THE PRESIDENT'S DAILY BRIEF 1 NOVEMBER 1973

• Document Type: FOIA
• Collection: President's Daily Brief 1969-1977
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 0005993972
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 11
• Document Creation Date: August 14, 2016
• Document Release Date: August 24, 2016
• Publication Date: November 1, 1973

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The President's Daily Brief
1 November 1973
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Exempt from general
declassification schedule of E.O. 11652
exemption category 513(1),(2).13)
declassified only on approval of
the Director of Central Intelligence
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FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
THE PRESIDENT'S DAILY BRIEF
1 November 1973
PRINCIPAL DEVELOPMENTS
The situation in the Middle East is reported on
Page 1,
A Kara-class guided-missile cruiser under con-
struction at the Soviet port of Nikolayev may be
designed to accommodate an anti-ship ballistic
missile system. (Page 3)
Elements of the extreme left in Chile are beginning
to organize themselves, but the government could
eventually be threatened more by widespread strikes
than by leftist terrorists. (Page 4)
Notes on Japanese efforts to deal with its oil prob-
lems, the Syrian petroleum refinery at Homs, Brazil-
ian aid to Chile, and Peron's problems in Argentina
appear on Page 5.
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ARAB STATES - ISRAEL
Both fronts remained quiet yesterday, although
there were several minor incidents on the Egyptian
front.
In the Golan area, Israeli and Syrian forces
continued to honor the cease-fire yesterday. Is-
raeli air activity was light and consisted of fighter
patrols including some penetrations of Syrian, Jor-
danian, and Lebanese airspace.
Syria's deputy foreign minister announced yes-
terday that Damascus is prepared--on conditions--to
submit a list of Israeli prisoners in Syria to the
International Red Cross and allow Red Cross officials
to visit them. The conditions are that Israel state
officially that it will comply fully with the Geneva
Conventions, return the bodies of Syrians killed dur-
ing the war, and allow displaced Syrian villagers to
return to their homes.
According to an Israeli announcement, the trans-
fer of supplies to the Egyptian Third Army was re-
sumed on the afternoon of October 31 following an
unexplained delay. The Israelis said that in the
past three days some 50 truckloads of supplies have
been sent to the Egyptian Army units on the east
bank.
President Sadat asserted in a press conference
yesterday that he has been under pressure from his
military chiefs to renew hostilities if Israel re-
fuses to withdraw to the October 22 cease-fire lines.
He said he would restrain the army until he sees the
results of current contacts in Washington by his
newly appointed foreign minister, Ismail Fahmi, and
the impending visit to Cairo of Secretary Kissinger.
Ambassador Akins that Sadat will visit Saudi Arabia
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within 72 hours to coordinate plans for Secretanz_
KIT7Inger1s visit.
If the diplomatic talks are successful, and the
Israelis pull back, Sadat said he is prepared immedi-
ately to begin arrangements for a peace conference.
(continued)
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Sadat may run into some difficulty, from Syria in
this regard. Damascus radio broadcast a statement
yesterday by the Syrian information minister reject-
ing direct negotiations with Israel and affirming
Damascus' refusal to bargain over Syrian territory.
Sadat also acknowledged that he has been criti-
cized for his decision to accept the original cease-
fire. He defended the decision by claiming that the
US airlift had virtually forced him to stop fighting.
Sadat said that Egyptian forces had initially held
their own and that Israel was down to a three-day
supply of arms before new US weapons began arriving.
Sadat was not entirely negative with respect to the
US, however, and credited Washington with a "construd-
tive attitude" thus far in its efforts to bring about
a peaceful solution.
The Soviet Mediterranean squadron now has an
estimated total of 94 units. This figure includes
41 surface warships, 23 submarines, and 30 support
ships. The Soviet warships that had earlier gathered
north of Port Said have dispersed. Most of the com-
batants are apparently heading for the Gulf of Sollum,
west of Alexandria.
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NO SCOW
?Nikolayev
-???
Modified Kara Class
Under Construction
ScAR'14 10-71 CIA
c.
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USSR
missile cruiser under
six openings near the
listic missile launch
there earlier did not
Kara-class guided-
construction at Nikolayev shows
stern, which may be for bal-
tubes. The three Karas built
have such openings.
The Kara already has a surface-to-air missile
capability and what appears to be an anti-ship cruise
missile system. No specific missile can be associ-
ated with the new openings at this stage of construc-
tion; the Soviets may plan to install the SS-NX-13,
an anti-ship ballistic missile they have been testing
for four years.
The SS-NX-13 is apparently designed to use
against a moving surface target, such as an aircraft
carrier or other large surface combatant. If this
missile is being installed, it will probably not be
operational for at least, another 18 months.
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CHILE
Elements of the extreme left are apparently mak-
ing some progress toward organizing themselves, but
they are still far from ready to begin a coordinated
guerrilla-terrorist campaign. Some members of the
former Popular Unity Coalition, in fact, doubt that
violence would be an effective tactic against the
government at this point. Some of them apparently
think it would be more productive to foment strikes
among workers disgruntled by the growing gap between
wages and prices.
Government leaders appear more concerned about
the threat of organized violence than about the se-
curity implications of the economic hardships facing
the workers. The government's wage bonus system does
not go far toward relieving the squeeze on labor.
Widespread strikes stimulated by worker resentment
could ultimately pose a greater threat to the gov-
ernment than bands of rural guerrillas or urban ter-
rorists.
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NOTES
Japan-Oil: The government may face a major pol-
icy decision by late November, when Arab nations
threaten to impose new oil supply cuts. Japan has
renewed previously rejected offers of aid to Arab
countries, but working-level officials do not believe
this will be enough to ward off the oil cuts. The
government is now considering the dispatch of Inter-
national Trade Minister Nakasone or Prime Minister
Tanaka to Arab capitals if the Middle East situation
has not improved by December. Foreign Ministry offi-
cials envisage such a trip being taken in conjunction
with policy changes that might even include a break
in diplomatic relations with Israel.
Syria: Work has begun on repairing the power
plant at the $120-million Homs refinery that was
damaged by Israeli air strikes. Contrary to several
earlier reports, the refinery was not destroyed, al-
though production halted because of damage to nearby
power and export facilities. The 3-million-ton ca-
pacity refinery accounts for all of Syria's output
of petroleum products.
Brazil-Chile: Brazilian leaders are showing
considerable caution about providing economic aid to
the new Chilean Government. A senior Brazilian For-
eign Ministry official told Ambassador Crimmins ear-
lier this week that his country has provided Chile
with at least $70 million in credits on favorable
terms, but that this already constitutes "perhaps
too deep" a Brazilian involvement in Chile. A source
of the US Embassy in Brasilia says Brazil has re-
cently refused a Chilean request for Brazilian assist-
ance in guaranteeing new foreign lines of credit.
Argentina: The vigor with which President
Peron's supporters are carrying out orders to "purge
Marxists" and reorganize his party has intensified
the feud between left and right factions. Dissatis-
faction with Peron is running high among leftist stu-
dent and union groups. The campaign to ensure loyalty
to the President may run into formidable opposition
in Cordoba, where dissident elements have frequently
defied Buenos Aires and where the governor is now
being attacked for alleged insults to Peron.
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,
Top Secret
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