THE PRESIDENT'S DAILY BRIEF 19 MAY 1973

• Document Type: FOIA
• Collection: President's Daily Brief 1969-1977
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 0005993827
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 13
• Document Creation Date: August 14, 2016
• Document Release Date: August 24, 2016
• Publication Date: May 19, 1973

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The President's Daily Brief
19 May 1973
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declassification schedule of E.O. 11652
exemption category 5B(1),(2).(3)
declassified only on approval of
the Director of Central Intelligence
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EYES ONLY FOR THE PRESIDENT
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
WASHINGTON, D.C. 20505
r
a
May 19, 1 9 , 1973
EYES ONLY FOR THE PRESIDENT
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THE PRESIDENT'S DAILY BRIEF
19 May 1973
PRINCIPAL DEVELOPMENTS
The recent flurry of Arab military activity has
slowed, casting doubt that
Egypt may undertake operations against Israel in
June. (Page 1)
agreement between Lebanon and the feda-
yeen meets the government's major objectives, but
the willingness of the guerrillas to abide by the
new restrictions remains in doubt. (Page 2)
The Pakistanis are increasingly frustrated over
their inability to get talks going with the Ben-
galis, who still seem basically uninterested in
compromising on their preconditions for talks.
(Page 3)
(Page 4.
the EC
Greek
(Page 5)
Communist military action in South Vietnam during
the first half of May was, somewhat below the post -
cease-fire average. (Page 6)
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ARAB STATES ISRAEL
The recent flurry of Arab military activity has
slowed. Although Arab military readiness has in-
creased as a result of the earlier activity, there
is no evidence that the Arabs are preparing for a
major attack against Israel.
This information casts doubt on continuing
reports that Egypt may undertake operations
against Israel in June. Previous activity
seems to have been intended as a means of
pressuring the international community--
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LEBANON-FEDAYEEN
protocol signed flMay
by
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government and the fedayeen
meets
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government's major objectives. It provides
for
the removal of crew-served weapons from refugee
camps to depots in southeastern Lebanon under joint
army-fedayeen control. The guerrillas will continue
to be denied entry to the area near the Israeli bor-
der, and armed fedayeen are banned from Lebanese
towns and villages.
also provides for Lebanese police
posts outside refugee camps, although authority over
the camps will remain in fedayeen hands. The en-
forcement of Lebanese law in the enclaves is to be
the responsibility of both sides. A joint committee
will implement the agreement.
The willingness of the guerrillas to abide
by the restrictions remains in doubt, how-
ever. Not all the fedayeen organizations
took part in the negotiations, and ex-
tremist fringe groups may not feel bound
by the accord. Even those who signed may
view the agreement as a mere expedient to
prevent another army assault.
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PAKISTAN-BANGLADESH-INDIA
The Pakistanis are increasingly frustrated over what
they see as Indian and Bengali misinterpretation of
their "conciliatory" response to the joint India-
Bangladesh proposal of mid-April. They say they
are willing to begin talks immediately on all issues
in dispute and are preparing a note that will clarify
this for Dacca and New Delhi.
Islamabad remains opposed to war crimes trials in
Dacca that would appear to convict Pakistan of gen-
ocide. Pakistani officials, however, have told the
US privately that they might accept trials of in-
dividual Pakistani soldiers for specific criminal
acts. They also seem willing to accept some Bihari
refugees on humanitarian grounds, but not all 250,000
of them.
The Bengalis still seem uninterested in compromise
and are determined to hold the trials in such a way
as to make a settlement more difficult. They are
also adamant that Pakistan recognize Bangladesh be-
fore talks begin.
The Indians see themselves increasingly in the mid-
dle, claiming not to know what the Pakistanis really
want, and unable to shake the Bengalis' determina-
tion to hold the trials. They insist they will ac-
cept anything that Dacca and Islamabad agree to.
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GREECE
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EC
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SOUTH VIETNAM
Over-all Communist military action during the
first half of May was somewhat below the post -
cease-fire average. Only in several delta provinces
have the Communists been openly aggressive. The
bulk of the attacks, concentrated in Chuong Thien
and Dinh Tuong provinces, have consisted almost ex-
clusively of shellings of government outposts and
other fixed positions.
Elsewhere, Communist shellings against the outer
defense line west of Hue have increased, and the Com-
munists incurred heavy losses in one sharp engagement
in northern Binh Dinh Province in mid-week.
The Communists' actions in the delta seem
aimed at protecting vital infiltration
routes. Their other activity appears in-
tended to counter government forces trying
to expand the area of their control.
Earlier this month, Communist
claimed they would increase small-scale
attacks. The Communists are capable of
stepping up the tempo of such activity
and could do so with little prior warning.
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NOTES
Nigeria: Lagos is ready to sign a participa-
tion agreement with the major foreign oil companies
operating in Nigeria, ignoring a plea from Libya to
stall for better terms. The agreement allows 30-35
percent government ownership, more oil for Nigeria
to market, and higher prices for government oil
marketed by the companies.
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Italy: Giulio Andreotti's fragile centrist
coalition is threatened with the loss of Republican
support, without which it could not survive another
vote of confidence. The Republicans are demanding
the ouster of Andreotti's minister of posts and
communications, and threaten to withdraw support
of the coalition if he is retained. Andreotti--who
has not dismissed the minister--is trying to head
off parliamentary discussion of the issue, at least
until the Christian Democratic Party Congress in
early June. He is trying to avoid any further
erosion of his position before the Congress, which
will debate the question of anew center-left coa-
lition.
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Top Secret
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