THE PRESIDENT'S DAILY BRIEF 15 APRIL 1971

• Document Type: FOIA
• Collection: President's Daily Brief 1969-1977
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 0005992588
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 10
• Document Creation Date: August 14, 2016
• Document Release Date: August 24, 2016
• Publication Date: April 15, 1971

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The President's Daily Brief
15 April 1971
6
MT-32) 71'4--
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THE PRESIDENT'S DAILY BRIEF
15 April 1971
PRINCIPAL DEVELOPMENTS
Our assessment of the insurgency in Ceylon is
given on Page 1.
Developments in Pakistan are discussed on Page 2.
Soviet
(Page 3)
The USSR continues sea delivery of aircraft to Egypt.
(Page 4)
Allende yoices concern over Chile's mounting eco-
nomic problems. (Page 5)
Preparations are under way for a major Soviet space
event soon. (Page 6)
(Page 6)
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CEYLON
Some ten days after the outbreak of insurgency, our
assessment of the
situation is as follows. Government forces are dom-
inant in the cities, but the lack of trained man-
power continues to hinder government operations.
the army has only 2,000 men capable of carrying out
effective search-and-destroy operations. The army
cannot hold the countryside, and the insurgents,
after retreating to remote areas during the daylight
hours, are able to slip back into populated areas at
night and reoccupy positions. The military effort
is further hindered by Zack of strong leadership and
the refusal of senior officers to delegate authority.
Disorganization is rampant
Casualties are heavier among the insurgents than
among the security forces?several hundred insurgents
to about 80 government killed?and the arrival of
foreign supplied military equipment is helping troop
morale,.
Over the long run, as training requests are met,
experience in counterinsurgency operations develops,
and needed military hardware is obtained from abroad,
the government's effectiveness against the insurgents
should improve. The government will remain subject
to internal pressures, however. Prime Minister
Bandaranaike still retains the upper hand politi-
cally, but she is reported to be running into strong
opposition within her cabinet over her decision to
expel the North Koreans. A test of strength between
the prime minister and the more extreme left-wing
members of her government may be building.
So far the Ceylonese military has remained aloof
from politics, but the temptation to intervene,
either directly or on the side of some strongman,
would increase if Mrs. Bandaranaike's hold on the
government appeared shaky.
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COMPARATIVE AREA
WEST
PAKISTAN
S,
.Cooch tiehar
Parakk:
Sylhe
?
jRajshahi
EAS PAK
ga tala
Comilla
tKhuhia
?
Kartiophuli
Resertmir
Chittagong'
BAY ? OF BENGAL
BURMA
551 31 2?4?-71
20 BO
. MILES
. ...."
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PAKISTAN
It appears that government forces have been
able to move along main roads in the western part of
East Pakistan, but the Indians have word that heavy
rains are o. difficulties for o erations in the
east.
[the
Indian press reports that an army detachment has
reached Khulna.
The Indians feel that the provisional govern-
ment--whose members ?are still in India--has little
?
control over or conception of what is taking place
in East Pakistan. The Indians think there is no
well-defined, organized resistance in the province,
and no communication among the insurgent groups.
The Indians have urged the new cabinet to avoid
direct firefights and to organize guerrilla activi-
ties, but the political leaders have no command over
military forces. The BSF is passing out weapons on
the border to anyone who asks for them and is urging
extensive sabotage operations. ,Most such attempts
have done little damage; one of the few successes
was abridge blown up by BSF men.
According to the Indians, the Pakistani Army
is growing more confident and has the ability to
strike insurgents in any part of the province. Ben-
gali morale is deteriorating rapidly.
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USSR
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USSR-EGYPT
Between last September and March of this year,
66 MIG-21 and six MIG-17 jet fighter aircraft have
arrived in Alexandria on Soviet freighters. An ad-
ditional 13 MIG-21s as well as eight SU-7 fighter-
bombers are believed to have been delivered by sea
this month. Egypt has received some 120 late model
MIG-21s since they were first introduced in mid-1969.
Some of them are probably replacements
for older or locally modified MIG-21s.
Others could be used to flesh out Egypt's
existing MIG-21 squadrons and to replace
training and other losses./
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CHILE
Allende is concerned over Chile's mounting eco-
nomic problems, particularly the possibility of a
drastic drop in food production.
landowners have become
alarmed by the recent wave of illegal land seizures
and the way Agriculture Minister Chonchol has pur-
sued agrarian reform. Allende criticized Chonchol's
programs, calling them a political failure because
they had not won over those peasants who still back
the Christian Democratic Party of former President
Frei.
Concern over economic developments has also
been voiced by Finance Minister Zorilla, one of
several Communists holding top economic posts in
the administration. Zorilla recently warned that
the "economic cushion" of foreign reserves inherited
from the Frei government was beginning to wear thin
even before payments were made for increased food
imports. He noted that government expenditures were
excessive and resulted in part from populist economic
gestures that helped the government parties achieve
their good showing in the municipal elections earlier
this month.
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NOTES
USSR: Preparations are under way for a major
Soviet space event within the next week or so which
may involve the docking of two or more Soyuz space-
craft to form a rudimentary space station. (We last
noted signs of planning for such a space event in
The President's Daily Brief of 12 February.) Soviet
space support ships are moving toward stations which
have been used in the past to monitor manned Soyuz
space launches,
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Top Secret
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