THE PRESIDENT'S DAILY BRIEF 3 AUGUST 1971

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Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
0005992785
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RIPPUB
Original Classification: 
T
Document Page Count: 
13
Document Creation Date: 
August 14, 2016
Document Release Date: 
August 24, 2016
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Publication Date: 
August 3, 1971
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Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A009800020001-7 The President's Daily Brief 3 August 1971 46 o ecte 50X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A009800020001-7 Declassified in Part- Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19: CIA-RDP79T00936A009800020001-7 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY THE PRESIDENT'S DAILY BRIEF 3 August 1971 PRINCIPAL DEVELOPMENTS On Page 1 we comment on yesterday's meeting of top Soviet leaders with all of Moscow's Eastern European allies except Romania. leftist politburo member Chen Po-ta has in fact been purged, apparently symbolizing Peking's repudiation of extremist policies. (Page 3) \Chinese I (Page 4) On Page 5 we comment on this week's cabinet reshuf- fle in Australia. .At Annex we discuss Peking's changing approach to- ward economic and military aid to the underdeveloped countries: FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A009800020001-7 50X1 50X1 Declassified in Part'- Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19: CIA-RDP79T00936A009800020001-7 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY USSR - EASTERN EUROPE Yesterday's meeting of Brezhnev and two other top Soviet leaders with counterparts from all of the USSR's East European allies save Romania was meant to highlight Bucharest's isolation and to put pres- sure on it to conform to Soviet foreign policy. The communiqug's formulations are generally routine, but the broad range of topics covered, from economic integration in CEMA to Vietnam and the Middle East, formalizes the seemingly informal vacation gathering in the Crimea and underscores Romania's deviant status. In view of frequent bilateral meetings of Soviet and East European leaders in the past month capped by a CEMA summit in Bucharest last week, there was scant substantive reason for consultations, except for Romanian recalcitrance. Indeed, there is reason to believe that the meeting was called quite abruptly. East Germany's Honecker had been on vacation but was reported in yesterday's press as having met, presum- ably on 1 August, with the Soviet ambassador in East Berlin. Romania has irritated Moscow in recent years by not siding with the Warsaw Pact positions on the Middle East war and Soviet disarmament proposals. Romania also has resisted Soviet plans to integrate CEMA, and did not suppress its delight .that this goal, as defined at the CEMA summit last week, will take 15 to 20 years to implement. Perhaps Ceausescu's greatest present sin, however, is to insist upon neutrality in the Sino-Soviet dis- pute, to cultivate good relations with Peking, and to welcome the thaw in Sino-US relations. The USSR is gravely worried about a possible rapprochement between Peking and Washington, and it suspects that Romania has assisted in nourishing these contacts. Unable to stop the Chinese, Moscow is determined at least to force the Romanians back into Zine. (continued) 1 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A009800020001-7 Declassified in Part! Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19: CIA-RDP79T00936A009800520001-7 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY The Romanians, judging by their recent behavior, have not been expecting a sharp squeeze from the So- viets. Earlier this summer, the Romanians were ap- prehensive that Moscow would try to force them to take part in a joint military exercise in Bulgaria or, alternatively, to permit Soviet troops bound for the exercise to cross Romanian texritory. Such re- ports have died out and there are no indications that the. Soviets have reopened the matter of Romanian participation. The exercise is scheduled to start in mid-August. Having carried their dispute with Romania into the open in this fashion, however, the Soviets are not likely to let the matter rest. If Romania does not cease its misbehavior, Moscow may step up economic pressures, and insist on closer adherence to the Warsaw Pact's foreign policy goals. Ceausescu will be reluctant to appear to give ground under attack, but he may well decide to pull in his horns for a time. FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A009800020001-7 ? ? A Declassified in Part -? Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A009800020001-7 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY COMMUNIST CHINA leftist politburo member Chen Po-ta had in fact been purged, as had been widely rumored in Western press reports. The official added that Mao Tse-tung had been allud- ing to Chen's failings in his interview with Ameri- can journalist Edgar Snow last December when he con- demned "hypocrites" who told lies during the Cultural Revolution. The political demise of Chen, formerly the fourth ranking member of the politburo standing committee, seems intended to sym- bolize Peking's repudiation of extremist policies both in domestic and international affairs. Peking's handling of his downfall reflects the marked shift to the right that has occurred in the bitter struggle over power and policy within China's unsettled leadership coalition since the ninth party congress two years ago. The issues in- volved have been complex but clearly have included unsuccessful attempts by the left- ists in Mao's inner circle to weaken Chou En-lai, to resist the reinstatement of many veteran party and government officials, and perhaps also to thwart the movement of Chi- na's foreign policy in several areas in the direction of more moderation and flexibil- ity. The case against Chen Po-ta and the extremist "May 16 Corps" he allegedly or- ganized appears to have been accompanied by a corresponding strengthening of Chou En-Zai's personal position. It is still uncertain whether Peking in- tends to make Chen a public sca egoat for the Ma 16 rou s excesses C en s ro e 7,71 the group's activities is being discussed in local party meetings, but because other politburo members, including Madame Mao and Kang Sheng, also were involved, Peking may be reluctant to risk exposure of the full extent of leadership disunity through an open pillorying of Chen. The ranking of Madame Mao just behind Chou and ahead of Chief of Staff Huang Yung-sheng at the Army Day celebrations last weekend suggests that the jockeying between leftist and moderate elements within the regime has not ceased. 3 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A009800020001-7 50X1 50X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A009800020001-7 50X1 50X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A009800020001-7 Declassified inPart.- Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19: CIA-RDP79T00936P7009800.020001-7 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY COMMUNIST CHINA 4 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A009800020001-7 50X1 50X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A009800020001-7 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY AUSTRALIA Nigel Bowen, who replaced Leslie Bury as foreign minister in the cabinet re- shuffle of 1 August, is a former attorney general with five years of cabinet experience. Bowen's rep- utation as an able and energetic minister and his growing stature within the ruling Liberal-Country Party coalition should give a boost to Prime Minis- ter McMahon's current shaky. position. The four other ministerial changes involved in the reshuffle are aimed at improving the government's prospects in next year's parliamentary elections. 5 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A009800020001-7 50X6 50X6 Declassified inPart': Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19: CIA-RDP79T00936A-009800620001-7 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY NOTE Ceylon: The army commander, General Attygalle, has been caustically critical of politicians in the current atmosphere of nervousness over the possible renewal of insurgency and general deterioration of economic conditions. Attygalle would mount a coup if he be- lieved the country were going further to the left. In doing so, the General might choose to keep Prime Minister Bandaranaike at her post but move the gov- ernment to the right. Attygalle has no strong po- litical attachments 6 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A009800020001-7 50X1 50X1 50X6 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A009800020001-7 Chinese Aid to Underdeveloped Countries since 1 April 1971 551728 7-71 CIA Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T009-36A009800020001-7 50X1 ? IT, Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A009800020001-7 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY PEKING'S CURRENT FOREIGN AID POLICY The recent spurt of China's military and economic assistance to developing Afro-Asian states shows how much Peking has changed its approach to the underde- veloped world. It has moved away from its previous heavy-handed emphasis on ideology toward an increas- ingly pragmatic and flexible foreign policy. Steer- ing clear of any new massive and onerous aid commit- ments such as the $400-million Tan-Zam railroad project agreed to in 1970, Peking is relying instead on lesser amounts of selective support in a contin- uing effort to re-establish itself as a leading cham- pion of third world interests. The Chinese in gen- eral are focusing attention on those states that show some promise of supporting Peking's international in- terests, particularly in the UN, and on those that are not overly committed to either the US or the USSR. By far the largest amount of new aid is a $110-mil- lion agreement negotiated early in June by a Somali delegation in Peking. The money will finance high- way construction and underwrite several light indus- trial projects and agricultural programs. With this commitment, Peking, which has furnished aid to So- malia for many years, becomes the country's largest donor. Also in June, China granted Iraq a credit of nearly $40 million for plants, equipment, and technical assistance. The credit probably will be used to boost Baghdad's development of light industry. The Chinese also will provide Iraq with free military equipment?primarily small arms and ammunition. As in the past, much of this may be planned for on- ward shipment to the Palestinian fedayeen. In May Peking extended a hard currency loan of $25 million to Ceylon. The loan?largest of its type to be granted a non-Communist regime--is exceeded only by the $100 million extended to Romania last November. The loan to Ceylon is not tied to any specific project, but will help make up losses in export earnings caused by the disruption of the April insurrection there. The Ceylonese also have accepted an offer of five small patrol boats-- China's first military assistance to Colombo. Pe- king's assistance to Ceylon is intended not only to gain influence but to remove any trace of Ceylonese suspicion of Chinese involvement in the insurrection. The Chinese loan is in excess of the aid received from Washington and Moscow following the disorders. (continued) Al FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A009800020001-7 I Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A009800020001-7 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY A loan in April of $20.5 million to Mauritania will finance construction of basic economic projects such as a port at Nouakchott and a water pipeline. Pe- king has extended two loans to Mali totaling $6 mil- Zion, two-thirds of which will be used to purchase Chinese goods for sale in Mali and the remainder to bolster the government's budget. Peking has assured the MaZians of its continued interest in financing the $100-million Manantalli dam project. A new agree- ment providing for construction of several light in- dustrial plants and a mineral survey is to be signed in the near future. Mali has recently received sev- eral small shipments of military equipment from China, as has Guinea, which signed a military aid agreement with Peking in early July. Guinea will receive several patrol boats and more arms and ammu- nition. All of these recipients recognize the People's Re- public and support its bid for UN membership. The Chinese, however, no doubt hope that the availabil- ity of their aid will help bring other third world governments to establish diplomatic relations with Peking and to support its cause in the United Na? tions. Last week, for example, a delegation from Sierra Leone was visiting Peking when its government switched recognition from the Nationalists to the Communists, and we presume the visitors had received assurances of economic assistance. Extension of aid helps Peking to project the image of a dynamic Chinese economy capable of supplement- ing assistance from the US, the USSR, and other in- dustrial powers. Peking's aid vastly overshadows Taipei's foreign aid program, which totaled $16 mil- lion in fiscal 1971. Most regimes in the underde- veloped countries realize that China is unable to replace the more advanced nations as an economic benefactor, but the Chinese Communists are considered to be particularly well suited to help meet at low cost the needs of labor-intensive agricultural pro- grams and construction projects such as roadbuiZding and port development. A2 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A009800020001-7 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A009800020001-7 Top Secret Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A009800020001-7