THE PRESIDENT'S DAILY BRIEF 22 JULY 1971

• Document Type: FOIA
• Collection: President's Daily Brief 1969-1977
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 0005992765
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 9
• Document Creation Date: August 14, 2016
• Document Release Date: August 24, 2016
• Publication Date: July 22, 1971

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The President's Daily Brief
22 July 1971
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THE PRESIDENT'S DAILY BRIEF
22 July 1971.
PRINCIPAL DEVELOPMENTS
Our preliminary analysis of the latest satellite
photography of the USSR shows 14 additional new mis-
sile silos of the smaller type and two of the larger
type. (Page 1)
On Page 2 we comment on the rapidly growing guerrilla
movement in East Pakistan,
Jordanian Government leaders claim that Damascus
will permit Syria-based troops of the Palestine Lib-
eration Army to invade Jordan. (Page 3)
The Cambodian Government has made its first serious
effort in months to consult with the National As-
sembly. (Page 4)
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USSR
Preliminary analysis of photography obtained
from the final portion bf the most recent satellite
mission shows 14 additional new missile silos of the
smaller type and two of the larger type. There are
now 64 of the smaller type and 20 of the larger type
under construction in the USSR. In addition, sev-
eral other sites have been tentatively identified.
No new details concerning construction of the silos
have been obtained thus far.
The smaller type silos are under construction
at Derazhnya where the SS-11 is located together
with the SS-4 MRBM, and at Pervomaysk where the SS-11
is located together with the SS-5 IRBM. The larger
type silos have been identified at five of the six
SS-9 complexes.
The mission which was launched in mid-June at
least partially covered 22 of 24 Soviet ICBM com-
plexes as well as Derazhnya and Pervomaysk.
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PAKISTAN-INDIA
Since early May, when open Bengali resistance was
suppressed, a guerrilla movement has grown rapidly
in East Pakistan. US officials in Dacca now con-
clude that prospects for eventual success of the
Bengali insurgency movement are steadily improving.
Insurgents have been able to disrupt the transporta-
tion system in the eastern part of the province, and
communications are far from normal elsewhere. Sabo-
tage of the electric power system and the tea indus-
try is continuing.
In India, Finance Minister Chavan intends to
ask Parliament for an additional $130-$160 million
for refugee relief; $80 million has already been
allocated. With the approval of the request, total
funds available--both domestic and foreign--would
amount to about $350 million, roughly the cost of
six months' care for those refugees now in Indian
camps. The approximately $125 million in foreign
aid to date has come mainly from the US.
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JORDAN-SYRIA
Prime Minister Tal notified the US Embassy in
Amman late Tuesday that he has information--its
source unspecified--that Syrian President Asad will
bow to Yasir Arafat's demands to permit Syria-based
troops of the Palestine Liberation Army (PLA) to in-
vade Jordan. King Husayn believes Damascus might be
tempted by the opportunity to demonstrate support
for the Palestinian cause while at the same time dis-
posing of some of the troublesome PLA troops under
the guns of the Jordanian Army. Husayn does not
think that Syrian troops would become involved in
any offensive. The King says Jordanian troops have
taken defensive positions along the Syrian border,
and he will not hesitate to order aircraft into ac-
tion against invading PLA units.
Although unleashing the PLA would run coun-
ter to the Asad government's policy of co-
vert cooperation with Jordan in handling
the fedayeen, it would refurbish Syria's
pro-fedayeen credentials in the eyes of
the Arab public. PLA strength in Syria
is about 10,000--a number which the Jor-
danian Army could easily handle provided
no regular Syrian troops were involved.
An offensive generating renewed fighting
with fedayeen forces, however, would have
political consequences; Arab propaganda
attacks are already mounting now that the
full extent of the commando defeat is be-
coming known.
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CAMBODIA
Sink Matak recently met with leaders of the
National Assembly to seek their support for the gov-
ernment's economic stabilization program. Matak,
who was accompanied by his three deputy prime minis-
ters, stressed the need to combat inflation by rais-
ing taxes and by working with Saigon and Bangkok to
curb smuggling and thereby cut revenue losses. He
indicated he would need the assembly's help in ob-
taining another advance from the National Bank to
cover anticipated budget deficits. He also used the
occasion to quiet fears among the deputies that Wash-
ington and Peking might reach an Indochina settle-
ment that would be detrimental to Cambodia's inter-
ests.
The meeting was the government's first
serious effort in many months to consult
with the assembly and should be helpful
in getting the new economic reforms through
the assembly. It should also aid in dis-
pelling the notion that the government
holds the assembly in low esteem.
Matak's considerable skill in handling the re-
gime's critics and his ability to get things done
are putting Prime Minister Lon Nol in a less favor-
able light.
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NOTES
Malta: According to the British deputy high
commissioner in Valletta, Mintoff presented UK De-
fense Secretary Carrington with a selection of var-
'ious formulas offering certain rights and facili-
ties-in return for specific sums of money that could
total in excess of $35 million annually--more than
double the current level. A price was even set on
the UK's retaining veto power over third-country use
of Malta's airfields and harbors. Carrington's
statement on his return to London yesterday that the
British have alternatives to Maltese bases and fa-
cilities underlines the UK's position that there is
no urgent need for higher British payments. No date
has been set for a resumption of talks.
Panama: /?
/ The
government is seeking both to divert 'attention from
the recent-disappearance of . a. liberal priest in cir?
cumstances suggesting National Guard involvement and
to build up support on the overriding issue of canal
negotiations. The press has already exploited two
incidents involving Panamanian secondary schools and
students with trumped-up charges of provocation by
"imperialists."
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