THE PRESIDENT'S DAILY BRIEF 27 MARCH 1973

• Document Type: FOIA
• Collection: President's Daily Brief 1969-1977
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 0005993781
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 10
• Document Creation Date: August 14, 2016
• Document Release Date: August 24, 2016
• Publication Date: March 27, 1973

Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A011500010076-6
The President's Daily Brief
27 March 1973
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Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A011500010076-6
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A011500010076-6
Exempt from general
declassification scheduk of E.O. 11652
exemption category 58(1),(2),(3)
declassified only on approval of
the Director of Central Intelligence
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EYES ONLY FOF? I FiL. FKtbIlitIN I
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
March 27, 1973
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FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
THE PRESIDENT'S DAILY BRIEF
27 March 1973
PRINCIPAL DEVELOPMENTS
Egyptian President Sadat's long speech yesterday
suggests no major policy changes; in assuming the
premiership, he presumably hopes to prove that he
can provide the forceful leadership that many Egyp-
tians have found wanting in his regime. (Page 1)
India's low-key response to the US removal of an
embargo on sales of military equipment to Pakistan
suggests that New Delhi intends to continue to im-
prove relations with Washington. (Page 2)
Ugandan President Amin's charges that an invasion
by Tanzania is imminent may actually be a further
effort to keep his unruly army under control.
(Page 3)
The appearance of Uruguay's key generals on tele-
vision and radio last Friday was, in effect, a
second warning that civilian government can con-
tinue only if it follows the military's directives.
(Page 4)
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FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
EGYPT
In assuming the premiership yesterday,
apparently for a limited period, Presi-
dent Sadat presumably hopes to prove that
he can provide the forceful leadership
that many Egyptians have found wanting in
his regime. Sadat's assumption of the
post, however, means that he is more di-
rectly exposed to the criticism that pre-
viously was partially deflected to former
Prime Minister Sidqi. Apparently real-
izing this, Sadat has promised periodic
joint conferences of legislative and
party members to approve Egyptian poli-
cies, a procedure that would spread re-
sponsibility for decision-making.
Sadat's long speech yesterday suggests no
major policy changes, and a preliminary
report on the new cabinet--which will be
formally announced tomorrow--indicates
that the reshuffle involves few important
shifts.
Sadat directed considerable criticism at the
United States in the course of his speech, but he
conceded that President Nixon had recently taken
a positive position--at least on the surface--rd-
garding some resettlement issues. Sadat described
the current phase of the dispute with Israel as
"all-out confrontation," but said diplomatic activ-
ity would continue; He adhered generally to well-
established Egyptian positions regarding settlement
terms.
In discussing Egyptian domestic problems,
Sadat used the theme of "coming battle" to urge
greater discipline and sacrifice. He warned that
the activities of dissenters would not be tolerated
and described student protesters as only a small
minority of malcontents.
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FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
INDIA
India's low-key response to the US removal of an
embargo on sales of military equipment to Pakistan
suggests that New Delhi intends to continue to im-
prove relations with Washington. The prevailing
Indian Government analysis apparently is that the
US sales to Pakistan will have no significant ef-
fect on the subcontinent's military balance. The
government may have been moved toward such a con-
clusion by growing criticism from conservatives of
India's close ties with Moscow.
When die-hard anti-US members in parliament sug-
gested that the government turn down the restora-
tion of $87.6 million in US economic assistance in
protest, Finance Minister Chavan refused. More-
over,? New Delhi's relatively relaxed position on
US arms sales to Pakistan has apparently been com-
municated to Congress Party functionaries through-
out the country. Scarcely a week after the mili-
tary sales announcement, the social welfare and re-
lief minister of West Bengal buttonholed the US
consul general in Calcutta with an appeal for in-
creased PL-480 aid. More such requests are likely
as Congress Party officials in other state govern-
ments seek US food for their areas.
Mrs. Gandhi will still have to cope with Moscow's
strong lobby in India, which will attempt to make
the most of the lifting of the arms embargo.
Indian policy toward the US, therefore, may
appear erratic,- but it seems likely that, for now,
its main track will be toward better relations.
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UGANDA
President Amin's charges that an invasion
by Tanzania is imminent may actually be
a further effort to keep his unruly army
under control. The President may have
contrived the latest invasion scare in
order to put the army on alert and thus
keep it too preoccupied to carry out any
anti-government move?
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FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
URUGUAY
Last Friday night's appearance on radio and tele-
vision of all of Uruguay's key generals was more
than an effort to force a balky congress to imple-
ment the military's plan for national economic re-
covery. It was, in effect, a second warning that
civilian government can continue only if it is will-
ing to follow the military's directives. The gen-
erals evidently now believe themselves strong enough
to face down any opposition.
The generals also are making their influence felt
outside the government. For example, they have
given a veiled warning to the nation's strongest
labor union that the military will not tolerate a
strike scheduled for Thursday.
The reactions of civilian politicians have been
rather meek. Ruling Colorado Party leaders have
sought only to defend their records against charges
of corruption. The opposition Elancos have not
commented, but are preparing to do so. The left-
ists in the "Frente AmpZio" coalition say they are
studying" the military's statement.
Within two months, the generals have twice imposed
their will by coercion. Further opposition to them
could endanger the survival of the already weakened
civilian government and possibly prompt the gener-
als to force President Bordaberry's resignation and
install a military junta.
FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
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FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
NOTES
UN 7 South Vietnam: Late last week Secretary-
General Waldheim reportedly received both the Pro-
visional Revolutionary Government's formal request
for a UN liaison office in New York and a Secretar-
iat memorandum opposing that request. The Secre-
tariat advised Waldheim that there is no precedent
for such action. Earlier, UN le4al adviser Stavro-
poulus also cautioned Waldheim against haste, al-
though he found no legal barrier. Despite US ob-
jections, Waldheim has continued to consider PRG
association, contending that it is necessary for ?a
UN role in Vietnam relief projects. He is now
likely to respond that the matter is under study.
Zambia-Rhodesia: The Zambian Government is
partially ignoring its border closure by allowing
rail traffic to enter Zambia from Rhodesia. Stocks
of consumer goods and other imports have dwindled,
and the decision to revert to the Rhodesian rail-
road for imports is designed to avoid the develop-
ment of public discontent. There has been no re-
laxation, however, of the ban on copper exports or
road traffic through Rhodesia, and Lusaka is still
hopeful that massive foreign assistance--so far
slow in materializing--will permit it to re-route
foreign trade.
USSR-Pakistan: .A Soviet mission probably will
negotiate a trade agreement with Pakistan in the
next few weeks andsettle on a list of aid deliver-
ies to be made this year. Earlier this month, Mos-
cow relieved Islamabad of responsibility for out-
standing debts incurred on behalf .of the former
East Pakistan. Soviet-Pakistan economic relations
have been'dormant since the 1971 Indo-Pakistani
war. Prior to the hostilities, Soviet-Pakistani
trade amounted to $70 million annually, and Soviet
aid deliveries averaged almost $10 million a year.
FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
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Top Secret
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