THE PRESIDENT'S INTELLIGENCE CHECKLIST 31 OCTOBER 1962
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0005996012
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Publication Date:
October 31, 1962
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THE PRESIDENT'S
INTELLIGENCE CHECKLIST
ISSUED BY THE
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
31 OCTOBER 1962
Toresteuz_
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1. Cuba-UN
a. U Thant's conversation with
Castro yesterday went badly. Thant'a
military adviaen- telephoned UN head-
quarters from Havana last night that
the Cubans refuse any form of insPec-
tion or any foreign presence in their
territory.
b. U Thant hopes to shake them
out of this position in a further meet-
ing this morning. If not, he may Call
a Security Council meeting for Thurs-
day to seek more guidance.
c. Cuban propaganda themes yes-
terday strongly suggest that Castro is
insisting that his "five points" be in-
jected into UN discussions.
d. Castro has scheduled a major
speech for tomorrow.
e. ilikoyan arrives in Havana
tomorrow at the head of a Soviet del-
egation/
f. Gromyko told Ambassador Koh-
ler yesterday the USSR desires to
reach agreement as quickly as possible
on the basis of the President's ex-
change of letters with Khrushchev.
(Cont 'd)
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g. In a similar vein, Kuznetsov,
all smiles in New York, told Ambassa-
dor Stevenson he was very pleased at
our acceptance of the International Red
Cross to carry out inspection.
h. It i clear, however, that 50X1
what Moscow has in mind is some sort
of inspectdon-of?theLshiigt? H
tion at the sites until after they are
vacated. (The Soviets say this will 50X1
take one to two weeks.)
1. Soviet stickiness on this
derives from Moscow's long-standing
insistance in general disarmament dis-
cussions that there can be no inspec-
tion over armaments, only over disarma-
ment and then only after disarmament is
completed.
j. Soviet officials at the UN,
meanwhile, are busily fostering among
the neutral delegations the idea that
the Cuban crisis shows the dangers to
world peace that arise from all foreign
bases.
k. The thought is falling on
fertile soil, and pressure will build
up for liquidation of all foreign
bases. In line with this the Soviets
are saying Castro is prefectly right
in his demand that we evacuate Guan-
tanamo.
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2. Cuba--
Missile Sites
3. Cuba--
Blob Shipping
a. Though disappointing in quality,
Monday's photography shows that as of
mid-afternoon that day no definite steps
towards dismantling or vacating the sites
had been taken.
b. Cabling, for example, which we
would expect to see removed first, -
remains in place at each of the sites.
In several instances, however, the
missile erectors have been moved away
from the launch area.
c. At both the Sagua La Grande
and San Cristobal MRBM sites there is
evidence that some construction work
took place during the interval between
Saturday's coverage and that of Monday
afternoon.
d. Camouflage and concealment
work continues as well.
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4. NATO
a. We were given a strong
vote of confidence in Monday's
NATO Council meeting for the
President's handling of the
Cuban crisis.
b. A congratulatory state-
ment by Belgium's Be Staercke
received unanimous support.
c. The role call showed
full support for our insistance
on removal of the missiles before
negotiations, our rejection of a
bargain over bases in Turkey,
and our expression of willingness
to pursue negotiations on a
broad range of problems when
the dust over Cuba settles.
d. Spaak noted that the
way Latin American countries
stood up to be Counted with
us made a strong impression
in Europe and, undoubtedly, On
the Sovietstas.mell.
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5. India - ,?a. The fighting has let up as
Communist the Chinese consolidate their supply
China lines,possibly in preparation for
pushing on to the new reinforced
Indian defensive positions.
6. Congo
b. Press reports that Indian
forces went on the offensive were
meant for consumption by the Indian
public which is now becoming aware
of the magnitude of Indian losses.
c. Public anger focuses on the
Defense Minister, and Ambassador ,
Galbraith gives him no more than
another week in the job.
a. Dr. Bunche has returned to
New York from his Congo survey report-
ing no progress. and the UN evidently
now intends to resort to military
force.
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7. Laos
? c. To this end, UN officials are
now seeking additional equipment, in-
cluding jet aircraft, transports and
napalm and are counting on the arrival
of three Indonesian paratroop
battalions at the end of next month.
a.? ?Ambassador Unger doubts that
pressure from Souvannal the ICC, or..
Moscow (if indeed it can be obtained)
will.be effective in. removing the
North Vietnamese from Laos.
b. He reasons that the corridor
into South Vietnam is too important
to the Vietnamese and that if they
had intended to leave, they would
have had every reason to do so before
the deadline.
c. ,He feels, therefore, that
de facto partition is inevitable and
argues that Phoumi's, forces must not
be undermined to the degree that
they could not provide a mainstay
for Souvanna in these circumstances.
d. We are told that only some
2000 of the 7000 neutralist regulars
could be counted on to support
Souvanna. Most of the rest have
been won over by the Pathet Lao.
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8. Yemen
9. Cambodia
a. Revolutionary troops are peck-
ing away at remaining hard core royalist
tribes.but'are meeting stubborn resistance.
c. Meanwhile, aid for Sana con-
tinues to arrive, notably another UAR
ship with some 1200 more men (total
now 4000) and eight Soviet transports
with military supplies which flew
from Moscow to Cairo last weekend.
a. Sihanouk will be distributing
in a few days his draft of an inter-
national agreement to ensure Cambodia's
neutrality.
b. Presumably it will be un-
changed from the draft approved by
the National Assembly last week.
c. This calls for withdrawal
of all foreign military assistance
groups, although the French training
mission may be retained for awhile.
(Cont d)
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d. His military leaders have
expressed to us their concern over
the threatened loss of western
military assistance, but this is
evidently not shared by Sihanouk.
e. He told Ambassador Sprouse
that his policy of partial neutrality
had not given Cambodia the security it
needs, and he is determined now to
seek it through "internationalization"
On the Laos pattern.
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NOTES
B. USSR As part of the cooling off process, Moscow on
Monday lifted the travel ban which it imposed on foreign
diplomats at the onset of the Cuban crisis.
D. China-UN The General Assembly yesterday rejected the
Soviet motion to seat Communist China 56-42 (two more
votes against than last year). There were twelve
abstentions. The Brazzaville group of African countries,
most of whom abstained last year, sided with the Chinats
this time. India still felt it had to vote for Peiping.
E. Colombia A cabinet crisis is shaping up in President
Valencia's two month old administration. There is un-
happiness over his failure to take forceful actions to
suppress rural banditry, but personal animosities and
jealousies within his cabinet are also playing a part.
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