THE PRESIDENT'S DAILY BRIEF 1 JULY 1965

• Document Type: FOIA
• Collection: President's Daily Brief 1961-1969
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 0005967760
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 9
• Document Creation Date: September 16, 2015
• Document Release Date: September 16, 2015
• Publication Date: July 1, 1965

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CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
THE PRESIDENT'S
DAILY BRIEF
1 JULY 1965
TOP SECRET
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DAILY BRIEF
1 JULY 1965
1. Communist China
2. North Vietnam
3. South Vietnam
Analysis of intercepted Chinese Com-
munist radio traffic is showing what may
be the beginning of a major military lo-
gistics buildup in South China along the
principal road and rail axis to North
Vietnam. There is now evidence of the
establishment of a senior logistics com-
mand as well as the arrival of a military
railway engineer division from Central
China
In addition, intercepts indicate
that skilled workers are being recruited
elsewhere for military construction proj-
ects in this general area.
There is insufficient evidence so
far to determine whether this foreshadows
a buildup in combat units nearer the bor-
der or whether it is largely to facili-
tate the flow of supplies.
Intercepts indicate a flurry of
preparations apparently directed at up-
ping the readiness of North Vietnamese
naval vessels, which have for several
months been under orders to stay out of
harm's way. What operations may be in-
tended cannot yet be'determined, but sev-
eral motor gunboats are apparently to be
deployed in southern North-Vietnamese
waters for the first time since March.
US air attacks on northwestern North
Vietnam have apparently resulted in a
cessation of flight activity affecting
at least two airfields there. ?
A radiobroadcast from Hanoi today
made it clear that the Commonwealth
peace mission would not be received so
long as it was under British aegis.
While Hanoi avoided criticizing the Af-
rican members, there was no clear indi-
cation it would receive a reconstituted
delegation.
Premier Ky reportedly wants to re-
tire summarily some 22 senior officers.
While there is considerable redundancy
in the upper ranks, a move to sweep out
such a large number could disrupt opera-
tions and upset the religious balance.
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4. Berlin
5. USSR
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The East Germans apparently 50X1
intend to keep up their pressures toward
sovereignty. They have announced plans
for several demonstration flights over
East Berlin on 3 and 4 July.
They have also announced a program
to improve "border fortifications" around
West Berlin. This probably means ?a re-
sumption of the massive ditch construc-
tion begun last winter and suspended
in early March after six miles had been
dug.
There are signs in Moscow of some
dispute over and preoccupation with do-
mestic economic policy--little hard evi-
dence, but rumors are .abundant.
A party central committee meeting
to set policy on economic reforms may
have been put off from June or July to
August or September. This undoubtedly
reflects the complexity of the economic
problems facing the leaders and their
difficulties in reaching agreement on
basic issues.
These issues include experimentation
with a market-oriented economy as well
?as the relative weight to be given con-
sumer goods and heavy and military in-
dustrial products. The latter may be
bound up in different assessments at
the top as to the direction the general
international situation is taking.. In-
herent in all this is below-the-surface
political maneuvering for power at the
top.
The party as a whole could be sched-
uled for an overhauling, perhaps a return
to the concept of the party as a small
governing elite, at its next Congress
later this year or early next. Last
week, the party boss of Georgia blasted
the rapid expansion of the party under
Khrushchev and cited Stalin to the effect
that the party "should be open only for
the tested." (Between 1956 and 1965,
party membership jumped from 7.2 million
to 11.8. million.)
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6. USSR
7. Iraq
So-
viet emphasis on the development of a
comprehensive civil defense organization
is paralleled by the stature of those
in charge. Since late 1964 or early
1965, Marshal Chuykov, a deputy minister
of defense, has had this as his sole job,
with the staff assistance of at least
three generals in the central headquarters
alone. A fuller description is at An-
nex.
Several pro-Egyptian government of-
ficials have resigned in an apparent ef-
fort to force a showdown with President
Arif.
They probably hope that Arif--who
has allied himself with Iraq's anti-
Nasirists--will back down to avoid stir-
ring up latent pro-Nasirist feeling in
the armed forces. Arif may also be
frightened by the prospect that Nasir
may take a personal hand in the dispute.
Nasir's reaction to all this is
difficult to predict. If the Iraqi
Nasirists fail, his prestige in the
Arab world will suffer yet another blow.
If he intervenes against Arif, however,
his success is by no means certain, and
failure would be even more damaging.
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8. Dominican Republic
The committee of the Organization
of American States has presented a draft
institutional act to the rebels. It
will probably be generally acceptable
to the Caamano group but is likely to be
resisted by Imbert and by the Santiago
group backing Godoy.
There are more signs of deteriora-
tion in the rebel camp. Latin American
embassies in Santo Domingo, which have
been granting asylum to a number of non-
Communist rebel defectors, are now being
approached by members of the 14th of
June political group who also want asy-
lum.
Balaguer will apparently defy Im-
bert -by refusing to leave at the end of
the week. There is speculation that a
crisis may be brewing over this matter.
Balaguer is relying on his strong per-
sonal support among key military leaders
as well as among the general public.
Bosch, in a recent interview with
a Newsweek correspondent, has said that
he would not be a candidate when elec-
tions are held and that there was no pos-
sibility that he would change his mind.
In the past, however, he has often re-
versed his stand after making such cate-
gorical statements. Bosch is telling
his Dominican Revolutionary Party not
to support a provisional government.
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ANNEX
Civil Defense in the Soviet Union
In early 1960, Soviet civil defense, up to then
a responsibility of the Ministry of Internal Affairs,
was turned over to the Ministry of Defense. In 1961.
it was reorganized to give control essentially to
the military and staffed in at least the key posi-
tions by military personnel.
This changeover was probably related to a reas-
sessment by the Soviets of the effect of nuclear
weapons on their defense plans, which took place at
about the same time.
Much time and effort has gone into the civil
defense program, both in the construction of facili-
ties and the training of specialized personnel as
well as the general public. Most of our informa-
tion comes from the Soviet press
the net impression is that much basic work has been
done.
The key officers in each civil defense staff,
in Moscow and in the many subordinate headquarters,
are military, but they control numerous civil com-
ponents ranging from specialized teams to the or-
ganizations, according to the Soviets, "now created
in all enterprises, industrial centers, in urban and
rural areas."
(Cont' d)
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ANNEX (Cont'd)
Civil defense training is, and has been, given
in required courses to the zeneral nublic, and there
are civil de-
fense exercises affecting entire urban areas
Soviet doctrine has changed over the years and
now calls for evacuation of about half the popula-
tion of urban areas, with the rest staying in place
in permanent and hasty shelters. Although the So-
viets see a universal need for fallout shelters, the
status of their shelter program is difficult to as-
certain, particularly as emphasis has fluctuated
over the years. Many buildings, however, are known
to have shelters and the subways are specially
equipped.
Soviet leaders appear far from satisfied with
the program as it now stands. Marshal Chuykov has
acknowledged or implied gaps in staff work, train-
ing, supply,and shelter preparation. He called for
new and greater gains this year rather than for the
completion of civil defense preparations. Clearly,
he does not expect to attain combat readiness dur-
ing 1965.
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