THE PRESIDENT'S DAILY BRIEF 9 NOVEMBER 1971

• Document Type: FOIA
• Collection: President's Daily Brief 1969-1977
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 0005992964
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 9
• Document Creation Date: August 14, 2016
• Document Release Date: August 24, 2016
• Publication Date: November 9, 1971

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The President's Daily Brief
9 November 1971
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THE PRESIDENT'S DAILY BRIEF
9?November 1971
PRINCIPAL DEVELOPMENTS
Peking has reaffirmed its political commitment to
Pakistan but has preserved considerable freedom of
maneuver in the Indo-Pakistani dispute. (Page 1)
Widespread guerrilla activity in East Pakistan is
beginning to erode the confidence of some West Pak-
istanis serving in the province. (Page 2)
No additional new-type silos were detected at de-
ployed missile complexes in the most recent satel-
lite photography of the USSR. (Page 4)
Prominent Japanese business leaders will visit Pe-
king to explore channels of communication in the
absence of formal diplomatic ties. (Page 4)
The Turks anticipate a Soviet proposal for a friend-
ship and nonaggression treaty. (Page 4)
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COMMUNIST CHINA - PAKISTAN
In a banquet speech on Sunday, Chinese Acting
Foreign Minister Chi Peng-fei told a high-level Pak-
istani delegation that China continues to endorse
Pakistani unity and will resolutely support Pakistan
if it is attacked. Blaming "domestic secessionists"
along with "foreign aggressors" and "intervention-
ists" for the troubles in East Pakistan, Chi con-
demned India for exploiting the East Pakistan situa-
tion by means of "subversive activities and military
threats." In contrast to Chou En-lai's letter of
support sent last April to President Yahya Khan,
however, Chi did not accuse either the US or the
USSR of directly interfering in Pakistan's internal
affairs. Chi also told the Pakistanis that "disputes
between states should be settled by the two sides
concerned through consultations and not by resorting
to force."
The Chinese have given little public en-
couragement to Islamabad since Chou En-
Zai's letter to Yahya. The Pakistanis
have been anxious to extract fresh evi-
dence of support. They got less than they
had hoped for. The Chinese statement that
India and Pakistan should negotiate, not
fight, is gratifying, but the Pakistanis
will be less pleased with the advice that
the internal crisis in East Pakistan needs
Ifa reasonable settlement," which smacks of
a negotiated compromise. In effect, Pe-
king has reaffirmed its political commit-
ment to Pakistan but has preserved consid-
erable freedom of maneuver.
On the military side, Chinese pledges of
support were vague and linked to the con-
tingency of external aggression. The
Pakistani delegation contained high-rank-
ing military officers, but there was no
mention of increased Chinese arms aid.
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INDIA
shiliongo
552086 11-71
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PAKISTAN
Guerrilla activity continues widespread
in East Pakistan. There are indications
that pressure from the guerrillas is be-
ginning to have its effect on the West
Pakistanis and their agents serving in
the provinces.
--The guerrillas have driven police and mili-
tiamen from the Kishorganj
control there
area and are in effective
--There has been heavy fighting in Sylhet Dis-
trict, according to another source, with 30 Paki-
stani soldiers killed in the first five days of No-
vember.
--There are still frequent bombings in Dacca
and Chittagong. A member of the Provincial Assem-
bly was assassinated near Dacca on 7 November, and
earlier two assembly candidates were badly wounded
in Chittagong.
--According to several observers, the Mukti
Bahini openly controls the rural areas of Barisal
and Patuakhali districts. The Mukti Bahini is at-
tempting to eliminate radical leftist guerrilla bands
in these districts and possibly in Pabna and Jessore
districts as well, and there have been several
clashes.
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SOUTH VIETNAM
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NOTES
USSR: No additional new-type silos were de-
tected at deployed missile complexes in the most
recent satellite photography. Only four of the 25
new-type silos at SS-9 complexes were seen on this
coverage--three at Zhangiztobe and one at Dombar-
ovskiy. Construction is progressing on the site at
Dombarovskiy but does not appear to have advanced
on the Zhangiztobe sites since they were last seen
in September. The other 66 new-type silos at Pervo-
maysk and Derazhnya, where SS-11s are deployed along
with a few MRBMs and IRBMs, were not seen because
?of cloud cover. Analysis of the photography is con-
tinuing, and further details may become available.
Japan - Communist China: An important group of
Japanese business leaders will leave for Peking on
12 November to explore means of establishing commu-
nications in the absence of formal diplomatic ties.
While this is not an officially sponsored visit,
the members of the group are all major backers of
the ruling Liberal Democratic Party and can be ex-
pected to report back to Premier Sato. If pressed
by the Chinese, they no doubt are prepared to talk
in Peking about their economic ties with Taiwan,
but as of now, they believe they can trade with the
Communists as well as maintain their interests on
the island.
USSR-Turkey: Prime Minister Erim expects So-
viet President Podgorny to push for a 25-year
treaty of friendship and nonaggression during his
visit to Turkey next April. Erim has told Ambas-
sador Handley that the Soviet ambassador on two
separate occasions proposed consideration of such
a treaty, along the lines of earlier pacts made in
the 1920s. These agreements are still on the books,
but Moscow is interested in a new treaty which
would have current political impact. The Soviets
succeeded in India, but were rebuffed by Indonesia,
Canada, and France, when they recently proposed
such treaties with those governments. They prob-
ably will be no more successful with the Turks.
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Top Secret
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