THE PRESIDENT'S INTELLIGENCE CHECKLIST 4 NOVEMBER 1963
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Collection:
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST):
0005996645
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RIPPUB
Original Classification:
T
Document Page Count:
10
Document Creation Date:
September 16, 2015
Document Release Date:
September 16, 2015
Sequence Number:
Case Number:
Publication Date:
November 4, 1963
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THE PRESIDENT'S
INTELLIGENCE CHECKLIST
ISSUED BY THE
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
4 NOVEMBER 1963
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Berlin
:LATE ITEM
a. As of 0900 this morning
the first US "non-dismountable"
test convoy with 12 vehicles and 44
men is being held up by the Soviets
at the Marienborn checkpoint.
b. The Soviets are apparently
not willing to buy gracefully the
new harmonized procedures which we
communicated to them last week. At
one point they told the convoy com-
mander that they and not the Americans
or their allies dictate regulations
on the Autobahn.
c. At last report, the Soviets
at Marienborn had retreated from their
demand that the troops dismount to
an argument over dropping tailgates.
On this basis, we suspect the episode
may be cooling off.
d. A second convoy scheduled
for today is being help up.
r`tod., Cese.resi
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1. South Vietnam
a, The generals have restored
order to Saigon, released non-Commu-
nist political prisoners, reopened
the schools and promised that there
would be no reprisals against the
troops which defended Diem.
be They are wrestling with the
formation of a largely civilian cabi-
net with former Vice President Tho
as prime minister and some of Diem's
former ministers for continuity.
This cabinet will 6f course be under
the general 0 committee headed by
coup leader "Big" Minh.
c. We see a few disquieting
signs. Two civilian leaders, both
known by the generals to have been
privately critical of the Diem/Nhu
regime, have been arrested.
do All may not be well among
the generals, most of whom are ex-
ceedingly distrustful of General
Ton That Dinh, Saigon military governor
and aspirant to the interior post.
They consider him opportunistic and
perhaps insane,
e, At last report Dinh was giv-
ing interviews claiming sole credit for
the coup, and may be thinking of trying
?to seize power.
f. We have seen no signs of a
significant military reaction from
the Viet 'Cong.
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2, Morocco-
Algeria
3. Greece
a. The Bamako cease-fire is
not yet effective, and intermittent
fighting continued last night.
? d. All of this leads us to sus-
pect that Ben Bella is having trouble
in damping down the war scare which
he was fanning so vigorously a short
time ago. During the weekend cele-
brations of the Algerian revolution,
he stayed away from the more violent
themes, ignoring Cuba entirely.
a. Papandreou's thin victory
yesterday and the defeated Karaman-
lis' announcement he is retiring will
hardly contribute to political sta-
bility in Greece.
(Cont'd)
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b. Our latest figures give
Papandreou's party 42.2 percent,
Karamanlis' 39.4, and the Communists
14. Papandreou will try to work
out a coalition with Karamanlis'
successors, but we would not rate its
chances for long-term success as very
good.
? c. The palace, having worked
in the past few days for Karamanlis
defeat, now seems to be maneuvering
to produce a stalemate between the
two major parties. The way would
then be open for a "compromise" pre-
mier more susceptible to palace in-
fluence.
?d. We are inclined to think
that failure by Papandreou will
bring on new elections,
? e. Meantime, a government
headed by Papandreou will probably
try to steer a course somewhat more
independent of the West than did
Karamanlis. In Cyprus, Makarios,
expecting stronger support from such
a government, may be encouraged to
a more intransigent stand on Greek-
Turkish communal problems.
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4, France
5. Italy
a. The Leone government is ex-
pected to resign tomorrow. Moro
will then be tapped for another try
at negotiating the opening to the
left.
b. The bargaining promises
to be hard and success is far from
(Cont d)
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assured.
c. Though Nenni emerged from
the recent Socialist congress with
much of what he wanted, Lombardi
retains enough strength to scuttle
negotiations again.
TL-
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A.
NOTES
Cuba We could not have been further off base in
speculating last summer that a puzzling installation
in the Sierra Maestras 100 miles west of Guantanamo
A local
identifies it as a rest cen-
paper, Sierra Maestra
tpf and?TJWITuTionnry
B. USSR-Cuba Evidence continues to come in on the
departure of additional Soviet troops from Cuba.
C. Cuban Shipping British shipowner Basil Mavrolean
proposes to remove his vessels from the Cuban trade
if the US will then remove them from its, blacklist.
Mavrolean's vessels account for almost half the
present British tonnage calling at Cuban ports and
are the largest single element of free world ship-
ping to Cuba.
(Cont'd)
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D. Communist China Party officials, worried about the
dry rot infecting lower echelons of the party, have
been systematically checking into the matter,
E.
/ Apathy, rather than ideological deviiations
seemed to be the main problem.
F. Mexico Interior Minister Diaz Ordaz has apparently
been tapped as the next president.
Diaz Ordaz is
strongly anti-Communist and was instrumental in the
Mexican effort to cut down on travel to and from
Cuba.
G. Sino-Soviet Dispute On Friday, the Soviet Ambas-
sador to India, a member of the party Central Com-
mitteettold officers of our embassy that neither a
World Communist meeting,nor a resumption of bilateral
Sino-Soviet talks, are likely to happen soon.
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