THE PRESIDENT'S DAILY BRIEF 9 SEPTEMBER 1971

• Document Type: FOIA
• Collection: President's Daily Brief 1969-1977
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 0005992852
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 12
• Document Creation Date: August 14, 2016
• Document Release Date: August 24, 2016
• Publication Date: September 9, 1971

Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/06/14 : CIA-RDP79T00936A009900090001-9
The President's Daily Brief
9 September 1971
46
Top Secret
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FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
THE PRESIDENT'S DAILY BRIEF
9 September 1971
PRINCIPAL DEVELOPMENTS
Preliminary analysis of the final portion of the
current satellite reconnaissance mission reveals
no additional Soviet ICBM silos of the smaller or
larger type, but shows the new large silo liner seg-
ments at a fourth site. (Page 1)
\Japan
Page 2.
South Vietnam)
(Page 3)
Chinese)
(Page 4)
Israel/
\USSR
(Page 5)
In Pakistan, Yahya may have decided not to proceed
with his announced plan to turn over power to civil-
ians by late October. (Page 6)
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USSR
Preliminary analysis of the final portion of
the current satellite reconnaissance mission reveals
no additional ICBM silos of either the larger or the
smaller type. There remain 66 of the smaller type
under construction at Derazhnya and Pervomaysk,
where the SS-11 is deployed. Twenty-five of the
larger type have been identified at five of the six
SS-9 complexes.
At least partial coverage was obtained of all
24 ICBM complexes and Pervomaysk and Derazhnya on
this portion of the current mission.
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JAPAN-US
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SOUTH VIETNAM
the price of rice had
gone up 25 percent during te past few days. (This
is true.) This, is always a certain
indicator of popular apprehension.
According to press reports, Thieu met on 7
September with all his top generals, including the
four military region commanders and generals from
the Ministry of Defense and the Joint General Staff.
Repeated consultations with these leaders
are likely to bring them more actively
into the political scene than at any time
since 1968. This would open the possibil-
ity of a new period of political maneuver-
ing in the military establishment. For
his part, Thieu appears quite uncertain
about how to handle the inflammatory Ky,
as any steps against Ky could make the
situation worse.
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COMMUNIST CHINA
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USSR-ISRAEL
At a recent meeting in Moscow,. Arab diplomats.
concluded that the USSR and Israel are moving toward
closet, diplomatic contacts and will re-establish:re-
lations or cbntacts within fourto six months. The
Arabs apparently view the just concluded. two-week
visit of. an Israeli. peace delegation to the USSR
and the visitof'Sdviet.journalist Victor Louis to
Israel in-June as straws in the wind. An Israeli
Foreign Ministry official remarked last month that
he expected a Soviet proposal for an exchange of:am-
bassadors in the next few months. He added that
just prior to the Louis visit Moscow had proposed
the establishment in Israel of &Soviet presence
short of ftill diplomatic relations.
Since last May, when Mrs. Meir said that:
a diaZogue:between the two countries would'
be helpful, the Soviets have encouraged
speculation about a.rapprochement. They
have-also permitted.an increase.in.the
number of Soviet Jews emigrating to Israel.
and of Israelis visiting the Soviet Union.
Although a Soviet Foreign Ministry offi-
cial dismissed the notion 'of renewing re-
lations as:premature,' .recent pubZicre
markS.by'Soviet:officials in.Moscow appear
designed to clear the way for such'.amove,
The' Israelis will probably continue to
seek full.restorationof formal relations;
the Soviets, however, presumably are less
interested in full-scale ties any
soon, and will pursue informal, contacts.
Resumption of some'kind of regular contact -
would provide both sides'a useful channel
to help in, avoiding a. new outbreak of.hos-
tilities-in.the Middle Eas,t and possibly
in:regularizing the emigrationof.Soviet:
Jews to Israel. Moscow: may hope to use
regular contacts or, a normalization of re-
lations' to erode Washington's_monopoly on
efforts to:arrange:a settlement, but it:
will also have-to consider the repercus-
sions on the Arab states, including a pos-
sible-Arab decision to invite a greater
US presence in their' capitals.
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PAKISTAN
The government has extended the time limit on
filling vacant national and provincial assembly seats.
This move suggests. that. YahYa, who probably
feels he cannot call the assemblies into
session until the seats are filled, has de-
cided. against turning political power over
to the civilians by late October, the date
he set last June. He may feel he cannot
keep to his original timetable because of
the difficulty of holding elections in the
East. He may also hope" that additional
time will .help in the continuing effort to
overcome the personal rivalries that up to
now have blocked organization of a progov,-
ernment party. Such a party would serve
both to field acceptable candidates in East
Pakistan and to act as a counterweight to
leftist . ex-foreign. minister Bhutto in the
West.
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NOTES
Chile: The Chileans have embarked on an espe-
cially vicious campaign blaming the US for their
country's economic problems. This may mean the Al-
lende government is ready to adopt a tougher stance
in relations with the US, particularly in the immi-
nent negotiations with US copper companies and other
firms over nationalized properties.
Malta: Claiming that talks with the UK are
"stalemated," Mintoff has tightened the screws on
London by halting the distribution of duty-free fuel
to British forces on Malta. 2
2z7These developments follow a UK-NATO offer
of almost $24 million in cash and aid, and may be
only the first in a series of harassing actions
promised by Mintoff if the British failed to meet
his demands.
Communist China:
Communist China - North Korea: The agreement
announced by the Chinese to provide free military
aid to Pyongyang is the first of its kind known to
have been concluded since the Korean war. Three
weeks ago the two countries signed an economic co-
operation protocol in Peking. These developments
follow closely Premier Kim Il-sung's public expres-
sions of support for Peking's invitation to Presi-
dent Nixon, and may represent payment for such en-
dorsement. The agreements also serve as a public
reaffirmation of close Sino - North Korean relations
and of China's continuing support despite its ini-
tiatives toward the US.
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