THE PRESIDENT'S INTELLIGENCE CHECKLIST 20 SEPTEMBER 1962

• Document Type: FOIA
• Collection: President's Daily Brief 1961-1969
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 0005995939
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 8
• Document Creation Date: September 16, 2015
• Document Release Date: September 16, 2015
• Publication Date: September 20, 1962

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THE PRESIDENT'S
INTELLIGENCE CHECKLIST
ISSUED BYTHE
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
20 SEPTEMBER 1962
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1. USSR- a. Khrushchev has again used talks
Berlin with West European visitors to convey
the impression that he has decided on a
series of actions leading to a separate
treaty with East Germany--these to begin
shortly after our elections in November.
b. In separate talks with Austrian
Vice Chancellor Pittermann and former
Belgian Economics Minister Scheyveny
he implied that the next two months
might be the last chance to negotiate
a Berlin settlement.
C, He said Gromyko, now in New
York, has instructions to resume Berlin
talks with Secretary Rusk,
d. There was nothing in Khru-
shchev's remarks to indicate any give
in the Soviet position on Berlin.
e. One gathers from these talks,
from Khrushchev's talk with Kroll
that Khrushchev expects
little from the Rusk-Gromyko talks
and that he will thereupon come to
New York himself, first to see Presi-
dent Kennedy and ultimately, if
nothing can be worked out, to present
the Soviet case to the UN. His
intention there would be to place
responsibility on us for undesirable
consequences before proceding with
the separate peace treaty.
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24 Cuba
a. Khrushchev4 in his talk with
Pittermannotook a tough line on Cuba;
he contended that a US blockade of the
island would be an act of war and that
the USSR would use submarines and
rockets to enforce its right of passage.
b, A Soviet international law
expert spelled out the legal support
for this position in yesterday's
Pravda.
d. The West German Foreign
Office has told us that Bonn is taking
steps to bar Cuba as a destination for
West German vessels under charter to
the Bloc. The Germans hope other NATO
countries will take similar action and
thus forestall complaints from West
German shippers-4 Three West German
vessels are now under charter to the
Bloc for trade with Cuba.
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Argentina
4. Laos
a. General Ongania, leader of
rebellious "legalist" faction, returned
last night to his supporters in the
powerful Campo de Mayo garrison, having
rejected President Guido's ultimatum to
surrender.(
b. So far, both sides have shown
customary reluctance to fight, but
this crisis seems to be building up
more steam than similar ones in the
past. The odds would appear to be
against the Campo de Mayo forces,
particularly if this morning's press
reports prove true?that garrisons in
the hinterland who hold the balance
of power side with government forces.
c. So far there has been no
significant reaction from the civilian
population.
a. Souvanna, still confident
that North Vietnamese troops will
withdraw, has told Ambassador Unger
that he will call for an immediate
investigation by the International
Control Commission should any North
Vietnamese troops remain in Laos
after the 7 October deadline. We
do not think he will press very hard
to overcome Pathet Lao objections to
such an investigation.
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5, Brazil
b.
Souvanna is worried and has asked
his military headquarters in Khang
Khay to keep close tabs on the Viet-
namese as the deadline nears.
c. France, it appears, is
determined not to change the method
of its aid to Laos, which it will
limit to cultural and technical
assistance. Paris will not join
us in providing direct budgetary aid.
b. Former President Kubitschek
(a Goulart booster) took occasion
to urge on Ambassador
Gordon his view that it was of
"utmost importance" that the visit
be kept on schedule. It is needed,
he said, to win Goulart back to the
center and to provide occasion for
the mass of Brazilian opinion to
express itself in favor of the US.
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6. Yemen
a. We foresee a struggle for
power in Yemen following the death
yesterday (from natural causes) of
71-year-old Imam Ahmad and the acces-
sion of Crown Prince Badr.
b. Powerful tribal chiefs in
the north have long resented the
Imam's arbitrary designation of
Badr as crown prince; they favor
Imam Ahmad's brother, Prince Hasan,
who is in New York heading the
Yemeni delegation.
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USIB WATCH COMMITTEE MEETING--J9 SEPTEMBER 1962
The United States Intelligence Board yesterday ap-
proved the report of its Watch Committee which addressed
itself to Bloc military activities and recent develop-
ments in Berlin, Cuba, Southeast Asia, and the Sino-
Indian border dispute.
The Committee did not see anything in these situa-
tions which would justify a change in the conclusion
that the Communists do not intend in the immediate
future to initiate direct military action. The Committee
noted, however; that current and pending military exer-
cises by Soviet and satellite forces in Eastern Europe
will probably bring those forces up to peak combat
readiness by 1 November.
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NOTES
A. Algeria Algerians are going to the polls this
morning with bloodshed and chaos in the background
as Ben Bella's forces try to bring Wilaya IV
(Algiers Region) troops to heel for "sabotaging"
the elections.
B.
West Germany - Latin America
Bonn's Economics Minister Erhard
made a poor impression at Sunday's meeting with
Latin American representatives in Washington both
because he sidestepped specific commitments and
because he held forth at length on economic problems
in the area which the Latin America7s are already
all too familiar with.
C. Venezuela Communist-inspired terrorism is on the
rise again in Venezuela accompanied by resumed
rumblings of coup plotting
President Betancourt is taking it all in stride and
officialdom in Caracas seems unperturbed.
C".?TL oJC.... -4
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