THE PRESIDENT'S DAILY BRIEF 13 JULY 1973

• Document Type: FOIA
• Collection: President's Daily Brief 1969-1977
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 0005993874
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 13
• Document Creation Date: August 14, 2016
• Document Release Date: August 24, 2016
• Publication Date: July 13, 1973

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The President's Daily Brief
13 July 1973
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Exempt from general
declassification schedule of ED. 11652
exemption category 5B(1/.121,(3)
declassified only on approval of
the Director of Central Intelligence
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THE PRESIDENT'S DAILY BRIEF
13 July 1973
PRINCIPAL DEVELOPMENTS
In Argentina, President Campora and Vice President
Solano Lima reportedly will resign today to make
way for Juan Peron's formal assumption of power.
(Page 1)
Cambodia's Prime Minister In Tam, exasperated by
Lon Nolls failure to consult him or the cabinet on
the recent peace initiative, is talking again about
resigning. (Page 2)
North Vietnam
Cambodia
(Page 3)
(Page 4)
South Vietnam is changing to a flexible policy to-
ward states that recognize the Viet Cong's Provi-
sional Revolutionary Government. (Page 5)
The NATO allies continue to express their concern
that the US-Soviet agreement on preventing nuclear
war may have detrimental implications for the Al-
liance. (Page 6)
As the Soviets approach talks on force reductions
this fall, they seem particularly sensitive to
charges that they have been building up their own
forces. (Page 7)
The French
(Page 8)
Notes on Berlin and Uruguay appear on Page 9.
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ARGENTINA
President Campora and Vice President Solano
Lima reportedly will present their resignations to
Congress today to make way for Juan Peron's formal
assumption of power. A presidential succession
bill has been prepared that will enable Congress
to elect the 77-year-old Peron to the nation's top
office.
Little opposition is likely to such a move.
Peron is already acknowledged to be the
government's principal policy maker and is
regarded by both supporters and opponents
as the one individual who can control the
divergent Peronist forces and restore or-
der. In recent'meetings with the command-
ers of the three armed services, he appears
to have enlisted military support for his
return to power. Principal resistance to
the change could come from the left, which
sees Peron as generally conservative but
Campora as susceptible to pressure.
Peron reportedly plans to form a government
of national unity, and is considering offer-
ing the vice presidency to Ricardo Balbin,
leader of the Radical Party. Placing Balbin
in a post from which he might later accede
to power could raise opposition within the
Peronist movement but would considerably
help Peron consolidate his position.
C
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CAMBODIA
Prime Minister In Tam, exasperated by Lon Nol's
failure to consult him or the cabinet on last week's
initiative, is talking again about resigning.
since
fellow High Political Council member
taken part in the formulation of the
cannot be considered official, and
has little chance of success.
peace
neither he nor
Cheng Heng had
initiative, it
in his view it
Equally galling to In Tam has been Lon
Nol's unilateral delegation of authority
over the military to Sink Matak and his
naming of Matak to preside over council
meetings in the president's absence. In
Tam clearly regards such moves as part
of a continuing effort to isolate him
from important government business.
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NORTH VIETNAM - CAMBODIA
Hanoi has consistently refused to become
involved in Cambodian negotiations, a po-
sition that parallels that of Peking. One
reason could well be that as long as the
Khmer insurgents have the military initia-
tive, North Vietnam sees no reason to
force the pace of negotiations. Moreover,
the North Vietnamese probably believe they
already have what is essential to them--
a relatively free hand in eastern Cam-
bodia--and they may estimate that the Com-
munist situation will further improve.
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CAMBODIA - SOUTH VIETNAM
President Thieu told a group of lower house
deputies late last week that he would not intervene
in Cambodia after the end of US bombing expected on
August 15./
/ He
said efforts to recruit ethnic Khmer residents for
service in Cambodia had been unsuccessful because
potential recruits are unwilling to fight in Cambodia
without adequate air support.
Thieu said that in any possible peacet-pegotia-
tions, the US will have to deal with Sihanouk. He
said that a decision to return Sihanouk to Power
would be disadvantageous to Cambodia, South Vietnam,
Laos, and Thailand.
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SOUTH VIETNAM
The South Vietnamese Government is changing to
a flexible policy toward states that recognize the
Viet Cong's Provisional Revolutionary Government
(PRG).
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In the past, the South Vietnamese have cut
ties with the dozen or so governments that
recognized the PRG. Adoption of the new
policy almost certainly caused anguish in
Saigon, since by acquiescing in dual rec-
ognition, the Thieu government undermines
its claim to be the only valid regime in
the South. Foreign Minister Lam favors
the flexible approach.
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NATO
The allies continue to express their concern
that the US-Soviet agreement on preventing nuclear
war may have detrimental implications for the Alliance.
The chief of the Italian foreign ministry's
NATO office said recently that the agreement appears
to undercut NATO's strategy of flexible response.
He thinks the US-Soviet agreement to consult prior
to the use of nuclear weapons conflicts with a 1969
document, agreed to by the US, providing that NATO
would decide the form, content, and timing of any
message to be sent to an enemy concerning the allies'
intention to initiate the tactical use of nuclear
weapons.
West German Defense Minister Leber has argued
along the same lines, although not in such specific
terms. Belgian Prime Minister Leburton has remarked
that he has no reservations about the agreement, but
there are lingering doubts in the Belgian foreign
office.
An Italian official claims that Western European
representatives will soon meet in Brussels to analyze
the agreement jointly.
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USSR
Recent Western press reports that the USSR has
been increasing the size of its military forces have
provoked an unusual denial from Deputy Chief of Staff
Ogarkov. On July 10, Red Star carried an interview
in which General Ogarkov took issue with such re-
ports. To support his case he referred to the con-
stant defense budget of 17.9 billion rubles that the
USSR has announced for each of the last four years.
As they approach talks on force reductions
this fall, the Soviets seem particularly
sensitive to charges that they have been
building up their own forces. The figure
cited by Ogarkov, of course, does not in-
clude all defense expenditures and can
hardly be used to prove or disprove any-
thing.
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FRANCE
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NOTES
? Berlin: East Germany has begun to reject appli-
cations by West Berliners to visit East Berlin during
the World Youth Festival (July 28 - August 5) to pre-
vent West Berliners from disrupting the proceedings.
Such attempts to impede movement run afoul of exist-
ing travel agreements, and West Berlin intends to
protest. The East German move has come under strong
criticism from West Berliners and West Germans who
are already incensed at a shooting incident last week
at the Wall. Neither side, however, is likely to
allow the present controversy to bring on a serious
confrontation.
Uruguay: The Bordaberry government has broken
the 15-day general strike, but it has gained only a
respite from labor disturbances fostered by the op-
position. Militant union leaders reportedly are
planning short strikes, work slowdowns, and occa-
sional demonstrations to harass the government. If
this strategy finds wide support, it could seriously
disrupt economic recovery, which is an essential
part of the program espoused by Bordaberry and his
military backers.
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