THE PRESIDENT'S INTELLIGENCE REVIEW 31 OCTOBER-NOVEMBER 3 1964

• Document Type: FOIA
• Collection: President's Daily Brief 1961-1969
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 0005959523
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 11
• Document Creation Date: September 16, 2015
• Document Release Date: September 16, 2015
• Publication Date: November 3, 1964

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THE PRESIDENT'S
INTELLIGENCE REVIEW
ISSUED BY THE
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
31 OCTOBER - 3 NOVEMBER 1964
Tar-S-E?GREL
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1.
3 November 1964
Vietnam: Viet Cong and North Vietnamese
propaganda portrays Saturday's Bien Hoa attack
as a major victory. It stresses Viet Cong abil-
ity to take direct action against the US mili-
tary establishment in South Vietnam. Hanoi
claims that many other "brilliant victories"
will follow.
This may suggest a forthcoming period of
generally intensified enemy activity. So far,
however, no new significant Viet Cong military
activity has been reported.
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2 Laos:
The Communist buildup in the Plaine des
Jarres and in the Xieng Khouang area goes on,
and we still look for a step-up in enemy pres-
sures.
On Friday, a Communist probing action
was reported some 12 miles south of Xieng
Khouang in an area where government forces
have made substantial advances in recent
months. Goverment forces have initiated a
clearing action east of Savannakhet in south
Laos.
3. Communist China - Vietnam: The Chinese
appear still to be strengthening their air
defenses in South China and the Vietnamese
border area by moving in units from the
north.
(Cont 'd)
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COMMUNIST CHINA
HONG KONG (U.K.)
MACAO
c; (Port.)
SOUTH
CHINA
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4. Indonesia: All but a few of the Indonesians
who landed on Malaya's west coast last Thursday
have been rounded up.
The British and Malaysians have announced
they sent aircraft over Indonesia Monday to
drop leaflets the Tunku hopes will discourage
future Indonesian incursions.
However, Indonesia's "Heroes Day" is on
11 November, and Djakarta could be planning
something to celebrate it. Sukarno may be
home by then.
5 Bolivia (As of 1500 EDT, 3 November):
Barrientos launched his move Tuesday
with a revolt of military elements, and he
has called for Paz' resignation. Civil war
threatens.
(Cont 'd)
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Forces loyal to Paz at last report were
controlling the capital after putting down one
mutiny, and pro-Paz campesinos were being
summoned there. However, a "rebel army" under
Barrientos is in control of Cochabamba,and his
Indian adherents were reportedly gathering
nearby. Demonstrations against the govern-
ment were expected in Santa Cruz.
6. Congo: The "Van der Walle" plan was
set in motionSunday. A column, spearheaded
by 120 mercenaries and possibly accompanied by
a Belgian logistics team, _began moving from
the south toward rebel-held Kindu.
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7. Western Europe: Belgian Foreign Minister
Spaak, who saw De Gaulle last Thursday, feels
that the European integration movement, the
Kennedy Round, and "indeed the Atlantic al-
liance" are all in "very grave danger."
De Gaulle seemed to be fatalistically re-
signed to their deterioration. He made no
bones of his violent opposition to MLF and even
implied that France might withdraw from NATO
if it were implemented.
Spaak, who wants to go over this ground
in Washington next week, also fears that grow-
ing French hostility to West Germany could
lead to some French agreement with the Soviets
aimed in part at Germany.
On the latter point, however, Ambassador
Bohlen commented last Friday from Paris that
he could find no present evidence of a French-
Soviet "deal."
De Gaulle may soon decide on his precise
tactics in opposing MLF. A sensitive source
of the US Embassy in Paris says the decision
will emerge from a highly secret meeting of
key cabinet ministers called for 20 November.
The question is, according to the source,
how France will try to scuttle the MLF.
(Cont'd)
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Another sensitive source, however, says
that De Gaulle believes that an MLF agreement
excluding France would free France to follow
an independent policy of purely national inter-
est and that Ge Gaulle is, therefore, looking
forward to a confrontation over the issue.
A confrontation of sorts could arise over
integration next week. There is one report
that French Foreign Minister Couve de Murville
intends to raise the grain price issue at the
11 November EEC Council of Ministers meeting.
A German refusal to discuss it might trigger
some dramatic French action.
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9. USSR - Communist China77
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10. Mozambique: Insurgency in Mozambique
may soon be mounting.
(Cont 'd)
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11.
Nyerere of neighboring Tanzania says that
military action in Mozambique is only just be-
ginning. An African source of our consulate
general in Lourenco Marques talks of a wave
of bombings in the cities during November.
rived by
training
may also
Frelimo "freedom fighters" ar-
air last week in Dar-es-Salaam from
in Algeria. Algerian arms shipments
be involved.
A Soviet ship unloaded some military mate-
riel in Dar-es-Salaam on Friday. These arms
are probably intended for Tanzanian forces,
but we suspect that some will be sent on to the
Mozambique nationalists.
Panama: The Communists, as expected, are
planning an incident for 4 November, Panama's
national flag day.
Local security forces have been informed.
12. Sudan: The neutralist cast of the initial
pronouncements of the new regime do not augur
well for its attitude toward Western interests
in Africa and the Middle East,such as the Congo
and overflight rights. Communists hold three,
possibly four cabinet seats and represent the
only cohesive bloc in the regime. The army
is back in its barracks. It appears to retain
the balance of power, but its leadership may
currently be divided.
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13.
14.
Yemen - UAR - Saudi Arabia: Yemeni royalist
and republican delegations are now meeting in'
the Sudan, along with Saudi and Egyptian observ-
ers. They apparently hope to arrange a cease-
fire and a conference to determine the nature
of a new Yemeni government.
the Egyptians want As quickly
as possible to reduce their commitment in Yemen,
which, he says, is the major cause of Egypt's
current economic difficulties.
The fighting, meanwhile, goes on.
Cuba
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