THE PRESIDENT'S DAILY BRIEF 7 JUNE 1973

• Document Type: FOIA
• Collection: President's Daily Brief 1969-1977
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 0005993843
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 12
• Document Creation Date: August 14, 2016
• Document Release Date: August 24, 2016
• Publication Date: June 7, 1973

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The President's Daily Brief
7 June 1973
4 5
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Exempt from general
declassification schedule of E.O. 11652
exemption category SW 1),121.(3)
declassified only on approval of
the Director of Central Intelligence
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FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
THE PRESIDENT'S DAILY BRIEF
7 June 1973
PRINCIPAL DEVELOPMENTS
COSVN reportedly has issued new instructions for a
Communist effort to capture selected targets in
South Vietnam, possibly between June 7 and 10.
(Page 1)
West Germany has completed its ratification of the
East - West German basic treaty, and if the East
German parliament follows suit next week as expected,
the Bavarian court challenge to the treaty could be-
come moot. (Page 2)
French
(Page 3)
The Soviets have taken at least 52 of their ICBM
silos out of service for modernization. (Page 4)
On Page 5, we assess the recent assassination of a
US Army adviser by Iranian terrorists.
FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
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Demilitarized Zone
Gulf of
Thailand
194
554412 6-73
116
Capital Special Zone
South
China
Sea
SOUTH VIETNAM
190
12-
10-
178 MILES 1110
? ?
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FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
SOUTH VIETNAM
COSVN reportedly has issued new instructions
for a Communist effort to capture selected targets
in South Vietnam before any "new cease-fire" takes
effect. The exact timing of the attacks has not
been set, pending developments in Paris, but they
may occur some time between June 7 ?and 10.
The Communists hope to hold any gains they make
until a formal delineation of territory between the
Viet Cong and the South Vietnamese takes place. The
targets involved,
will include many of those the Communists tried
cessfully to capture last January.
implied the attacks would be countrywide,
only specifics were attacks against
lages and highways north and west of Saigon.
If attacks occur in that area, heavy fight-
ing could develop because the Communists
have units equal to more than three divi-
sions located there.
unsuc-
the
vii-
The Communists also have strong forces in
northern South Vietnam/
[ Farther south, in Mili-
tary Region 2, the Communists have been
occupied with a major government counter-
attack in Kontum Province. There have been
no major new developments along the coast
in volatile Binh Dinh Province.
In the Delta, some increased activity has
begun in Chuong Thien Province, where the
Communists are fairly strong. Elsewhere
in the delta, the Communists do not appear
to pose a serious threat to the government's
control.
Except for the reported new instructions
from COSVN, there are no positive signs
of enemy preparations for a land grab in
the next few days. The Communists are
still capable, however, of launching fairly
widespread attacks in several areas of
South Vietnam with little or no warning.
1
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FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
WEST GERMANY - EAST GERMANY
President Heinemann yesterday signed the imple-
menting legislation on the East - West German basic
relations treaty, thus completing ratification in
West Germany. Heinemann did so after the Constitu-
tional Court decided on June 5 not to issue an in-
junction sought by the Bavarian state government
that would have prohibited signature until the court
ruled on the treaty's constitutionality.
The court did agree to rule on the pact's
constitutionality by July 31. The East
German parliament is expected to ratify
the agreement next week. The only step
left after that is to exchange instruments
of ratification. If this step should be
taken before the court rules, Bavaria's
case would become moot because the court
is not competent to rule on agreements in
force.
2
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FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
FRANCE-LIBYA-EGYPT
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,Soviet ICBM-Deployment
?--:
? c-4 ,,,-
, ?___ _
N... - ,
r
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Derazhnya AYedrovo
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4--.K Ku Teykovo ,Yur'ya
e
Pervomaysk
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Yoshkar-Ola
;fatishchevo ,Perm
AL 2.1 ?Verkhnyaya Saida
.Tyumen'
KarfalY. Shadrinsk
,____Dombarovskiy ? Omsk
Imeni Gastello e+we
)
citAl A a rtn
) / ? ????
Tyuratam Missile
Test Center
ICBM Complexes
? SS-7, SS-8
? SS-9
? SS-11
Eli SS-13
4-"GE Location of new-
type silos
.1tatka
AGladkaya
Novosibirsk? 04411
Uzhur
OAleysk
Zhangiztobe ?
???????...
Orovyanaya
AAOlovyannaya
?
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Svobodnyy
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FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
USSR
at least
52 ICBM silos are out of service for modernization.
It appears that a total of 50 SS-11 silos at
Olovyannaya, Drovyanaya, and Svobodnyy in the east-
ern USSR are being prepared for the SS-11 Mod 3, a
multiple re-entry vehicle system that carries three
warheads. None of the SS-11 silos are being con-
verted to the configuration of the new small silos
seen at the Derazhnya and Pervomaysk ICBM complexes.
At the Dombarovskiy SS-9 complex, two silos
are being extensively modified. The missile that
will be emplaced here--the SS-X-18--is in an early
stage of development and probably will not be ready
before 1975.
4
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FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
IRAN-US
The assassination last Saturday of a US Army adviser
by Iranian terrorists probably was intended to focus
attention on US-Iranian military cooperation at a
time when local critics are deploring the Shah's re-
cent $2.5-billion order for US arms. The attack may
also have been related to the execution of eight ter-
rorists a week earlier and the current trial of seven
guerrillas charged with attempting to kidnap Ambas-
sador MacArthur in 1971.
The adviser almost certainly was chosen because he
was an easier target than Ambassador Helms or other
members of the Embassy staff. Also, as one of some
580 US military advisers in Iran, he was probably
viewed as a representative of the expanding US role
in equipping and training the Shah's armed forces.
Although the government reacted quickly and has bol-
stered security around US installations, further at-
tacks on US military personnel would be almost im-
possible to prevent.
FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
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FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
POTES
USSR:
Egypt - Saudi Arabia:
The Yemens: Merger negotiations between Sana
and Aden, in progress since last November, are
breaking down as a result of a steadily growing
campaign of sabotage and terrorism that Aden has
been conducting against the Sana Government for
several months.
Sana's regular armed forces are too weak to per-
mit a broader military response. Sana authorities
will, however, continue the trials of Adeni sabo-
teurs arrested in early. May, and Aden is expected
to continue its subversive campaign. The prospects
for an increased level of hostilities are high;
prospects for union could hardly be lower.
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Top Secret
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