THE PRESIDENT'S INTELLIGENCE CHECKLIST 14 NOVEMBER 1963
Document Type:
Collection:
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST):
0005996662
Release Decision:
RIPPUB
Original Classification:
T
Document Page Count:
10
Document Creation Date:
September 16, 2015
Document Release Date:
September 16, 2015
Sequence Number:
Case Number:
Publication Date:
November 14, 1963
File:
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DOC_0005996662.pdf | 257.52 KB |
Body:
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THE PRESIDENT'S
INTELLIGENCE CHECKLIST
ISSUED BY THE
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
14 NOVEMBER 1963
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1. Cuba-USSR
2. Cuba
a. Three Soviet passenger
ships arrived in Cuba during the
past month with Soviet military
personnel aboard.
b. We estimate some 1;500
Soviet military personnel have thus
arrived(
a. Raul Castro's reference to
a conscription law forthcoming on
1 December for all males between 17
and 45 fulfills a promise made by
Fidel last July.
b. At that time Castro admitted
frankly that one of the law's main
purposes was to make sure there were
no parasites in the Cuban economy.
(Cont'd)
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3. NATO
c. Raul also referred to some
7,000 Cuban soldiers now enrolled
in "special weapons" courses.
d. In addition to those at
the SAM sites, this category prob-
ably includes those training in
communications, radar, cruise mis-
siles,and anti-tank or tactical mis-
siles.
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4. North Vietnam - a. North Vietnamese Prime
France Minister Pham Van-dong has told the
French delegate in Hanoi that, al-
though US-inspired, the coup in
Saigon was a step in the right di-
rection.
b. This comes from a report
given Ambassador Bohlenl
c. Pham is said to have ex-
pressed the view that the US would
eventually tire of fighting, and;
when this happened; Hanoi would show
itself to be as flexible as it is
now rigid.
d. Pham added that now was not
the time for negotiations.
e. The belief that the US
would ultimately tire Of the war,
after which a "political solution"
would be possible, is a standard
French line,
f. It is a view we are sure
Pham Van-dong shares.
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5, Communist
China
a. We estimate grain losses
since August from flooding in the
North China plain to be in the
neighborhood of five million tons.
b. Even so, Peiping has made
no effort to start contracting for
grain imports which will soon be
sorely needed.
c. The world market is becom-
ing tight, and sources to supply even
the five pillion tons imported this past
year will be difficult to find.
d. Peiping is, nevertheless,
busy buying machinery in Western
Europe, for the first time in recent
years, and may not intend to buy
much grain abroad despite the suf-
fering that might ensue.
6. Yemen - Saudi a. Yemeni leaders say they
Arabia -Egypt would welcome a chance to talk with
the Saudis, whether in Yemen or at
some neutral site. ?They will not
go to Jidda.
b. The Egyptians (at least
those in Yemen) say they, too, would
like to see some accommodation worked
out between Yemen and Saudi Arabia.
(Cont'd)
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7. Indonesia
c. Nasir would want .a say in
any decision reached, but we are
sure he would welcome an agreement
which would permit a substantial
Egyptian withdrawal without serious
damage.
d. Faysal's views on ?the pro-
posed talks are not yet clear, al-
though he will probably hold out for
participation by a member of the
Imam's family, which would not be a
promising condition.
e. He has said, however, that
he could put up with any regime in
Sana so long as it was not Egyptian.
a. Foreign Minister Subandrio
is now also First Vice Prime Minister
and number-two man after Sukarno,
who took to himself the post of Prime
Minister.
b. Subandrio, who has been
standard bearer for Sukarno's anti
Malaysia campaign, thus came out
best in the cabinet shuffle that
followed Djuanda's death.
(Cont'd)
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c. This has meant a drop in
relative standing for more moderate
Defense Minister Nasution.
d. The two Communist cabinet
members remain in the cabinet, but
still without portfolio.
S. Cambodia-US a. Sihanouk continues his
ranting.
b. In a three-hour speech at
a "press conference" yesterday he
said withdrawal of US aid would be
an "immense relief" and he hopes
it will happen by the end of the
year "to put an end to humiliations
which are intolerable to us."
c. Peiping, delighted, is
meanwhile publicizing a message
from Sihanouk expressing thanks for
Peiping's "disinterested assistance...
for the consolidation of our economic
independence and particularly
for the creation of our state in-
dustry."
d. Peiping's total economic
assistance to Cambodia in the past
eight years has been less than $50
million (all in grants). Ours totals
over $250 million.
(Cont 'd)
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e. Ambassador Sprouse says
Sihanouk is overworked and exhausted.
A rigorous diet is not helping.
f. On top of this, Sprouse
says, Sihanouk's fears of overthrow
and assassination have been magni-
fied by the events in Saigon and he
is convinced CIA is inciting his
enemies.
g. Ambassador Sprouse believes
Sihanouk's tirade was delivered with-
out any consultation with his advisers
and that moderating influences are
now working on him. He sites pre-
liminary reports of a later speech
in which Sihanouk said he recognized
the usefulness of US economic aid
and that he would leave the decision
of whether or not to continue mili-
tary aid to the Cambodian armed forces.
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NOTES
A. Iraq All army division commanders have declared
their loyalty to the Bakr regime. Baghdad is quiet
and the curfew has been lifted. Although calm is
restored, moderate Baathists, who are probably
stronger in the government than in the party, will
continue to have trouble with the radical faction.
B. Communist Bloc - Egypt - US Ambassador Badeau says
Communist diplomats in Cairo have shown greatest
interest in getting details of the Gruening amendment
and the foreign aid bill. They seem particularly
interested in its effect on the PL-480 program in
Cairo.
C. Britain The British press has not been so kind as
ours in reporting on Lord Home's first day in Parlia-
ment. Even Tory media say he lost points, particu-
larly on domestic issues.
D. Canada-US Canadian manufacturers are clamoring to
get in on the tariff rebate scheme which is intended
to promote exports and reduce US "domination" of
Canadian industries. So far it applies only to
automotive products, but our embassy is not so sure
the government will leave it at that unless we put
our foot down hard.
E. Pakistan-Japan As they said they would, the Japanese
denied Pakistan's request for onward air rights from
China to Tokyo. The Pakistanis think we put the
Japanese up to it.
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DOCUMENTS OF INTEREST
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