THE PRESIDENT'S DAILY BRIEF 7 NOVEMBER 1970
Document Type:
Collection:
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST):
0005977784
Release Decision:
RIPPUB
Original Classification:
T
Document Page Count:
12
Document Creation Date:
August 14, 2016
Document Release Date:
August 24, 2016
Sequence Number:
Case Number:
Publication Date:
November 7, 1970
File:
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Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/06/14 : CIA-RDP79T00936A008900070001-2
The President's Daily Brief
7 November 1970
47
Top Secret
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/06/14 : CIA-RDP79T00936A008900070001-2
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FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
THE PRESIDENT'S DAILY BRIEF
7 November 1970
PRINCIPAL DEVELOPMENTS
Soviet/
/Page 1.
Thieu's claim that 97 percent of the population is
under government control is being challenged
(Page 2)
Husayn has made numerous personnel changes which
reflect his intent of maintaining a tough policy to
keep order. (Page 3)
The Soviet submarine tender and rescue tug have
headed west along the coast of Haiti, but their des-
tination is still unclear. (Page 4)
Suslov's October Anniversary speech is discussed on
Page 6.
Peking has sent a comparatively conciliatory October
Anniversary message to the Soviets. (Page 6)
The power struggle in Iraq between the military and
civilian wings of the Baath Party appears to be con-
tinuing. (Page 7)
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USSR
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SOUTH VIETNAM
President Thieu!s recent.. public claim that 97
percent of the population is now, under government
control is being challenged/
Although there has clearly been substan-
tial government progress in securing much
of the countryside from the enemy during
the past two years, there have been
reports of inflated statistics from a
number of other provinces along the cen-
tral coast and in the delta. Such reports,
and Thieuts own claims, suggest that the
tendency of the Vietnamese to distort
reality in attempting to quantify progress
persists and may even increase as Viet-
namization advances. Local officials
often feel under pressure to provide fig-
ures showing progress in order to protect
their careers.
The latest Hamlet Evaluation System fig-
ures show that in September 92.7 percent
of the population was living in conditions
of relative security, and about 79 percent
under, fairly firm 'government control. The
comparable figures for Quang Nam are. ap-
proximately 90 percent and 72 percent.
Even the most sophisticated statistics on
pacification provide only rough measures
of progress. and must be viewed with some
reservations.
2
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JORDAN
Husayn has followed his appointment of the Wasfi
Tal cabinet with numerous other personnel changes.
New commanders have been named for each of the army's
four combat divisions and its one independent brigade.
Former chief of general intelligence Badran, removed
last June in response to fedayeen demands, has been
appointed to the royal court, and a brother of Wasfi
Tal is the new royal secretary. . Large-scale changes
have been made among provincial administrators and
senior-level police officers.
Husayn obviously, is ignoring fedayeen
opposition which followed his formation
of the strong Wasfi Tal cabinet last week.
The new appointments reflect the King's
intent of maintaining a tough policy to
keep order. For many, of the appointments
Husayn has drawn heavily on personnel
clearly loyal to him.
The King is counting on firm support among
East Bank Jordanians if the fedayeen mount
a serious challenge to his present policies.
There is growing evidence of Jordanian chau-
vinism among East Bankers in the army. This
apparently has been fanned by their discovery
in September that the fedayeen were at least'
as willing to fight and even destroy the Jor-
danian Government as they were to attack
Israel.
3
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Track of Soviet Submarine Tender and Rescue Tug
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GULF OF MEXICO
12 Oct
Mariel
15-31 Oct
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5 Nov
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USSR-CUBA
The submarine tender and rescue tug, the only
remaining units of the seven-ship Soviet task force
which arrived in Cienfuegos on 9 and 10 September,
headed west yesterday along the coast of Haiti after
entering the Caribbean through the Mona Passage. They
had visited the Cuban naval port of Mariel, just west-
of Havana, from 15 to 31 October.
Although he movement of
other Sov-i,ec. naual, urvi.t,e suggest that the
submarine tender and rescue tug may head
for the Mediterranean, they could also
call at Cienfuegos or another Caribbean
port. Soviet naval units making previous
naval visits to Cuba have lingered in the
area before returning to Soviet waters.
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FRANCE
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NOTES
USSR: Suslov's October Anniversary speech yes-
terday was a customary panegyric to Soviet economic
successes, containing claims that most aspects of
the current five-year plan will be fulfilled and
that this year's grain harvest is the largest in So-
viet history. He omitted mention of the status of
the next five-year plan, however, indicating that
major problems over resource allocation still exist.
On foreign policy, Suslov mixed conciliatory ges-
tures with calls for vigilance against forces which
threaten the prospects for accommodation in major
trouble spots. His most interesting comments were
on Germany. He called the Soviet - West German
treaty a "foundation" for improved relations with
Bonn and the rest of Europe, but warned that "in-
fluential reactionary forces" were threatening rat-
ification. Other recent Soviet pronouncements on
the treaty have been more positive, which may indi-
cate Moscow is increasingly concerned about the du-
rability of Brandt's coalition or that the leader-
ship as a whole prefers a more guarded, and perhaps
less forthcoming approach to Bonn.
1. Communist China - USSR: Peking's message on
the occasion of the 53rd anniversary of the October
revolution extends "warm congratulations" to the So-
viet people, but--unlike last year--asserts that
"differences of principle" should not hinder normal
state relations between the two countries. The mes-
sage, addressed to the Soviet Government but not
the party, adds that "effective measures" based on
the principles of peaceful coexistence to settle
"important outstanding questions in state relations"
are in the best interests of all concerned. This
is the line the Chinese adopted just prior to the
opening of the Peking talks. They may be repeating
it at this time because they are anxious to avoid
being branded "obstructionists" by Moscow, which
has been stressing its "conciliatory" attitude in
public in recent months. It is unlikely that the
message reflects any significant forward movement
at the stalemated Peking talks.
(continued)
6
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FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
Iraq: The power struggle between the military
and civilian wings of the Baath Party appears to be
continuing. Saddam Tikriti, deputy chairman of the
Revolutionary Command Council and leader of the ci-
vilian wing of the party, apparently has the upper
hand at the moment)
7
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