the 16 assembly depu- ties from this faction cannot be relied on. The same goes for some 32 left-wing Socialists. (Cont'd) r Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy7 rl I pproved.fo rI4 I Release 2015/0f/24 : elA-RDP79T00936A002100110001-1 50X1 I- 4 -1 I -4 ' Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A002100110001-1 6. Sino-Soviet Dispute d. Even so, Moro stands a good chance of surviving the con- fidence vote which will come in the next week or two when he presents his government's program to the as- sembly. a. Behavior of the Soviets and the Chinese Communists at the World Peace Council session in War- saw makes it clear that each side went there to test the other's in- tentions, and that each found the other unprepared to compromise. b. The Soviets brought all dis- puted items to a vote and won. The Chinese, however, submitted detailed draft counterproposals and managed to garner enough support from Afro- Asian and Latin American delegates to give color to their claim that Peiping speaks for the underdeveloped nations. c. Chinese Communists have done everything but walk out on the meeting to disassociate themselves from all the World Peace Council resolutions. d. They probably will make a major case of this instance' of Soviet "manipulation," but apparently are not yet ready to form their own rival peace front. r__ ,L_ n__ J _ _ e__. Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A002100110001-1 ri A Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A002100110001-1 NOTES A. Venezuela Lieutenant Colonel Chenault was released in Caracas early this morning in good health. B. Great Britain C. Dominican Republic The leftist guerrilla force has been all but subdued by government troops, with some 40 taken prisoner and 3 killed. Another group of 25 is still at large. Rumors that they received training and supplies from Cuba ?D. Iraq Baathists in position of authority are be- ? ginning to desert the ship, some under pressure. While the non-Baathists appear to be in control, the commander of the 4th Division, a dedicated Baathist, is said to have surrounded Baghdad, and he may try to reverse the trend. Thailand Sarit has named Deputy Premier and De- fense Minister Thanom as acting premier and at the same time has given General Chitti the job of act- ing commander in chief of the army. He is urging everyone to hold together behind Thanom and they may do so while he lives, but these two wires could easily get crossed. Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 20-15/01/24 : elA-RDP79T00936A002100110001-1 7-7 50X1 50X1 50X1 50X1 LEEEB EEEE3 EEEE3 EEEE3 EEEE3 E22E3 EEEE3 GEM E::=3 Ema E=3 C-71 EZ;;1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A002100110001-1 2000 1750 1500 1250 1000 750 500 250 VIET CONG ACTIVITY THROUGH 25 NOV 1 2931 I ' iiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiill mom mmommumemommummummommumummummons immum_m_mmommommimme? _ ____ mommummmommummommummummummummumminumummommulloollimullimmullimal imummommummommmummammommommommommommummummum mummommummommlimmommommimmummimumminummimmommommommummummummiam/Immrommi; ? ommmorm6mulm immummommismommrnmmommumm?mmmommummEmmmummommmummwmilmmul =mum ? 14 inspremilmmu mommmummorniummummomminummommummilmommummummummummommL, milmommum ? mmaimmummummobaummommummummommummuusimmommummummommummormummammemmommi mommommummumminkommummummummommummiumummommumminummimmumemommownwrommommul mommommilimmommompoommummummmommommummmummummommummummelmmummrsimmimprnol mommumEmmummummommmufta=mommuiremmommemmomminummumm run zgaggimmacs Elmilligui 1111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111 ' Eiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiirnii 111111111111111111111111 11111111112111111111 1111111 1111111111111111111111111111111111111 punpunnumummuummulumpummumnommmummommummi ..... ...i............................ .&... 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Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Ju Jy Aug Sep Oct Nov ? Dec 1962 1963 631115 2A21 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A002100110001-1 50X1 50X1 -- I 1000 900 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 11 1 Li 1=1 r===i 1 1 I 1 1 1 1-1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A002100110001-1 COMPARATIVE WEAPONS LOSSES THROUGH 25 NOV 1323 50X1 ? MN MUM ? MI ME ME?IIMMIMUMMUMMEMEMEMM MMINIMMEMMEMMEMMOMMEMMEMMEMEMEMMEMMEMEMMEMEMINEMMININ NEW I 1 ihiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiriiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiii 1.11111 I. 1.11111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111. ILIIIIIIMIIIII IIIIIIII II EEEEIIII,RR. II.......R.........................................., ER ...... E.. .1........1 .... REE. ........................................ 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EE ... 1 .E. ... um ... 1 EEE 1 IEEE 1 E. 1 ?? EH, .E. IE. ... May Ju Jy Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan 1962 Feb Mar Apr May Ju Jy Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 1963 6311152B2 50X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A002100110001-1 ea31 L! EMI EMI Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A002100110001-1 4500 4000 3500 3000 2500 2000 1500 1000 500 I COMPARATIVE CASUALTIES TH R011/G H 2'51"1C146 2.0TAL ? VC CASUAL-TI ES 7? ? ?Cri __??; +7 May Ju 1 NO= ?? 1 !Ili' ... .. .. ? ro-, :FAIL .. 1;. GY.Nt EMI ECASaliT [ES ? Emu ? I. I 11111 En sum mg! -I-Li t1 DhEFEGT1 ONS 111 7--1-rt ..... hU. r: M y Aug. Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Ju Jy Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 1962 I 1963 631115 2C2 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A002100110001-1 50X1 50X1