THE PRESIDENT'S DAILY BRIEF 17 SEPTEMBER 1973

• Document Type: FOIA
• Collection: President's Daily Brief 1969-1977
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 0005993933
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 11
• Document Creation Date: August 14, 2016
• Document Release Date: August 24, 2016
• Publication Date: September 17, 1973

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The President's Daily Brief
17 September 1973
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Exempt from general
declassification schedule of E.O. 11652
exemption category 5B(11,12).(3)
declassified only on approval of
the Director of Central Intelligence
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THE PRESIDENT'S DAILY BRIEF
17 September 1973
PRINCIPAL DEVELOPMENTS
There are signs that phase II of CSCE will be a
lot more contentious than the Soviets would like.
They will come under fire for repressing dissidents
and resisting freer exchange. This phase is likely
to drag on into next year despite Moscow's wish to
wrap it up more quickly. (Page 1)
The discovery of guerrilla camps and arms caches
in Chile has given the junta useful evidence that,
before the coup, leftists had been planning early
attacks on the military. The junta's brisk moves
in administrative and economic matters should help
it bring about a semblance of normalcy soon and win
wider support. (Page 3)
In Cambodia the focus of military action has shifted
away from Kompong Cham; there is evidence that the
insurgents intend to attack two other piovincial
capitals. (Page 5)
Notes on yesterday's elections in Sweden
appear on Page 6.
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CSCE
Stage II of the Conference on Security and
Cooperation in Europe, which opens tomorrow in Geneva,
is likely to be more contentious than the Soviets
would like. Some Western countries seem prepared to
criticize the heavy-handed drive against Soviet dis-
sidents and Moscow's resistance to freer exchange.
The Dutch Foreign Minister, for example, has stated
publicly that his government is "extremely alarmed"
by the USSR's repressive actions, and intends to
raise the matter in Geneva.
Moscow's recent tactics suggest consider-
able worry that it is in for a beating on
this issue. The rather strong reaction in
the West to the anti-dissident measures
has already persuaded the Soviets to ease
up a bit, and they have tried to limit the
damage by taking the conciliatory step of
ending the jamming of most Western broad-
casts.
There is considerable feeling in Western
Europe that if detente is to have any con-
crete expression, it must be in the area
of greater East-West contacts. Moscow has
already been surprised by Western firmness
and unity on this issue. Significant So-
viet concessions in this sensitive area
will come only slowly and painfully, if
at all. It is a good bet, however, that
the USSR will have to show some flexibility
if it wants CSCE to conclude successfully.
Moscow's chief aim is to secure formal
multilateral endorsement of post-World
War II frontiers and ratification of the
division of Germany. West European coun-
tries are prepared to accept the princi-
ple of "inviolability of frontiers" in
some form, but some will try to hammer out
wording that will allow for peaceful bor-
der changes in the future.
(continued)
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At this session East and West will have to
tackle the substance of troublesome issues
they have not really addressed so far. The
West Europeans are prepared to argue long
and forcefully for their points of view,
and phase II is likely to drag on into next
year despite Moscow's wish to wrap it up
more quickly.
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CHILE
The discovery of
guerri a camps an arms cac es in Santiago and
some southern provinces provides the military with
useful evidence that Chilean, Cuban, and other Latin
American revolutionaries were preparing to "eliminate
the armed forces," probably in retaliation for mili-
tary raids on leftist strongholds prior to the coup.
Despite junta president General Pinochet's
claim that fewer than 100 Chileans have died in the
violence, other junta
officials, estimate that at least 4,000 people had
been killed by September 13. The armed forces have
been surprised at the heavy resistance encountered
in the crowded Santiago slums. They have postponed
air and artillery attacks in order to avoid killing
innocent civilians living there. The junta is back-
ing up its increasingly hard anti-Marxist line, how-
ever, with extensive arrests, summary execution of
armed resisters, and plans for execution, imprison-
ment, or exile of key Allende supporters.
The military government is annoyed at the stance
of the Christian Democratic Party, despite the party's
mild statement of support for the junta. The party
has taken sharp exception to the dissolution of
Congress, where it had the largest representation.
The junta's brisk moves in administrative and
economic matters should soon help to bring about
the semblance of normalcy that the armed forces
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want. The military is reversing many of the most
deeply resented agricultural and distribution poli-
cies of the Allende administration.
If the junta can' ease urgent shortages
and cope with other immediate economic
problems, it will be tolerated if not
acclaimed by the large Chilean middle
class that had been taking the brunt of
the squeeze. This could include the labor
elites, such as the copper workers. On
the other hand, the lowest paid workers,
who under Allende fared better than ever
in their history, will be more receptive
to leftist urgings to oppose the new gov-
ernment.
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mpong Thom
tog Chine/
Kratie
Miles
anning
ack
CAMBODIA
Enemy rocket
attacks
PHNOM PEN
Prey Veng
Neak Luon
Svay
Rieng
ne? Clang
?=.
VINH RA CH CIA
554608 9-73 CIA
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CAMBODIA
\
Over the weekend the focus of Communist mili-
tary activity shifted away from Kompong Cham when
neither side made any headway.
Southeast of Phnom Penh the Communists have
once again cut Route 1 and have rebuffed government
efforts to reopen the road.
The Communist command also appears bent on ex-
panding its campaign against other key provincial
capitals. An intercept tells of plans to shell
Kompong Speu and Kompong Chhnang so as to force the
civilian population to flee to insurgent-controlled
areas. Kompong Speu has already come under sporadic
rocket and mortar fire, and insurgent leaders are
discussing the possibility of moving a light artil-
lery piece into the Kompong Chhnang area to support
a planned attack on the city.
The Communists probably have no illusions
of occupying either city at this time.
The timing of the attacks does suggest,
however, that they want not only to dis-
tract government forces from reopening
Routes 4 and 5 but, more importantly, to
divert crucial government reserves from
the defense of Kompong Cham.
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NOTES
Sweden: Olof Palme apparently will remain Prime
Minister for another three years, even though voters
moved to the right in yesterday's elections. Accord-
ing to the latest returns, Palme's Social Democrats
lost six seats in parliament, reducing their total to
157. The Communists, however, won an additional two
seats for a total of 19, enabling the Communist -
Social Democratic voting bloc to retain a slim 176 to
174 majority. Palme will have to try to reverse the
trend away from his party.' Sweden's behavior on in-
ternational issues in ?the months ahead is likely to
depend largely on which former supporters he attempts
to recapture--those that have moved toward the center,
or others that have strayed further to the left.
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