THE PRESIDENT'S DAILY BRIEF 3 NOVEMBER 1972

• Document Type: FOIA
• Collection: President's Daily Brief 1969-1977
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 0005993606
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 10
• Document Creation Date: August 14, 2016
• Document Release Date: August 24, 2016
• Publication Date: November 3, 1972

Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/06/14 : CIA-RDP79T00936A011300030001-8
The President's Daily Brief
3 November 1972
45
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Exempt from general
declassification schedule of E.O. 11652
exemption category 513( I
declassified only on approval of
the Director of Central Intelligence
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Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/06/14: CIA-RDP79T00936A011300030001-8
FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
THE PRESIDENT'S DAILY 4RIEF
3 November 1972
PRINCIPAL DEVELOPMENTS
Representatives of a number of international grain
companies are in Moscow discussing execution of the
grain contracts made last summer. Shipping delays
cause concern on both sides. Some of the companies
are discussing new Soviet purchases of rye and corn.
(Page 1)
President Allende has named three senior military
officers to his new cabinet, a move that should
strengthen his hand in efforts to overcome the con-
tinuing protest movement by the private sector.
(Page 2)
Recent incidents of restiveness among Egyptian uni-
versity students, though relatively minor, point up
yet another potentially troublesome issue for Pres-
ident Sadat. (Page 3)
Cambodia's new "national committee for peace and
concord" could become a forum for discussing high-
level contacts with the Khmer Communists if Presi-
dent Lon Nol chooses. (Page 4)
Jamaica's Prime Minister Manley has informed the US
ambassador that Jamaica will join the other three
Caribbean Commonwealth countries in granting diplo-
matic recognition to the Castro government. (Page 5)
For the first time in recent months, Hanoi is send-
ing infiltrators farther south than Military Region
I. (Page 6)
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FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
USSR-US
Representatives of a number of international
grain companies are in Moscow discussing execution
of the grain contracts made last July and August.
Shipping delays caused by late resolution of the
US-Soviet maritime agreement have caused concern
on both sides. As of the end of October, shipments
were 1.7 million tons behind schedule. Unless ship-
ments can be speeded, the lag could reach 3 million
tons by the end of November.
Some of the company representatives are in Mos-
cow to discuss new Soviet purchases of rye and corn
for feed grains.
Total US stocks of rye come to only 1.6
million tons, but enough corn is available
in the US to cover any Soviet purchases.
The Soviets could still be uncertain about
the size and quality of this year's grain
crop and thus may believe it necessary to
purchase more grain than the 28 million
tons already under contract. By mid-Oc-
tober, a record eight percent of the total
areas sown to grain in the USSR had not
been threshed, indicating significant
losses. In the European part of the USSR,
some fields were abandoned or turned over
to grazing animals because the grain was
too poor to thresh. In Siberia and the
Urals, winter overtook the threshers.
Moreover, the 1973 grain crop is off to a
bad start. As the fall sowing campaign
was ending, only 75 percent of the planned
area was sown to winter grains--a record
shortfall. The Zack of soil moisture in
some areas hit by the summer drought ap-
parently prevented fall seeding. As in
1972, the barren areas will have to be re-
sown with lower yielding spring grains.
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FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
CHILE
General Carlos Prats, former army commander,
was sworn in last night as President Allende's new
interior minister. Two other senior military men,
an admiral and an air force general, became minister
of public works and minister of mines. Chile's top
Communist labor leader, Luis Figueroa, is the new
minister of labor and radical Socialist Party member
Rolando Calderon took over as minister of agricul-
ture.
General Prats' successor as army commander has
not yet been named.
President Allende has long sought to bring
the military into his cabinet but until
now was unable to overcome strenuous ob-
jections among some members of his polit-
ical coalition. The move should strengthen
his hand in efforts to overcome the con-
tinuing protest movement by the private
sector and to prepare the way for the
crucial congressional elections next March.
General Prats, after being sworn in, described
his participation in the cabinet as "not a political
commitment, but a patriotic contribution toward
social peace." He echoed Allende's own warning that
the full force of law will be applied against ex-
cesses by extremists of either the left or the right.
Some military officers, presumably includ-
ing Prats, feel participation in the cab-
inet will permit them to moderate govern-
ment policies. The positions held by
military officers, however, do not offer
them direct influence over key economic
and social policies. Nevertheless, as the
senior cabinet officer, Prats is now first
in the presidential Zine of succession.
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FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
EGYPT
The first signs of yet another potentially
troublesome issue for President Sadat have emerged
in the past week at Egypt's universities. Accord-
ing to the US Interests Section in Cairo, three
separate instances of modest student restiveness
have occurred since 28 October. Two of the inci-
dents apparently involved issues not directly con-
nected with the performance of the Sadat regime,
but during the third, students voiced criticism of
Sadat and Prime Minister Sidqi for following poli-
cies toward Israel and the USSR without discernible
goals.
The authorities are concerned that student
demonstrations could lead to more serious
manifestations of discontent and they
have attempted to assuage some student
grievances. The roots of student discon-
tent, however, lie largely with the Zack
of direction of the Sadat regime, an un-
easiness apparently shared by other Egyp-
tians as well.
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FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
CAMBODIA
President Lon Nol has formed a "national com-
mittee for peace and concord" to oversee the gov-
ernment's political program for dealing with the
Communists. It is to include all cabinet ministers
and representatives of Cambodia's two Buddhist or-
ders. The President has also asked opposition po-
litical parties to join. Republican Party chief
Sink Matak has agreed to participate
Some members
of the Democratic Party may also take part.
The new committee could become a forum
for discussing high-level contacts with
the Khmer Communists if Lon Nol chooses
to move toward that objective. Mean-
while, the government continues its cal-
out effort to persuade local Communists
to rally to the government side.
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FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
JAMAICA-CUBA
Jamaica's Prime Minister Manley informed Am-
bassador De Roulet Wednesday night that he would
grant diplomatic recognition to the Castro govern-
ment before the end of the month. This would be
a joint action with Guyana, Trinidad-Tobago, and
Barbados, he explained, and the ambassadors accred-
ited to Havana would not reside there. Manley added
that he agreed to the joint move reluctantly and
only after receiving certain commitments from the
other prime ministers. These commitments apparently
include assistance in the struggle Manley is having
with Trevor Munroe, a radical leader active at the
Jamaican branch of the University of the West Indies.
Joint policy toward Cuba was agreed at
the conference of Caribbean Commonwealth
prime ministers early last month. Prime
Minister Williams of Trinidad-Tobago took
the lead in tabling the Cuba resolution
at the conference, but Guyana's Prime Min-
ister Burnham has been the real sparkplug
on the issue. Guyana has already announced
its intention to establish diplomatic ties
with Cuba. Jamaica's main interest in
Cuba is the presence of some 203000 of its
citizens who have long lived there, but
there is no significant public pressure
in Jamaica for diplomatic ties. Neither
is there such pressure in Trinidad-Tobago
or Barbados.
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FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
NOTE
Vietnam: For the first time in recent months,
Hanoi?ri?TJEding infiltrators farther south than
Military Region 1. In the past few days, inter-
cepted messages have shown the movement of eight
new infiltration groups. They are now in southern
North Vietnam. Seven of them are earmarked for
COSVN-controlled areas of South Vietnam and Cambo-
dia, and the other is bound for the central high-
lands. The group going to the highlands has 516
men. The intercepts did not reveal the sizes of
the other groups, but if they are of average size,
the replacements for COSVN could total upwards of
3,000 men.
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Top Secret
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