THE PRESIDENT'S INTELLIGENCE CHECKLIST 14 NOVEMBER 1963

Document Type: 
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
0005996662
Release Decision: 
RIPPUB
Original Classification: 
T
Document Page Count: 
10
Document Creation Date: 
September 16, 2015
Document Release Date: 
September 16, 2015
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Case Number: 
Publication Date: 
November 14, 1963
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EE /1 I=1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A002000260001-6 THE PRESIDENT'S INTELLIGENCE CHECKLIST ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY 14 NOVEMBER 1963 ThEGRE-T-- Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A002000260001-6 (7=, 17 k=_A [7=1 L A E7=1 r r [ rD Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A002000260001-6 1. Cuba-USSR 2. Cuba a. Three Soviet passenger ships arrived in Cuba during the past month with Soviet military personnel aboard. b. We estimate some 1;500 Soviet military personnel have thus arrived( a. Raul Castro's reference to a conscription law forthcoming on 1 December for all males between 17 and 45 fulfills a promise made by Fidel last July. b. At that time Castro admitted frankly that one of the law's main purposes was to make sure there were no parasites in the Cuban economy. (Cont'd) Declassified in Part - Sanitized?Cop7App-r-oved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A002000260001-6 50X1 50X1 r--t1 r=a F==i r_:=m Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A002000260001-6 3. NATO c. Raul also referred to some 7,000 Cuban soldiers now enrolled in "special weapons" courses. d. In addition to those at the SAM sites, this category prob- ably includes those training in communications, radar, cruise mis- siles,and anti-tank or tactical mis- siles. - I Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Rele7seI 201-5./07/14 : ClAk-RDP79T00936A002000260001-6 50X1 50X1 50X1 --1 r-7-1 r ;-1 r?i r7-77n ri Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A002000260001-6 4. North Vietnam - a. North Vietnamese Prime France Minister Pham Van-dong has told the French delegate in Hanoi that, al- though US-inspired, the coup in Saigon was a step in the right di- rection. b. This comes from a report given Ambassador Bohlenl c. Pham is said to have ex- pressed the view that the US would eventually tire of fighting, and; when this happened; Hanoi would show itself to be as flexible as it is now rigid. d. Pham added that now was not the time for negotiations. e. The belief that the US would ultimately tire Of the war, after which a "political solution" would be possible, is a standard French line, f. It is a view we are sure Pham Van-dong shares. I- _ -r I IN ? I . I -r v.. Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A002000260001-6 50X1 50X1 U=3 Is 1rJ r i1-1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A002000260001-6 5, Communist China a. We estimate grain losses since August from flooding in the North China plain to be in the neighborhood of five million tons. b. Even so, Peiping has made no effort to start contracting for grain imports which will soon be sorely needed. c. The world market is becom- ing tight, and sources to supply even the five pillion tons imported this past year will be difficult to find. d. Peiping is, nevertheless, busy buying machinery in Western Europe, for the first time in recent years, and may not intend to buy much grain abroad despite the suf- fering that might ensue. 6. Yemen - Saudi a. Yemeni leaders say they Arabia -Egypt would welcome a chance to talk with the Saudis, whether in Yemen or at some neutral site. ?They will not go to Jidda. b. The Egyptians (at least those in Yemen) say they, too, would like to see some accommodation worked out between Yemen and Saudi Arabia. (Cont'd) 1- Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy-r:N r. I l Approved Release 201'5/07/14 : CI4-RDP79T00936A002000260001-6 -71 1 1 1=1 t=1 1 I Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A002000260001-6 7. Indonesia c. Nasir would want .a say in any decision reached, but we are sure he would welcome an agreement which would permit a substantial Egyptian withdrawal without serious damage. d. Faysal's views on ?the pro- posed talks are not yet clear, al- though he will probably hold out for participation by a member of the Imam's family, which would not be a promising condition. e. He has said, however, that he could put up with any regime in Sana so long as it was not Egyptian. a. Foreign Minister Subandrio is now also First Vice Prime Minister and number-two man after Sukarno, who took to himself the post of Prime Minister. b. Subandrio, who has been standard bearer for Sukarno's anti Malaysia campaign, thus came out best in the cabinet shuffle that followed Djuanda's death. (Cont'd) r ? ? ? . . Declassified in Part - SanitizedCopyApproved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A002000260001-6 =a 1=1 E3 1=1 iM3 E=3 N.J E=I r-1 Egi) Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A002000260001-6 c. This has meant a drop in relative standing for more moderate Defense Minister Nasution. d. The two Communist cabinet members remain in the cabinet, but still without portfolio. S. Cambodia-US a. Sihanouk continues his ranting. b. In a three-hour speech at a "press conference" yesterday he said withdrawal of US aid would be an "immense relief" and he hopes it will happen by the end of the year "to put an end to humiliations which are intolerable to us." c. Peiping, delighted, is meanwhile publicizing a message from Sihanouk expressing thanks for Peiping's "disinterested assistance... for the consolidation of our economic independence and particularly for the creation of our state in- dustry." d. Peiping's total economic assistance to Cambodia in the past eight years has been less than $50 million (all in grants). Ours totals over $250 million. (Cont 'd) c__ -rL_ t"1_1_. "r___ Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A002000260001-6 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A002000260001-6 e. Ambassador Sprouse says Sihanouk is overworked and exhausted. A rigorous diet is not helping. f. On top of this, Sprouse says, Sihanouk's fears of overthrow and assassination have been magni- fied by the events in Saigon and he is convinced CIA is inciting his enemies. g. Ambassador Sprouse believes Sihanouk's tirade was delivered with- out any consultation with his advisers and that moderating influences are now working on him. He sites pre- liminary reports of a later speech in which Sihanouk said he recognized the usefulness of US economic aid and that he would leave the decision of whether or not to continue mili- tary aid to the Cambodian armed forces. Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A002000260001-6 ???? LI Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A002000260001-6 NOTES A. Iraq All army division commanders have declared their loyalty to the Bakr regime. Baghdad is quiet and the curfew has been lifted. Although calm is restored, moderate Baathists, who are probably stronger in the government than in the party, will continue to have trouble with the radical faction. B. Communist Bloc - Egypt - US Ambassador Badeau says Communist diplomats in Cairo have shown greatest interest in getting details of the Gruening amendment and the foreign aid bill. They seem particularly interested in its effect on the PL-480 program in Cairo. C. Britain The British press has not been so kind as ours in reporting on Lord Home's first day in Parlia- ment. Even Tory media say he lost points, particu- larly on domestic issues. D. Canada-US Canadian manufacturers are clamoring to get in on the tariff rebate scheme which is intended to promote exports and reduce US "domination" of Canadian industries. So far it applies only to automotive products, but our embassy is not so sure the government will leave it at that unless we put our foot down hard. E. Pakistan-Japan As they said they would, the Japanese denied Pakistan's request for onward air rights from China to Tokyo. The Pakistanis think we put the Japanese up to it. Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A002000260001-6 F=1 F-1 r--1 r--4 F-1 r-1 F-11 F===S P=a ea Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A002000260001-6 DOCUMENTS OF INTEREST r__ I -r Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24: CIA-RDP79T00936A002000260001-6 50X1