THE PRESIDENT'S INTELLIGENCE REVIEW 30 SEPTEMBER-2 OCTOBER 1964

• Document Type: FOIA
• Collection: President's Daily Brief 1961-1969
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 0005959461
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 11
• Document Creation Date: September 16, 2015
• Document Release Date: September 16, 2015
• Publication Date: October 2, 1964

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THE PRESIDENT'S
INTELLIGENCE REVIEW
ISSUED:BY THE
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
30 SEPTEMBER - 2 OCTOBER 1964
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South. Vietnam: Khanh, continuing to give
ground before the young generals who saved his
skin on 13 September, has accepted resignations
from or agreed to send abroad several more
officers black-balled by the young generals.
In return the latter are supposed to have pledged
Khanh their support.
If Khanh can make these moves stick and if
the young generals back him, he might be able
to stagger through until a civilian government
takes over on 1 November. Khanh is now even
hinting that he could be prevailed upon to re-
sign from the army and stay on as premier.
Minh, according to Ambassador Taylor, is
for once really pitching in and working on the
formation of the civilian regime.
So far Khanh has proceeded cautiously in 50X1
the case of the Rhade tribesmen.
Viet Cong harassing activity in the country-
side has remained at a high level for the past
few days.
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2. Cyprus: It does not look as if Makarios
will be getting all that he wanted from the
USSR.
The communique issued after the Moscow
talks refers rather vaguely to "practical meas-
ures" of Soviet assistance, but avoids a public
military commitment.
A first rate .diplomatic row has been
kicked up concerning the rotation of the Turk-
ish contingent on Cyprus and the opening of
the Nicosia-Kyrenia road. Turkey refuses to
link the two. Makarios says that the road
must be opened before he will permit the rota-
tion. Intervention by top UN officials has
only clouded the issue.
This could lead to more trouble. The
Turks are saying once again that they will pro-
ceed with the rotation. Makarios says he will
resist it with force.
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3. Indonesia-Malavsia.
_JSukarno has called off Indonesian
operations against Malaysia as a smokescreen.
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4.
Congo: There has
been little change in
the military situation.
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Rebel bands remain
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in the area, but government defenses seem in
good order.
the US officials:An
rebel-held Stanleyville were roughed up a bit
when the city fell. They are all right now,
though under tight restraint.
(Cont'd)
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The Red Cross plane is in Burundi awaiting
an OK from Stanleyville for another flight.
Rebel "President" Gbenye is said to be drawing
up a list of priority evacuees. We doubt that
the American officials will be on it as long
as the rebels fear air Attacks
Although Tshombe has not made a public
declaration that he will lay off, he in fact
has no aircraft under his control capable of
raiding Stanleyville.
Tshombe, though uninvited, still intends
to put in an appearance at the nonaligned con-
ference in Cairo next week.
5. Cuban Potpourri: We have heard that when
the present Mexican ambassador in Havana retires
some time this month or next, there will be no
replacement. This would have the effect of
downgrading relations between Mexico and Cuba.
Castro's Navy has begun escorting Cuban
merchantmen nearing Cuba, presumably as a
result of the Sierra de Aranzazu incident.
(Cont 'd)
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Deliveries to Cuba in Free World ships
were about 450,000 tons greater in the first
eight months this year than in the same period
last year. Food, fertilizer and petroleum
accounted for most of the increase.
tary goods arrived from the USSR.
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6. Communist China - Africa: Communist China
has been assiduously courting new African states
with traveling circuses, acrobatic troupes, and
hard-headed offers of cash in return for recog-
nition.
Senegal and the Central African Republic
have succumbed. Dahomey and Cameroon may soon
follow.
These successes of course will affect the
representation vote in the upcoming General
Assembly. The Chinese probably calculate, as
do others, that the shift of a few votes could
give them a bare majority in a straight vote.
This would not get Peiping into the UN,
but it might provoke Chiang into pulling out.
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7. Ecuador: Quayaquil is under martial law
in the wake of this week's riots, and the situ-
ation remains explosive.
? Local Communists, "revolutionary" youth
and supporters of deposed President Arosemena
have tried to seize on public outrage ata new
centralized tax program to stir up-trouble and,
perhaps, force a change in Quito.
The junta has responded by making a num-
ber of arrests and closing down the city's
schools. They have also silenced Quayaquil
radio stations and warned papers not to print
anything that might "aggravate the situation."
8. Chile: President-elect Frei intends to
establish diplomaticrelations with the USSR,
but not with Communist China or East Germany.
9. Laos: Souvanna Phouma is convinced that
the Communists intend to start a maior mili-
tary move soon.
(Cont'd)
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Meanwhile, there are rumors that right-
wing generals are once again talking about a
possible coup in Vientiane.
10. UAR - Yemen - Saudi Arabia
11.
USSR: Long concerned over their shrink-
ing gold reserves, the Soviets are finally
diverting to gold mining investment funds from
other extractive industries. Production next
year may be up by 10% to around $210-215 million.
However, Moscow still seems hesitant to
invest to the extent needed to obtain a signif-
icant growth in production.
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12. Libya: With the death of security chief
Bu Quwaitin, King Idris loses one of the major
props of his regime.
His departure will add to the regime's
difficulties in dealing with the ferment which
has followed the arrest, just before next week's
election, of a large batch of antiregime and
pro-Egyptian figures.
13. , Nonaligned Conference: Some 50 chiefs of
state or their representatives will be in Cairo
Monday for the opening, of the second nonaligned
conference. This is almost double the number
that attended the first such conference in
Belgrade three years ago.
While most of these will be riding their
own pet international hobbyhorses, we expect
the conference to pass resolutions less favor-
able to Western than to Soviet interests.
14. Argentina: Important sectors of the labor
movement have now refused .to jOin in the 24-
hour general strike called by Peronist Labor
leaders for Monday, during De Gaulle's visit.
Cancellation of the strike is a virtual cer-
tainty.?
15. USSR: Khrushchev has left Moscow for what
is expected to be a month's vacation near the
Black Sea.
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TOP SECRET
Trs7R-China:
Mission has now been examined.
It shows significant activity at Tyuratam
A large gantry had been moved forward to
enclose the large, 130-foot missile which showed
up in the first package four days earlier. This
suggests a flight test of this vehicle will come
soon.
Also, we saw ICBMs of three types being
prepared for firing at Tyuratam, the largest
number ever seen at one time. Their measure-
ments conform generally to our earlier estimates.
All three were apparently fired several days
later.
we have acquired since
early June cloud-free photography of 16 of the
18 old ICBM complexes. No further single silo
construction of the type being put in at the
old complex at Olovyannaya has been seen. In
this period, however, we have found five new
complexes using single silos.
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