THE PRESIDENT'S DAILY BRIEF 6 OCTOBER 1971

• Document Type: FOIA
• Collection: President's Daily Brief 1969-1977
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 0005992903
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 10
• Document Creation Date: August 14, 2016
• Document Release Date: August 24, 2016
• Publication Date: October 6, 1971

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The President's Daily Brief
6 October 1971
6
o Secret
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FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
THE PRESIDENT'S DAILY BRIEF
6 October 1971
PRINCIPAL DEVELOPMENTS
On Page 1 we discuss the current military situation
along the border between West Pakistan and India.
The latest satellite photography shows no additional
silos of the new types. (Page 3)
West. Germany/
/ (Page 4)
The forced retirement of top Argentine naval of
is stirring fresh criticism of the Lanusse
government in military circles. (Page 5)
FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
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U.S.S.R
Kabul*
32..
AFGHANISTAN
IRAN
WEST
PAKISTAN
JAMMU
AND
? 111---.".."1C'".ASHMIR
Islamabad* e Srinagar
Kharian.
Lahore.
New Delhi
? *
Karachi
CHINA
SIX K IM
Jhansi
?
Babinae
INDIA
BURMA
Bombay;
Arabian Sea
551944 10-71
Bay of Bengal
'Madras
MALDIVE
ISLANDS
400 MileS
9
?3
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PAKISTAN-INDIA
Pakistani military preparations near the West
Pakistan- India border continue. (
/many West Pakistani ci-
vilians have begun leaving border areas, fearing the
breakout of hostilities. 2
Although Yahya apparently has been giving
some thought to launching an earZy mili-
tary strike against India, wears inclined
to believe that he has not yet made a fi-
nal decision. He and his fellow generals
are well aware of India's military superi-
ority. Moreover, we do not believe that
the west wing's position in the East has
become so desperate as to cause Yahya to
call for an early deliberate attack on
India.
An Indian Army official told the US and other
military attaches on Monday that a Pakistani armored
division and an infantry division at Kharian had
moved out to "battle positions" to the southeast.
Satellite photography did show the
Kharian cantonment to be virtually deserted, but
no large movements of equipment on the rail linimq
going south from Kharian were observed.
yesterday that Pakistani military units
were currently engaged in exercises; if true, this
could account for the changes at the Kharian base.
Satellite photography showed
that at least the support elements of India's 1st
Armored Division remain at its home cantonment at
Jhansi 200 miles south of New Delhi, indicating
that the division has not moved toward the West
Pakistan border area as previously reported.
(continued)
1
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The satellite photography of other military
facilities in both countries reviewed so far reveals
no unusual activity.
Both India and Pakistan apparently have reim-
posed restrictions on each other's diplomats after
Indian police allegedly kept a busload_of Pakistani'
diplomatic personnel from returning home. Pakistani
newspapers are also stepping up their-charges of ag-
gressive Indian activities and intentions in the
East.
In addition, several small skirmishes between
Indian and Pakistani forces took place in the India
West Pakistan frontier region last week/
It is not clear whether these incidents
represent a deliberate action by either
side. All clashes previously reported
this year had been confined to the East
Pakistani border.
2
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6- ? is? ?
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USSR
No additional silos of the new types were de-
tected at deployed missile complexes covered by the
most recent satellite photography. The count re-
mains at 25 of the new type of silo at complexes
where the SS-9 is deployed and 66 of the type at
Derazhnya and Pervomaysk, where SS-11s (and a few
MRBMs and IRBMs) are deployed.
The latest photography was from the second part
of a low-resolution satellite reconnaissance mission.
In all, the mission coy- 50X1
ered portions of 20 of the 24 Soviet ICBM complexes,
including all the SS-9 complexes where the new type
of silo is being deployed. Pervomaysk and Dera-
zhnya also were partially covered.
Analysis of the photography is continuing.
3
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WEST GERMANY
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ARGENTINA
The Lanusse government., has forced the retire-
ment of the navy chief of staff, and the chief of
naval operations following their charges of venal-
ity against the navy commander in chief. The gov-
ernment's action has prompted several meetings of
top military officers. Criticism of the Lanusse
government is quite open in, discussions among these
officers. The situation has caused rumors of an
impending coup attempt to be circulating again in
Buenos Aires.
The growing concern in the military over.
Lanusse's handling of the economy and
his political rapprochement with the
Peronists could cost him the all-impor-
tant support of his senior army command-
ers, some of whom are among the senior
officers expressing concern over the navy
develo ments.
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Top Secret
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