THE PRESIDENT'S DAILY BRIEF 19 OCTOBER 1971

• Document Type: FOIA
• Collection: President's Daily Brief 1969-1977
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 0005992926
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 10
• Document Creation Date: August 14, 2016
• Document Release Date: August 24, 2016
• Publication Date: October 19, 1971

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The President's Daily Brief
19 October 1971
4 b
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FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
THE PRESIDENT'S DAILY BRIEF
19 October 1971
PRINCIPAL DEVELOPMENTS
The Indians are continuing to draw attention to
their preparations to meet any hostile ?actions on
the part of the Pakistanis. (Page 1)
The capabilities of the South Vietnamese forces
in the central provinces to deal with a Communist
threat in the months ahead are discussed on Page 4.
The UK high commissioner on Cyprus favors submit-
ting the latest Greek-Turkish proposal to Makarios
immediately, if it is to have a chance of accept-
ance. (Page 5)
FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
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INDIA and PAKISTAN
80
Kabul*
32_
AFGHANISTAN
IRAN
JAMMU
AND r
KASHMIR
* *
Islamabad Srinagar
Lahore.
?
CHINA
WEST
1?AlSISTAN
New Delhi
Ya-tong
SIKKIM
Karac
?
Armored division and
infantry division reported
oving toward border
.Benares Siliguri
Chhatali
Dacca'
Calcutta
BURMA
Bombay
Arabian Sea
Madras
MALDIVE
ISLANDS
80
Bay of Bengal
400 Miles
`k)
552002 10-71 CIA
8C ;to it ?
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FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
INDIA-PAKISTAN
India's 1st Armored Division is moving toward
the West Pakistan frontier, according to an Indian
Defense Ministry press leak.
\ We have no confirmation that the
armored division has moved, but support
vehicles of the infantry division have
been seen passing through New Delhi, The
Indians by the leak may be intending to
warn the Pakistanis against military ac-
tion and to encourage foreign pressure
against Islamabad for a political solu-
tion to the East Pakistani problem.
The 1st Armored is regarded as the bell-
wether division. If it and the infantry
division are in fact moving closer to
West Pakistan, India will have made vir-
tually all the major troop movements that
could be expected in preparation for hos-
tilities. Similarly most, if not all, of
the divisions in West Pakistan have by now
taken up war positions.
wall-
to-wall" Indian troops in the Siliguri gap, convoys
of "hundreds" of trucks, and trains carrying troops,
artillery, and armor. Movement of troops into this
area would place them in a good position for an at-
tack or to defend India's most vulnerable supply
line.
There has been a new spate of charges by both
sides of unprovoked shellings across the Indian -
East Pakistani border in an area where exchanges of,
fire have been endemic for, several months. In addi-
tion, the Indian press is reporting an upsurge of.
guerrillaactivity in EastPakistan, including the
capture of the town of Chhatak and a number of raids
on West Pakistani troops.
(continued)
FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
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These guerrilla incidents have not been confirmed,
however, and Indian press claims of Bengali victor-
ies have at times been purely imaginary. A Bangla
Desh representative in contact with the US Consulate
General in Calcutta admitted that plans to inject
large numbers of guerrillas into East Pakistan had
slipped somewhat.
FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
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FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
USSR
3
FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
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Lieutenant General Dzu
Commander MR-2
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M R 2
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_-,1
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CHINA
SEA
SOUTH VIETNAM
190
16-
14-
12-
10-
1U8 MILES 1 110
551999 10-71
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FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
SOUTH VIETNAM
Although Dzu's two divisions appear to
have improved in the past year or so, it
is still questionable whether they are
capable of holding off the North Vietnam-
ese Army units ranged against them unless
they continue to receive heavy US air and
artillery support. In addition, Dzu's
operations will be hampered by the poor
performance of the territorial security
forces in his region, considered to be
among the worst in South Vietnam. The
Viet Cong are still strongly entrenched
in many districts of Military Region 2,
but there is at least surface improvement
in the security of several provinces,
partly as a result of prolonged inactivity
by Communist main force units. The situa-
tion is still sufficiently unsettled, how-
ever, that local government control will
probably suffer a severe setback if the
Communists are willing to pay the cost of
mounting strong attacks this winter.
4
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FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
CYPRUS
The UK high commissioner on Cyprus is recommend-
ing that UN Secretary General Thant immediately pre-
sent to Archbishop Makarios the latest Greek-Turkish
proposal for revitalizing the intercommunal talks.
The high commissioner believes, after talking with
Makarios, that the Greek Cypriot leader would find
it difficult to reject the plan so long as it has
strong backing from all other parties concerned.
The proposal, formulated in talks at the
UN, would add a representative of the UN
to the talks between Greek and Turkish
Cypriots, as well as provide for the par-
ticipation of constitutional law experts
from Greece and Turkey. Makarios earlier
had termed the proposal "totally unaccept-
able," regarding it as mainland pressure
on him to grant the Turkish Cypriots
greater autonomy.r
5
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To Secret
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