THE PRESIDENT'S INTELLIGENCE CHECKLIST 5 APRIL 1962
Document Type:
Collection:
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST):
0005992284
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RIPPUB
Original Classification:
T
Document Page Count:
8
Document Creation Date:
September 16, 2015
Document Release Date:
September 16, 2015
Sequence Number:
Case Number:
Publication Date:
April 5, 1962
File:
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THE PRESIDENT'S
INTELLIGENCE CHECKLIST
5 APR. 1962
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1. West New Guinea
2. Syria
? a. Sukarno yesterday gave Jones
assurance of a temporary moratorium on
inflammatory words and deeds.
b. The Hague has reacted bitterly
to the Bunker formula, accusing the US
of appeasement.
c. Both De Quay and Luns stated
publicly yesterday that the Dutch would
not agree to a transfer of sovereignty
to the Indonesians in advance of a local
plebiscite.
a. Aleppo is again under nominal
Damascus control following the withdrawal
from the city, of the elements which staged
last Sunday's seizure.
b. The weak seams in the settlement
are still showing, however, with the
stresses particularly evident within
the military command in Damascus. Yester-
day, tanks were drawn up and sand bags ?
were erected around army headquarters
there.
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CAMBODIA
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3. Laos
4. Congo
a. Government forces at the town
of Muong Houn, west of Luang Prabang,
are under heavy pressure from rebel
elements and there are indications that
they have begun to pull out. This
looks like the first follow-up on
Souphannouvong's recent threat to re-
occupy several areas which he claims
to have controlled at the time of the 50X1
May 1961 cease fire.
c. Souphannouvong has admitted
that there are
two companies of Chinese Communist army
engineers in Phong Saly province be-
sides the Chinese laborers working on
the road there.
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b. Relations between the UN forces
and the Katangas remain uneasy.
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5. Moscow floats new test
inspection scheme
6. EEC developments
It has suggested indirectly
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it might accept a system allowing for
on-site inspections of unidentified
events on either side by representatives
of the non-aligned countries. With an
eye on our test resumption, the Soviets
may be able through this kind of device
to convince some of the non-aligned -
countries ?at Geneva that they are will-
ing to compromise on the international
vs. national inspection issue without
committing themselves to anything
formally.
a. Chances for progress in
filling a major gap in the EEC's
development--conflicting national
policies on energy resources--are
rated good. A conference on the
problem is now under way in Rome
amidst signs that the spur of US and
other non-EEC competition may bring
a compromise arrangement aimed at
reconciling the interests of coal-
producing, oil-marketing and fuel-
importing members.
b. The Community cleared another
difficult hurdle yesterday when the
6 agriculture ministers signed into
effect the agricultural agreement
worked out late last year.
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NOTES
A. About the only issue in the upcoming French referendum is
whether De Gaulle will succeed, as he intends, in representing
a heavy favorable vote as across-the-board approval of his
policies. The non-Gaullist parties are concentrating their
efforts on diluting this impression before-hand.
B. There is a move afoot among various neutralist delegations to
develop support for a special UN General Assembly session on
the question of test resumption.
C.
D.,
The Ecuadorian government is still looking for some student/
leftist reactiontothebreakwith Cuba but has so far encountered
no difficulties. Castro tried to stir things up in a speech in
the late hours yesterday in which he brands Arosemena a puppet
and a drunk.
F. The King of Nepal, professing awareness of the Chinese Communist
danger, says he would welcome our advice on dealing with it and
that he may soon ask the US for modern arms and ammunition. He
is likely to take a similar line with the Indians during his up-
coming state visit.
G. The creation of a provisional Angolan government under Holden
Roberto has just been announced in Leopoldville. The move had
been expected as a means of stemming recent gains by the Commu-
nist wing of the rebel movement.
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WATCH COMMITTEE CONCLUSIONS-74 April 1962
On the basis of findings by its Watch Committee, the United
States Intelligence Board concludes that:
No Sino-Soviiet bloc country intends deliberately to initiate
direct military action in the immediate future.
BERLIN: The focus of continuing Soviet harassing and probing
tactics against the Allied presence in Berlin may be shifting
temporarily to Western ground access and military liaison missions.
However, bloc military activity in general suggests that the Commu-
nists do not intend their actions to provoke military confrontation
in the immediate future.
LAOS: It is unlikely that either side will initiate a major
offensive in the immediate future. Communist forces, however, are
likely to initiate local actions to strengthen their military position.
SOUTH VIETNAM: 'Government forces are waging increasingly
aggressive antiguerrilla operations. The Viet Cong, however,
generally continue to avoid superior forces and to conOentrate upon
attacks which they believe are likely to succeed.
INDONESIA: Indonesian infiltration of West New Guinea territory
is likely to continue: Naval and air incidents will increase as the
Dutch patrol capabilities are enhanced by reinforcements.
MIDDLE EAST: The situation in the Middle East remains precarious,
but the Syrian crisis has reached a stage--for the moment at least--
which reduces the likelihood of early intervention by Egypt, Jordan,
or Israel. However, Israeli-Syrian clashes in the Lake Tiberias area
are likely to continue.
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II.
DOCUMENTS OF INTEREST
THE DIRECTOR OF CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE,
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