THE PRESIDENT'S DAILY BRIEF 25 NOVEMBER 1970

Document Type: 
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
0005977817
Release Decision: 
RIPPUB
Original Classification: 
T
Document Page Count: 
13
Document Creation Date: 
August 14, 2016
Document Release Date: 
August 24, 2016
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Case Number: 
Publication Date: 
November 25, 1970
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Etn E?9 emit LNI rows* emmt rift rot rit rot rot rat Declassified in in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A008900230001-4 The President's Daily Brief 25 November 1970 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A008900230001-4 50X1 j r-7-1 17 1 ?1 [7)-eiclassified in Part Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A008900230007-4-1 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY THE PRESIDENT'S DAILY BRIEF 25 November. 1970 PRINCIPAL DEVELOPMENTS 50X1 Yesterday SALT talks are discussed on Page 1. Guinea. (Page 2) 50X1 A Burmese official says that.0 Nu will initiate action against Ne Win's government early next year. (Page 3) North Vietnamese infiltration seems likely to total 20,000 for November. (Page 4) Hanoi is having problems with its propaganda re- sponse to the US air rescue effort. (Page 5) Communist China (Page 6) The Soviets orbited another unmanned spacecraft yesterday. (Page 5) Fedayeen groups are to meet today in Amman. (Page 6) The Soviet sub tender is back in Cienfuegos. (Page 7) Both Egypt and Israel are now conducting overflights? in the Suez Canal area. (Page 7) FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY 50X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A008900230001-4 f 1 f-1 f Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A00890023000'Wl FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY SALT At yesterday's session in Helsinki, Semenov continued to pick away at the US proposal of 4 Au- ? gust. He addressed some of the "corollary measures" suggested by the US to facilitate verification, and contended that these were unnecessarily stringent. The US plan, for example, would ban the relocation of land-based ICBM launchers and their modification in externally observable ways. Semenov argued that this would result in banning any modernization pro- grams which can be discovered and verified by "na- tional means." Semenov's commentary on the US proposal seems to be slowly grinding to a close. In private con- versations the Soviets have already raised the ques- tion of when to resume in Vienna after this Helsinki round. Two of the Russian delegates have let it be known they consider resumption before next spring to be unlikely. The Soviets are missing no opportunity to at- tack US unwillingness to discuss forward-based sys- tems (FBS), and show no signs of relenting. One of the Soviet delegates privately told Ambassador Par- sons yesterday that the US concern over Cuba showed Washington to be as sensitive to FBS as Moscow is. Last week Ambassador Dobrynin had put it bluntly when he told Ambassador Thompson that FBS seems to be the "main issue" at the SALT talks, and that the Soviet military has been particularly in- sistent that FBS be included in the discussions. Dobrynin was doubtful that agreements would be reached at Helsinki. 1 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A008900230001-4 r?n r r77-1 r?n r?n [7-1 r_ r Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A008900230001-4 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY GUINEA Activity in Conakry- began reverting to normal yesterday although scattered shooting persisted, apparently resulting from theefforts of government patrols to flush? out remnants of the invaders. It now-appears that some commandos remained on. shore for only a few hours and that the bulk of them re- turned to, their ships by the second day, although few were killed or captured. It seems increasingly likely that the in- vading force included both whites and natives of Portuguese Guinea hostile to the rebels there. Some of them are almost certainly still at large in Conakry, along with some of the non-Portuguese prisoners freed. 2 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A008900230001-4 50X1 50X1 50X1 [ Declassified in F'art - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP791100936A00890023000'r171 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY BURMA The Burmese military attache ?in Bangkok has told his American counterpart that exile forces of former prime minister U Nu-plan to begin military aCtion against the Ne Win regime.around the first' of the year. Military probes from Thai-bases-by a 1,000-man-force would be complemented by Karen and Mon tribal sympathizers living along the,Thai7Bur- mese border*. The attache-said'that Burma isready- ing its military forces along the border and.is con- fident of repelling any military adventures. He added that U.Nu's group is known to have made arms purchases recently, and he reiterated Burmese.knowl-. edge of Thai Government complicity in the ex - prime minister's activities. The Burmese obviously are getting more up- set about U Nu's campaign to unseat Ne Win, which to date has been a rather half- baked affair. Although U Nu has been buy- ing weapons, we have no evidence to con- firm the allegation that he plans to launch operations soon. Rangoon, although not worried about an early military threat, is concerned that the appearance of his forces inside Burma would increase his appeal to the disaffected Burmese populace. The purpose of the Burmese attach g in pass- ing this information may have been to discourage any US contacts with U Nu. AZ- though Rangoon has accepted US assurances of noninvolvement, some Burmese officials have been telling third parties that the opposite is true. The Rangoon press has noted Bangkok's association with the exile movement, and the Burmese may also hope that the attachg's remarks will get back to the Thai and discourage their support of U Nu. 3 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A008900230001-4 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A008900230001-4 North Vietnam: Infiltration Starts 40,000 30,000 20,000 10,000 - 1968 SVN, Total 240,800 =Km 1969 SVN, Total 84,600 1970 SVN, Cambodia, and Southern Laos 1970 total: 95,400 to 24 November JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC 1968 SVN 21,000 18,900 32,600 38,900 32,800 23,500 21,800 11,000 2,200 2,800 5,200 30,100 1969 SVN , 19,200 25,0.00 17,100 . 2,300 1,100 100 100 600 600 4,500 7,800 6,200 1970 SVN, Cambodia, and Southerdiaos 14,200 11,700 10,600 3,100 3,800 2,100 4,100 4,400 11,000 15,200 15,200" Southern Laos 600 - 700 700 900 700 3,300 10,200 3,400 2500 550595 11-70 CIA Totals for 1968 and 1969 include troops bound for South Vietnam only; those for 1970 include troops bound for South Vietnam, Southern Laos, and Cambodia. *to date r't F:9 171 f=1 f=1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A008900230001-4 50X1 r---1 I __Irn r-7-71 1-1 17=1 r-1 E-1 r="="1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A008900230001-4 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY NORTH VIETNAM Some 4,500 troops started southward during the past week, bringing the total being infiltrated so far in November to around 15,200. About 10,000 of these are going to the COSVN area which covers south- ern South Vietnam and Cambodia. Another 2,700 are earmarked for northern South Vietnam and 2,500 more-- including what appears to be an integral regiment-- are most likely en route to southern Laos. November infiltration will reach about 20,000 if the present rate continues This would be the highest monthly total since February 1969, when 25,000.set .out: 4 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A008900230001-4 rr-='=-1 [7-71 r- rr---_ Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A008900230001-4 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY NORTH VIETNAM A Foreign Ministry statement about the US op- eration to rescue captured airmen was ordered held in abeyance yesterday shortly after being transmitted to foreign outlets of the North Vietnamese news agency.. The statement, although calling Secretary Laird's disclosure a fabrication to cover widespread US, air raids well above the 19th parallel, was on the whole mild and lacking in threats of military retaliation or of a break in the Paris talks. The news agencies were ordered to await another state- ment, but no second statement is available and, as of early this morning, Hanoi, has not yet released the original Foreign Ministry response-. North Vietnam's international news service has, however, broadcast an unattributed commentary pub- lished today in the Communist.Party's daily news- paper. Like Hanoi's initial response to the air at- tacks, this commentary avoided the issue of whether a rescue effort had actually occurred and stated only that the US had attacked a prisoner of war in- stallation. The weekend raids were characterized as "extremely serious" but .no unusual reactions were threatened.. Delay in releasing a Foreign Ministry statement and the guarded approach to the rescue mission suggest that Hanoi has been having some difficulty in formulating an appropriate response. Hanoi's dilemma ap- parently stems from its desire to condemn the action without acknowledging that US forces were able to move in and out of North Vietnamese territory with impunity. FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A008900230001-4 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A008900230001-4 50X1' 550484 11-70 CIA Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A008900230001-4 50X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A008900230001-4 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY NOTES Communist China: USSR: An unmanned Soyuz spacecraft was orbited from ur. .41 - ? orning. labeled Cosmos 379 by TASS, / The purpose of this flight may be to test modifications to the spacecraft, possibly in.prepa- ration for a new phase of the Soyuz manned'space program: Fedayeen-Jordan: Representatives from various, Palestine commando organizations are scheduled to meet today in Amman to discuss the merger of all fedayeen groups into a single Palestine Liberation Front. The meeting has already been postponed once because of the disarray among fedayeen leaders/ (continued) 6 FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A008900230001-4 Li 50X1 50X1 50X1 50X1 50X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A008900230001-4 ? Egyptian and Israeli Reconnaissance Overflights 22-24 November .28? Strait of Tiran 30 550593 11-70 CIA MILES t IriF7-1 1,'1 F-1 F=9 r-1 11=9 C:=LI Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A008900230001-4 50X1 L Declassified in Part Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19: CIA-RDP79T00936A008900230001-4 ? FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY USSR-Cuba: The Soviet submarine tender returned to Cienfuegos yesterday afternoon following a five- day stay in the nearby port of Casilda. In the At- lantic, a Soviet guided-missile frigate and an oiler are 1,300 miles southwest of the Azores, headed to- ward the Caribbean. a Soviet C-class nuclear attack submarine may be ac? companying these two ships. Egypt-Israel: Egyptian reconnaissance flights over the east bank of the Suez Canal were conducted on 22 and 23 November for the first time since the cease-fire began in early August. These missions have elicited Israeli complaints of cease-fire vio- lations despite the fact that the Israelis conduct fairly regular overflights of Egyptian territory-- the most recent of which occurred yesterday. FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A008900230001-4 50X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A008900230001-4 Top Secret Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00936A008900230001-4