THE PRESIDENT'S DAILY BRIEF 16 NOVEMBER 1965

• Document Type: FOIA
• Collection: President's Daily Brief 1961-1969
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 0005967999
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 7
• Document Creation Date: September 16, 2015
• Document Release Date: September 16, 2015
• Publication Date: November 16, 1965

Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A004100160001-4
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
THE PRESIDENT'S
DAILY BRIEF
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16 NOVEMBER 1965
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DAILY BRIEF
16 NOVEMBER 1965
1. Rhodesia
2. Indonesia
The United Nations is still dead-
locked over the Rhodesian issue.
The Ivory Coast, however, has drafted
a new compromise resolution. It urges
Britain to put down the rebellion and
asks all governments to break diplomatic
and economic relations. It also calls
for an oil embargo. Britain may go along
with this compromise in order to avoid
a stronger statement calling for force.
In Salisbury, the situation is
quiet. Smith's main problem at this
point is how to handle the former Brit-
ish governor, Sir Humphrey Gibbs. The
governor has considerable personal popu-
larity in Rhodesia and he refuses to re-
sign. If he continues his "sit in,"
Smith may have to resort to force before
the issue presents a threat to the loy-
alty of the military establishment.
Sukarno has given in to army pres-
sure and authorized a purge in the gov-
ernment.
? This came out in the form of a presi-
dential order today calling for the ouster
of all government personnel involved in
the 30 September movement. General Nasu-
tion put out a similar order yesterday
applicable to the armed forces.
This latest move represents a con-
siderable psychological gain for the
military leaders. While they already
had been engaged in a clean-up of the
government, this is the first time that
they were able to get Sukarno's formal
approval.
Another mass rally against the Com-
munists is scheduled for tomorrow in
Djakarta.
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3. Communist China
4. Communist China
5. France
The Chinese have reportedly con-
cluded another agreement for the pur-
chase of grain, but they will need still
more to meet their 1966 requirements.
The latest deal for some 1.5 mil-
lion tons is with Argentina. Earlier,
Peking contracted for two million tons
from Canada to be delivered between mid-
1965 and mid-1966. Another half million
tons will come from Australia.
Since the Chinese will apparently
need to import about six million tons
next year, they will probably begin
canvassing the more expensive markets--
such as France--to make up the differ-
ence. These imports form a small, but
significant, part of China's overall
food position, which is examined in the
Annex today.
The French will probably attempt to
launch their first satellite this week-
end or early next week.
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6. Pakistan
7. Vietnam
Pakistan may have received a lim-
ited amount of military aid from Indo-
nesia.
The battle near Plei Me continues
to take a heavy toll of North Vietnamese
Army personnel who had been infiltrated
into the south. The latest confirmed
count of Communist dead in this fighting
is 869, but the actual number is probably
considerably higher.
Growing morale problems among Viet
Cong supporters in at least one area of
South Vietnam came to light in a recently
captured document. Nearly half the mem-
bers of a 240-man Viet Cong labor group
had defected due to "poor indoctrination"
which had left them without "proper mo-
tivation."
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ANNEX
Communist China's Food Position
China's collectivized agriculture is still
demonstrably unable to provide sufficient food for
its growing population. The grain harvest this
year probably will not differ significantly from
last year's mediocre harvest. We estimate that it
will only come to 170-175 million tons. To reach
even this poor level of grain output Peking had to
use cotton and oilseed acreage, thus reducing pro-
duction of these necessities.
The population continues to grow at better than
2 percent, or more than 15,000,000, a year. Since
grain production has failed to increase, Peking's
supply position in rice and wheat will inevitably
be worse in the coming months than it was last winter.
Part of the decline in grain availabilities can
again be made up by an increase in the supply of sub-
sidiary foods such as vegetables and meat. Such
foods are raised largely from the peasants' private
plots and represent time and effort away from the
collective fields where vital grain crops are grAn.
From all food sources, the average Chinese should
have available to him about 1,900 calories per day
over the next year. This is substantially below the
1957-1958 levels, considered the last normal food
years the Chinese have enjoyed.
The longer term outlook is no better. During
the next five years China will be hard pressed to
obtain substantial increases in food from private
plots unless, as seems unlikely, the leadership is
willing to shift land from collective fields. The
increases in food output necessary to keep even
roughly in pace with population growth will thus
have to be obtained by in some way lifting grain out-
put and by continued large-scale imports.
(Cont' d)
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ANNEX Cont'd)
The Chinese are just now starting to approach
?this problem from the other side. They have launched
a birth control campaign in urban areas. However,
the campaign has scarcely begun in rural China where
the real problem lies. In any case, it will take
years of intensive and successful effort before a
meaningful decrease in population growth can be
achieved.
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