THE PRESIDENT'S DAILY BRIEF 10 DECEMBER 1964

• Document Type: FOIA
• Collection: President's Daily Brief 1961-1969
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 0005967414
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 5
• Document Creation Date: September 16, 2015
• Document Release Date: September 16, 2015
• Publication Date: December 10, 1964

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CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
THE PRESIDENT'S
DAILY BRIEF
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10 DECEMBER 1964
TOT'-aEG-IR-EZ_
23
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SELECTED (OFFICIAL) SOVIET ECONOMIC DATA FOR 1964 AND 1965
Percentage Increases Over the Output of the Previous Year
Data for 1965 are Soviet scheduled increases over 1964 output. Data
for 1964, for the most part, are increases scheduled for 1964 and est-
imated from Soviet 1965 goals that were promulgated in 1963.
1964
641210
Industrial Production
Group A (Capital Goods)
Group B (Consumer Goods)
Chemical Industry
Fertilizer
Plastics & Resins
Cellulose
Paper
Electric Power
7.8
8.2
6.5
16.6
28
28.5
15.8
14.0
9.7
Natural Gas 20
Crude Oil 7.7
Metallurgy (Stee , 4.7) X
Machine Building & 10
Metal Working
Refrigerators 40.6
Housing 0
Freight Turnover 7.3
X- Not Available.
1965
8.1
8.2
7.7
About 15
31
28
20 -
12
12.5
11
combined figure,
gas & oil)
6.0
9.0
76
9
7.1
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ROUTE 7-NORTH VIETNAM AND LAOS
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45252 6-64
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DAILY BRIEF
10 DECEMBER 1964
1. Congo
2, Cuba
3. USSR
4. Laos
5. Communist China
6. Indonesia
US and Belgian officials in Leo-
poldville are concerned about the de-
cline of Tshombe's military assets
while outside aid to the rebels is on
the rise. The morale of the mercenaries
is slipping; some are leaving, and their
chief, Major Hoare, is rumored about to
be fired. Some Belgian military advis-
ors, including Van Der Walle, may be
pulled out before long.
A discussion of the available evi-
dence on strife within the Castro re-
gime is at Annex.
The 1965 budget and plan announced
yesterday indicate that long-term growth
goals in investment and industrial pro-
duction will not be met. The military
budget is down a little on paper, but
this is not a reliable indication that
actual military spending will be cut.
Kosygin's advocacy of a system of con-
sumer contracts throughout the economy--
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which some liberal Soviet economists
have been recommending for years--is,
however, highly significant. (See chart).
Government forces are now getting
Air support and have renewed their at-
tack on Phou Kout. Bad weather and stif-
fened Pathet Lao resistance had stalled
the offensive for the past few days.
Government troons have also reoccupied
the positions abandoned near Thakhek
last week when Pathet Lao forces cut
Route 13. (Map)
The head of US Rubber in Indonesia
Said this morning that he had been re-
liably informed that an attempt to take
over both US and Belgian enterprises
would be made this month. The embassy
had heard from another source that the
government had recently decided to en-
Courage labor strikes and protests as
an excuse for taking over all American
rubber estates.
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ANNEX
An Assessment of the Evidence Concerning
Unrest in Havana
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The ouster of Cuban labor minister Martinez
Sanchez and his attempted suicide on Tuesday took
place after nearly a month of rumors that serious
divisions have developed among Cuban leaders. These
rumors have included dramatic stories of a plot to
oust Fidel Castro and accounts of a basic policy
split between Fidel Castro and President Dorticos.
We are inclined to doubt these tales.
On present evidence, we strongly
doubt that Fidel Castro's personal predominance in '
the regime is being challenged.
Fidel Castro and other Cuban leaders are seri-
ously concerned over the intractable economic prob-
lems besetting them, and their anxiety about these
basic problems could easily explain the rumored "ten-
sion" in Havana. Thus, the tardy Cuban recognition,
last summer,, of the gravity of their exchange prob-
lem led to the dismissal of the ministers of economy
and foreign trade. The ouster of Martinez Sanchez
this week came after growing public attention to
the problem of low labor productivity, which has
long plagued the regime. Further ministerial changes
may be imminent in the regime's continuing effort
to make the "socialist" system work.
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