THE PRESIDENT'S DAILY BRIEF 5 OCTOBER 1973

• Document Type: FOIA
• Collection: President's Daily Brief 1969-1977
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 0005993949
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 11
• Document Creation Date: August 14, 2016
• Document Release Date: August 24, 2016
• Publication Date: October 5, 1973

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Declassified in Part -Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A011800010005-1
The President's Daily Brief
5 October 1973
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Exempt from general
declassification schedule of E.O. 11652
exemption category 5B(1).(2).13)
declassified only on approval of
the Director of Central Intelligence
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THE PRESIDENT'S DAILY BRIEF
5 October 1973
PRINCIPAL DEVELOPMENTS
President Qadhafi reportedly resigned soon after his
failure to gain concessions on the merger from Pres-
ident Sadat, and this time he has gone further than
usual in divesting himself of the trappings of office.
(Page 1)
Tel Aviv will continue to press Vienna to reverse its
decision to close the Schoenau transit center, but
will almost certainly fail. The fedayeen, meanwhile,
are hinting at operations against Soviet embassies
if Jewish emigration is not halted altogether.
(Page 2)
Military exercises now going on in Egypt are larger
and more realistic than previous ones, but the Is-
raelis are not nervous. (Page 3)
has failed to
turn up any evidence that the Soviets sent Scud mis-
sile equipment to Egypt or Syria. (Page 4)
The Cambodian High Political Council has not figured
out how to renew its mandate when it expires later
this month, and Prime Minister In Tam seems deter- '
mined to resign. Lon Nol may be considering a re-
structuring of the government that would concentrate
as much power as possible in his own hands. (Page 5)
Tanzania
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China. (Page 6) 25X1
Japan intends to establish two more textile plants
in the US for a total of at least eight--part of a
rapid expansion of its textile industry abroad.
(Page 7)
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LIBYA
President Qadhafi resigned
soon after his failure in late August to gain conces-
sions on the merger from President Sadat.
members of the Council were said to have protested
Qadhafi's decision but were only able to persuade
him to remain in office long enough--perhaps several
months--to prepare for a smooth transfer of power.
The temperamental Libyan leader has "re-
signed" and come back a number of times
before, but has been unusually subdued
since his political defeat at the hands of
the Egyptians. Since then, he has avoided
public appearances and has taken measures
to divest himself of some of the trappings
of his office. Although he is still acting
like a chief of state, several other Coun-
cil members?particularly Prime Minister
Jallud--are unusually busy with policies
and programs that previously were Qadhafi's
exclusive province.
Many factors could improve Qadhafi's spirits
in the months ahead--not the least of which
is his seemingly unshakeable belief in his
own resourcefulness and in the inevitability
of Arab unity. Nevertheless, the deepening
estrangement between Sadat and Qadhafi seems
to be wearing more heavily than usual on
the Libyan leader.
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ISRAEL-AUSTRIA
Tel Aviv intends to keep up pressure on Vienna
to reverse its decision to close the Schoenau transit
center.
Between the end of 1968, when Moscow per-
mitted the resumption of Jewish emigration,
and the end of 1972, some 50,000 Soviet
Jews entered Israel; in 1.972 they formed
close to 60 percent of all immigrants.
?The 1973 rate so far has been about 10 per-
cent higher than last year's.
The pressure from Tel Aviv will almost cer-
tainly fail to move the Kreisky government,
which had been thinking about closing down
the transit center for some time before
the terrorist incident. Recent visits to
the camp by Prime Minister Meir and For-
eign Minister Eban had generated unwanted
publicity, and a bomb threat by Arab ter-
rorists convinced some officials that
Schoenau had become an unacceptable risk.
In any event, all transit rights for So-
viet Jews have not been eliminated, and
the privately owned center--which is run
by the Jewish Agency--has not yet closed.
Elated by the success of the Austrian op-
eration, the fedayeen may now envisage
the possibility of halting Soviet emigra-
tion to Israel entirely. Statements in
the Arab press, ostensibly from the ter-
rorists involved, have hinted at retalia-
tion if Vienna reverses its stand and have
suggested that operations will be directed
against Soviet embassies and interests if
emigration is not stopped. Radical feda-
yeen elements would not be deterred by
the threat of severe Israeli retaliation
or curtailment of indirect Soviet support
to the moderate fedayeen groups.
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EGYPT
The military exercises under way in Egypt seem
to be on a larger scale and are being conducted more
realistically than previous ones, but they do not
appear to be preparations for an offensive aaainst
Israel.
Previous Egyptian maneuvers have been more
paper-and-communications exercises than the
current one, which evidently involves the
mobilization of large numbers of personnel.
Cairo may have put its air defense and air
forces on alert as a precaution against an
Israeli reaction to the initial phases of
the exercise. The call-up of air force
reservists is on a larger scale than that
which occurred during a previous major
exercise in March, but this may be neces-
sary because of the 'length of the alert.
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USSR-EGYPT-SYRIA
no evidence that the Soviets have sent Scud ballistic
missile equipment to the Middle East. No Scud equip-
ment was seen in the Egyptian ports of Alexandria
and Matruh, at the Tura Caves area south of Cairo,
or at the Syrian ports of Latakia and Tartus.
the Soviet port of Nikolayev
shows the same number of Scud launchers in the
same place on the dock as had been seen there on
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CAMBODIA
During the past few weeks, the members of the
High Political Council have been reviewing the pros
and cons of renewing the council's mandate when it
expires later this month. Even though Lon Nol re-
cently assented to the other three members' recom-
mendation that the ruling body and its special powers
be extended for another six months, thus far the
council has not been able to agree on modalities for
the move.
Technically, the National Assembly--which placed
itself in limbo when it agreed last April to give the
council full control of governmental affairs--should
be reconvened to approve the council's extension.
Council member Sink Matak, however, strongly opposes
recalling the legislature because he fears it will
not fully cooperate with the government. The assem-
bly may yet return, but only in a consultative capac-
ity.
Another issue complicating the deliberations is
Prime Minister In Tam's apparent determination to
step down, not only from that office but also as a
member of the council. In Tam said on Tuesday that
he would submit his resignation at the next council
meeting.
Since taking office last May, the Prime
Minister has frequently threatened to quit,
complaining that he has been given no real
authority by Eon Nol. In Tam's colleagues
on the council would not be unduly dis-
turbed to see him go. However, they have
not agreed on a successor, and Lon 117,ol is
now said to be considering a government
structure that would, in effect, create
three super-ministries and eliminate the
post of prime minister. This scheme clearly
reflects a rekindling of Lon Nol's determi-
nation to concentrate maximum power in his
own hands.
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TANZANIA-CHINA
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NOTE
Japan-US: Japan plans to establish two more
large textile plants in the US, bringing to at least
eight the number of such plants here. Japan's textile
industry is expanding rapidly overseas; the Japanese
are seeking to shore up their position in foreign
markets where they have been adversely affected by
currency changes, and, in the case of the US market,
to circumvent Japanese export controls. These con-
trols were adopted earlier at US behest to protect
American producers. The Japanese also plan to set
up textile operations in Brazil, Indonesia, and
Mexico, and have purchased a controlling interest in
a large Canadian operation. The Mexican and Canadian
ventures will produce goods for sale in the US.
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Top Secret
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