THE PRESIDENT'S DAILY BRIEF 16 JANUARY 1971

• Document Type: FOIA
• Collection: President's Daily Brief 1969-1977
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 0005992427
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 7
• Document Creation Date: August 14, 2016
• Document Release Date: August 24, 2016
• Publication Date: January 16, 1971

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The President's Daily Brief
16 January 1971
49
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FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
THE PRESIDENT'S DAILY BRIEF
16 January 1971
PRINCIPAL DEVELOPMENTS
The South Vietnamese - led operation to open Route
4 in Cambodia has encountered some Communist oppo-
sition. (Page 1)
On Page 2 we discuss some indications that the ten-
member Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries
(OPEC) may have trouble maintaining a united front.
Israel's raid into Lebanon reflects its primary
emphasis on military security. (Page 3)
Brazilian security forces are still hoping to trap
the terrorist kidnapers. (Page 3)
The latest cease-fire in Jordan still seems to be
holding despite a clash ?yesterday. (Page 3)
FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
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CAMBODIA: Current Situation
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CAMBODIA
Advance elements of the South Vietnamese - led
column moving toward the Pich Nil pass on Route 4
from the south were ambushed on 14 January near
Stung Chhay, some 15 miles north of Veal Renh. The
task force north of Pich Nil, spearheaded by three
South Vietnamese marine battalions, is nearing the
eastern slope of the pass. This column has met no
serious opposition to date, although Vietnamese and
Cambodian elements are reporting harassment a few
miles from the pass.
It now appears that the Communists are
prepared to offer at least some resistance
to the South Vietnamese operation to open
Route 4. The attack on the southern task
force presumably was carried out by troops
from the North Vietnamese 101D Regiment,
which is in the vicinity. The small-scale
harassing actions against the northern
task force elements may be the work of
units subordinate to the North Vietnamese
1st Division. The 1st Division headquarters,
which was previously Located on a peak over-
looking the pass, has now moved east of the
pass and south of Route 4.
1
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INTERNATIONAL OIL
Several members of the Organization of Petroleum Ex-
porting Countries (OPEC) do not seem willing to risk
current earnings by making precipitous moves in their
effort to gain increased revenues from the oil com-
panies. Embassy discussions with Indonesian offi-
cials indicate that Indonesia is not likely to take
severe action against the oil companies. Represent-
atives of Iran and Saudi Arabia also give the impres-
sion that their governments are prepared to adopt a
flexible position to reach an accommodation. In
Iran, however, the Shah still insists that the com-
panies risk a shutdown of production if the oil con-
sortium's negotiators do not meet with OPEC by 19
January.
Libya and Algeria, in what appear to be closely co-
ordinated tactics, have been exerting the greatest
pressure during their respective dealings with the
oil companies and the French Government. They, and
possibly Iraq, may be willing to take more drastic
action to secure their demands.
An oil company, offer which could lead to a reopening
of negotiations is to be presented to all OPEC mem-
bers today. It is generally responsive to the OPEC
resolutions, but it specifically excludes negotia-
tions on several points included among the current
demands of Libya and Algeria, such as obligatory
reinvestment of oil company profits. The oil com-
panies may hope that their negotiating proposals
will further polarize radical and moderate members
of OPEC.
2
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NOTES
Israel-Lebanon: The Israeli commando raid yes-
terday against a fedayeen seaborne infiltration base
in Lebanon demonstrates that Israeli policy continues
to place military security above all other considera-
tions. The Israelis may well regard their operation
as justified by the threat of rocket attacks against
their coastal towns by fedayeen frogmen, although it
could also serve as a reminder to the Arabs generally
of Israel's capability to conduct surprise raids
against its neighbors' territories. The Lebanese
Government has been persuaded to limit its diplo-
matic reaction to a pro forma protest to the UN.
Brazil: Police in Rio de Janeiro still plan a
massive operation to hunt down Ambassador Bucher's
kidnapers even though the envoy has now been freed.
In addition,
Brazilian authorities suspect tnat tne uruguayan
Tupamaro kidnapers of Brazilian consul Gomide may
soon attempt to turn him over to Brazilian terror-
ists; as a result, tightened security measures have
been instituted at major airports and along major
highways and coastal areas offering access from
Uruguay.
Jordan:_ Palestinian commandos appear to be
moving out of the cities, including their strong-
holds in the north, on schedule, indicating that-
they are making more effort to honor the latest
cease-fire agreement than has been noted in the
past. Several fedayeen positions in one area of
the north were attacked by the Jordanian Army yes-
terday in retaliation for an ambush by followers
of some diehard fedayeen factions. Rather than
denouncing the army action, however, the fedayeen
central committee condemned the renegade commandos
and announced that they would be brought, before
fedayeen military justice.
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